Serie A Regular Season - 23

Atletico-MG vs NS Gremio

MRV Arena

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
23
Atletico-MG
vs
Gremio
Sun, Aug 16 • 19:00 Português
⚡ Form 53
⚖️ Balance 4
🏆 Stakes 0
⭐ Stars 59
Mid-table mediocrity takes center stage.

Win Probability

  • Atletico-MG 53%
  • Draw 27%
  • Gremio 20%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Mid-Table Malaise Looms as Atletico-MG Host Gremio

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 23/100. Trapped in mid-table obscurity, this Serie A clash lacks the overarching narrative to demand your immediate attention.

The Setup

Atletico-MG welcome Gremio to the MRV Arena on August 16, 2026. The Stakes are notably low for this fixture, leaving the contest feeling slightly hollow. The hosts sit comfortably, yet uninspiringly, in ninth place, while the visitors are lingering further down in 14th. Neither side boasts a particularly intimidating Form rating at the moment. Atletico-MG have shown persistent inconsistency, routinely dropping points in winnable matches, while Gremio's run of results is a frustrating mixed bag of isolated wins and deflating defeats. The home side enters as the heavy statistical favorite, skewing the competitive Balance of the tie, but these dreary mid-table clashes often defy logic on the pitch. Expect a methodical, grinding tempo rather than an end-to-end classic.

Key Battle

The real intrigue lies purely in moments of individual quality. The Stars rating for this match is surprisingly robust, fueled heavily by offensive talent rather than defensive solidity. Tomás Pérez anchors the home side's attacking ambitions and will relentlessly test the opposing defensive block. He faces an indirect shootout with Gremio's sharp-shooting Carlos Vinícius, who carries the bulk of the away team's scoring threat in transition. Whoever manages to find a pocket of space first will likely dictate the entire outcome of this contest.

Our Prediction

Expect a largely disjointed affair. Atletico-MG will control possession and look to build from the back, but Gremio's counter-attacking potential means they cannot simply throw bodies forward. A gritty, low-scoring draw seems the most logical conclusion for two teams currently struggling to find a dominant, winning rhythm.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Only if you support these clubs. Neutral fans can safely skip this low-stakes encounter without missing much.

What's the predicted outcome?

A scrappy, low-scoring draw, with both sides ultimately canceling out each other's limited attacking threats.

Where are Atletico-MG and Gremio in the league table?

Atletico-MG sit 9th with 29 points, while Gremio are struggling down in 14th with 25 points.

What is Atletico-MG's current form?

They are inconsistent, recording two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five league outings.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Gremio's Carlos Vinícius is firing, boasting 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches with a 7.5 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/17/2025 Atletico-MG 1 - 3 Gremio Serie A MRV Arena
03/29/2025 Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A Arena do Grêmio
10/09/2024 Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Gremio Serie A Arena MRV
09/01/2024 Gremio 2 - 3 Atletico-MG Serie A Arena do Grêmio
11/26/2023 Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Gremio Serie A Arena MRV
07/23/2023 Gremio 1 - 0 Atletico-MG Serie A Arena do Grêmio
12/10/2021 Gremio 4 - 3 Atletico-MG Serie A Arena do Grêmio
11/04/2021 Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Gremio Serie A Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
01/20/2021 Gremio 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A Arena do Grêmio
09/27/2020 Atletico-MG 3 - 1 Gremio Serie A Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
08/17/2025
Serie A MRV Arena
03/29/2025
Serie A Arena do Grêmio
10/09/2024
Serie A Arena MRV
09/01/2024
Serie A Arena do Grêmio
11/26/2023
Serie A Arena MRV
07/23/2023
Serie A Arena do Grêmio
12/10/2021
Serie A Arena do Grêmio
11/04/2021
Serie A Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
01/20/2021
Serie A Arena do Grêmio
09/27/2020
Serie A Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico-MG Win
Gremio Win
Draw

Season Statistics

9
League Position
14
29
Points
25
25
Goals Scored
22
25
Goals Conceded
26

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Palmeiras 21 47 38 16 +22 WVitoria 0 - 4 Palmeiras (30-07-2026)LPalmeiras 1 - 2 Atletico-MG (26-07-2026)WCoritiba 1 - 3 Palmeiras (22-07-2026)WPalmeiras 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc (31-05-2026)WFlamengo 0 - 3 Palmeiras (24-05-2026)
2 Flamengo 20 39 37 18 +19 DInternacional 1 - 1 Flamengo (29-07-2026)DFlamengo 1 - 1 Sao Paulo (26-07-2026)WChapecoense-sc 0 - 4 Flamengo (23-07-2026)WFlamengo 3 - 0 Coritiba (30-05-2026)LFlamengo 0 - 3 Palmeiras (24-05-2026)
3 Atletico Paranaense 21 37 28 19 +9 DCorinthians 0 - 0 Atletico Paranaense (30-07-2026)WAtletico Paranaense 2 - 0 Internacional (25-07-2026)WSao Paulo 1 - 2 Atletico Paranaense (23-07-2026)WAtletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Mirassol (30-05-2026)WRemo 1 - 2 Atletico Paranaense (24-05-2026)
4 Fluminense 21 34 30 25 +5 DBotafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense (09-08-2026)DFluminense 0 - 0 Bahia (30-07-2026)DGremio 1 - 1 Fluminense (26-07-2026)DFluminense 1 - 1 RB Bragantino (17-07-2026)DCruzeiro 1 - 1 Fluminense (31-05-2026)
5 Bahia 21 32 29 25 +4 DFluminense 0 - 0 Bahia (30-07-2026)DBahia 1 - 1 Corinthians (26-07-2026)DAtletico-MG 1 - 1 Bahia (21-07-2026)WBahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense-sc (17-07-2026)WBahia 2 - 1 Botafogo (30-05-2026)
6 RB Bragantino 20 31 26 20 +6 DRB Bragantino 0 - 0 Coritiba (26-07-2026)DFluminense 1 - 1 RB Bragantino (17-07-2026)WRB Bragantino 3 - 1 Internacional (31-05-2026)WVasco DA Gama 0 - 3 RB Bragantino (24-05-2026)WRB Bragantino 2 - 0 Vitoria (17-05-2026)
7 Cruzeiro 21 30 27 30 -3 WCoritiba 0 - 1 Cruzeiro (31-07-2026)LCruzeiro 0 - 1 Botafogo (26-07-2026)WInternacional 1 - 2 Cruzeiro (23-07-2026)DCruzeiro 1 - 1 Fluminense (31-05-2026)WCruzeiro 2 - 1 Chapecoense-sc (24-05-2026)
8 Botafogo 20 29 34 32 +2 DBotafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense (09-08-2026)WCruzeiro 0 - 1 Botafogo (26-07-2026)DBotafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria (23-07-2026)WBotafogo 2 - 1 Santos (16-07-2026)LBahia 2 - 1 Botafogo (30-05-2026)
9 Atletico-MG 21 29 27 27 0 DRemo 2 - 2 Atletico-MG (08-08-2026)WPalmeiras 1 - 2 Atletico-MG (26-07-2026)DAtletico-MG 1 - 1 Bahia (21-07-2026)WVasco DA Gama 0 - 1 Atletico-MG (31-05-2026)LCorinthians 1 - 0 Atletico-MG (24-05-2026)
10 Corinthians 21 29 22 20 +2 DCorinthians 0 - 0 Atletico Paranaense (30-07-2026)DBahia 1 - 1 Corinthians (26-07-2026)WCorinthians 3 - 0 Remo (23-07-2026)WGremio 1 - 3 Corinthians (30-05-2026)WCorinthians 1 - 0 Atletico-MG (24-05-2026)
11 Coritiba 21 27 25 28 -3 WCoritiba 2 - 1 Chapecoense-sc (08-08-2026)LCoritiba 0 - 1 Cruzeiro (31-07-2026)DRB Bragantino 0 - 0 Coritiba (26-07-2026)LCoritiba 1 - 3 Palmeiras (22-07-2026)LFlamengo 3 - 0 Coritiba (30-05-2026)
12 Sao Paulo 21 26 26 25 +1 LGremio 2 - 1 Sao Paulo (08-08-2026)DFlamengo 1 - 1 Sao Paulo (26-07-2026)LSao Paulo 1 - 2 Atletico Paranaense (23-07-2026)LRemo 1 - 0 Sao Paulo (31-05-2026)DSao Paulo 1 - 1 Botafogo (23-05-2026)
13 Vitoria 21 26 22 31 -9 LVitoria 0 - 4 Palmeiras (30-07-2026)LRemo 2 - 0 Vitoria (26-07-2026)DBotafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria (23-07-2026)WVitoria 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama (16-07-2026)LSantos 3 - 1 Vitoria (30-05-2026)
14 Gremio 21 25 24 27 -3 WGremio 2 - 1 Sao Paulo (08-08-2026)DGremio 1 - 1 Fluminense (26-07-2026)LMirassol 2 - 1 Gremio (17-07-2026)LGremio 1 - 3 Corinthians (30-05-2026)WGremio 3 - 2 Santos (23-05-2026)
15 Mirassol 20 23 23 27 -4 WMirassol 2 - 1 Remo (29-07-2026)DVasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Mirassol (25-07-2026)WMirassol 2 - 1 Gremio (17-07-2026)LAtletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Mirassol (30-05-2026)WMirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense (23-05-2026)
16 Santos 20 22 29 33 -4 DSantos 2 - 2 Chapecoense-sc (25-07-2026)LBotafogo 2 - 1 Santos (16-07-2026)WSantos 3 - 1 Vitoria (30-05-2026)LGremio 3 - 2 Santos (23-05-2026)LSantos 0 - 3 Coritiba (17-05-2026)
17 Internacional 21 22 23 27 -4 DInternacional 1 - 1 Flamengo (29-07-2026)LAtletico Paranaense 2 - 0 Internacional (25-07-2026)LInternacional 1 - 2 Cruzeiro (23-07-2026)LRB Bragantino 3 - 1 Internacional (31-05-2026)LVitoria 2 - 0 Internacional (23-05-2026)
18 Remo 22 22 26 36 -10 DRemo 2 - 2 Atletico-MG (08-08-2026)LMirassol 2 - 1 Remo (29-07-2026)WRemo 2 - 0 Vitoria (26-07-2026)LCorinthians 3 - 0 Remo (23-07-2026)WRemo 1 - 0 Sao Paulo (31-05-2026)
19 Vasco DA Gama 20 21 23 31 -8 DVasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Mirassol (25-07-2026)LVitoria 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama (16-07-2026)LVasco DA Gama 0 - 1 Atletico-MG (31-05-2026)LVasco DA Gama 0 - 3 RB Bragantino (24-05-2026)LInternacional 4 - 1 Vasco DA Gama (16-05-2026)
20 Chapecoense-sc 20 10 19 41 -22 LCoritiba 2 - 1 Chapecoense-sc (08-08-2026)DSantos 2 - 2 Chapecoense-sc (25-07-2026)LChapecoense-sc 0 - 4 Flamengo (23-07-2026)LBahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense-sc (17-07-2026)LPalmeiras 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc (31-05-2026)