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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Bournemouth
3-0
AC Milan
⚡ Intensity
75
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
3
🎲 Upset
0
Two penalties, one red card, total control
Futmetrix Verdict
26
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Sturm Graz
1-0
Marseille
⚡ Intensity
22
⚖️ Balance
31
🏆 Stakes
11
🎲 Upset
60
Diakité struck; Marseille never answered
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
7' José Manuel López (Alexander Barboza)
HT
Nicolas Acevedo 61'
↓ erick pulga ↑Ademir 65'
↓ Rodrigo Nestor ↑Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho 65'
↓ Nicolas Acevedo ↑Caio Alexandre 65'
69' ↓ José Manuel López ↑Jhon Arias
69' ↓ Vitor Roque ↑Ramon Sosa
↓ Alejo Veliz ↑Willian José 82'
↓ Cristian Olivera ↑Mateo Naín Sanabria 82'
Jean Lucas 87'
87' ↓ Andreas Pereira ↑Felipe Anderson
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Palmeiras
Goalkeepers
Carlos Miguel 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Murilo 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Gustavo Gómez 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
73%
Duel Win %
Alexander Barboza
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
80%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Khellven
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Andreas Pereira 
ARCHITECT
5
Key Passes
5
Key Passes
0
Assists
26%
Pass Acc
Marlon Freitas
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
42%
Pass Acc
Arthur Gabriel
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
José López 
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
3
Shots
8.2
Rating
Lucas Evangelista
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Vitor Roque
STORMTROOPER
5
Shots
5
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
BENCH
Marcelo Lomba 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Bruno Fuchs
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Agustín Giay
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Joaquín Piquerez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jhon Arias
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maurício
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Emiliano Martínez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luis Felipe
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fabiano
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Larson
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Felipe Anderson
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
3
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ramón Sosa
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bahia
Goalkeepers
Ronaldo 
OCTOPUS
10
Saves
10
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
Defenders
Román Gómez
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
31%
Duel Win %
David Duarte 
MAGNET
76
Activity
76
Activity
71
Passes
5
Duels
Victor Hugo
MAGNET
95
Activity
95
Activity
90
Passes
5
Duels
Luciano Juba
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Rodrigo Nestor
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
65
Total Mins
65
Entry
Nicolás Acevedo
MAGNET
71
Activity
71
Activity
64
Passes
7
Duels
Jean Lucas
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Cristian Olivera
LATE SHIFT
8
Late Mins
8
Late Mins
82
Total Mins
82
Entry
Alejo Véliz
LATE SHIFT
8
Late Mins
8
Late Mins
82
Total Mins
82
Entry
Erick Pulga
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
65
Total Mins
65
Entry
BENCH
Guido Herrera
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Marco Moreno
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marcos Victor
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zé Guilherme
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Erick
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Michel Araújo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Caio Alexandre
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Éverton Ribeiro
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mateo Sanabria
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
8
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Everaldo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ademir
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Willian José
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
8
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | Bahia | 1 - 2 | Palmeiras | Serie A | Arena Fonte Nova |
| 09/28/2025 | Bahia | 1 - 0 | Palmeiras | Serie A | Arena Fonte Nova |
| 04/27/2025 | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 | Bahia | Serie A | Allianz Parque |
| 11/20/2024 | Bahia | 1 - 2 | Palmeiras | Serie A | Arena Fonte Nova |
| 07/07/2024 | Palmeiras | 2 - 0 | Bahia | Serie A | Allianz Parque |
| 10/28/2023 | Palmeiras | 1 - 0 | Bahia | Serie A | Allianz Parque |
| 06/22/2023 | Bahia | 1 - 0 | Palmeiras | Serie A | Arena Fonte Nova |
| 10/13/2021 | Bahia | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras | Serie A | Arena Fonte Nova |
| 06/27/2021 | Palmeiras | 3 - 2 | Bahia | Serie A | Allianz Parque |
| 12/12/2020 | Palmeiras | 3 - 0 | Bahia | Serie A | Allianz Parque |
Palmeiras Win
Bahia Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 29 GD: +32
P: 28 GD: +26
P: 28 GD: +11
P: 28 GD: +8
P: 29 GD: +4
P: 28 GD: +8
P: 28 GD: +5
P: 29 GD: +2
P: 28 GD: -6
P: 29 GD: +1
P: 29 GD: -1
P: 29 GD: -10
P: 29 GD: -5
P: 28 GD: -6
P: 29 GD: -9
P: 29 GD: -4
P: 29 GD: -5
P: 29 GD: -8
P: 29 GD: -15
League Standings
P: 30 GD: +33
P: 30 GD: +30
P: 30 GD: +14
P: 30 GD: +11
P: 30 GD: +8
P: 30 GD: +2
P: 30 GD: +6
P: 30 GD: +1
P: 30 GD: +3
P: 30 GD: 0
P: 30 GD: -10
P: 30 GD: -11
P: 30 GD: -5
P: 29 GD: -6
P: 30 GD: -10
P: 30 GD: -7
P: 30 GD: -5
P: 30 GD: -8
P: 30 GD: -15
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Palmeiras
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Early Strike Sustains Title Charge
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 35/100. A lightning-fast opener and a resilient defensive display kept the hosts breathing down the necks of the league leaders.
The Immediate Breakthrough
Relentless Intensity defined the opening exchanges at Nubank Parque as Palmeiras wasted no time asserting their authority. Just seven minutes in, a sweeping attacking move saw Alexander Barboza deliver a precise ball for José Manuel López, who ruthlessly found the back of the net. That early breakthrough completely altered the tactical landscape. While Bahia technically controlled possession with 59% of the ball, their territorial advantage felt sterile against a home side that was perfectly comfortable absorbing pressure and launching devastating counter-attacks. The visitors struggled to carve out meaningful chances, forced into taking low-percentage shots from outside the box as the hosts shut down every passing lane in the final third. The opening phases proved to be an absolute masterclass in defensive efficiency.
A Goalkeeping Masterclass
Despite the narrow scoreline, the match quickly devolved into a one-sided shooting gallery, threatening the fragile Balance of the contest. The hosts unleashed a staggering 26 shots, relentlessly bombarding the visitors' goal. The only reason the contest did not end in a landslide was the superhuman effort of Ronaldo between the sticks. The away goalkeeper registered a phenomenal 10 saves, showcasing incredible reflexes to deny point-blank efforts and long-range drives alike. His heroics frustrated the home forwards and kept his side in the game, turning what should have been a comfortable afternoon into a tense, single-goal affair. The sheer volume of chances created by the home team underscored their attacking threat, but they continually met an immovable object on the goal line.
The Aftermath
As the final whistle blew, the massive Stakes attached to this fixture were evident in the home side's passionate celebrations. Marshalled brilliantly by G. Gómez at the back, the hosts secured a vital clean sheet that keeps them in second place, a mere four points adrift in the title race. For the away side, it is a frustrating defeat that highlights their lack of cutting edge in the final third, though they remain entrenched in sixth position. This was a classic clash of early efficiency versus goalkeeping brilliance, ending with the title challengers marching on. As the season approaches its final stretch, this ability to grind out tight results could be the deciding factor.
Key Questions
What made Ronaldo the Man of the Match?
With an incredible 10 saves against 26 total shots, his heroic reflexes kept his team in the game and prevented a heavy defeat against a rampant attack.
What does this mean for Palmeiras's season?
The crucial three points keep them in second place, closing the gap to just four points behind the league leaders in an intense title race.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
High Stakes in the Title Race
Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 78/100. A massive test of title credentials awaits Palmeiras as they host a surging Bahia side in a fixture that could reshape the top five.
The Setup
With the Serie A title race entering its decisive phase, Palmeiras sit second on 57 points, desperate for maximum returns at Nubank Parque. The Stakes are incredibly high; any dropped points now could be fatal to their championship aspirations. Bahia arrive sitting fifth on 46 points, carrying a formidable Form rating after racking up four wins in their last five league outings. The hosts boast a solid defensive record, but they must find the right tactical Balance to unlock a confident visiting side without exposing themselves on the counter-attack.
Key Battle
The defining matchup lies in how Mauricio pulls the strings in the attacking third against Bahia's resilient setup, while the visitors look to exploit space out wide through Erick Pulga. If Mauricio can leverage his Stars rating to dictate the tempo and create chances, Palmeiras will thrive. However, Pulga's transitional threat remains a constant danger that the home defense cannot ignore.
Our Prediction
We expect Palmeiras to dominate early possession while Bahia sit deep to absorb the pressure and wait for their moments. The visitors will strike efficiently on the counter, but the hosts' sheer urgency should eventually wear them down. Our verdict is a gritty 2-1 victory for Palmeiras, secured by late pressure in the second half.