Ligue 1 Gameweek 9

Estac Troyes vs NS Le Mans

Stade de l'Aube

Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
23
Estac Troyes
vs
Le Mans
Sat, Oct 31 • 19:45 Français
⚡ Form 36
⚖️ Balance 78
🏆 Stakes 14
⭐ Stars 41
Two points apart, both under pressure

Win Probability

  • Estac Troyes 44%
  • Draw 27%
  • Le Mans 29%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Two points apart, one shared pressure

Our verdict: with only two points between them, Estac Troyes and Le Mans have a genuine six-pointer at Stade de l'Aube, with the relegation battle already pressing on both.

The Setup

On 31 October 2026, 17th hosts 16th: Troyes have four points and Le Mans six. It is a six-pointer in an 18-team Ligue 1, with the bottom of the table already in view. Form: Troyes are on five straight defeats; Le Mans have taken five points from their last five matches. Troyes have yet to win in four home games. Across seven matches, the hosts have scored five and conceded 16. Le Mans have scored ten and conceded 15. Balance: a narrow paper edge to Troyes, undermined by their run. Stakes: stop the slide and gain ground on a direct rival. Stars: the goalkeepers could matter because both back lines have been exposed.

Key Battle

The tactical contest is Troyes’ midfield against Le Mans’ back line. The hosts must move forward without giving the ball away centrally; the visitors will look for transitions. Troyes concede 2.8 goals per home match, while Le Mans concede 2.3 away. The priority is clear: protect the box and win second balls. A positional mistake could matter more than a long spell of possession. It is a battle between units, and defensive discipline will decide whether the match opens up.

Our Prediction

Our call is 1-1. Troyes will take the initiative, but their home record gives little reason to trust them to dictate the match. Le Mans can stay compact and attack the space left behind; the hosts’ defence should give them a route to goal. The visitors have also conceded freely, so Troyes will find one of their own. A tense draw leaves both clubs with plenty to fix.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Not essential. The table matters, but both defences have conceded 31 goals across seven matches apiece.

What result do we expect?

A 1-1 draw: Troyes take the initiative, but Le Mans find space against a defence that has conceded 16.

Where are Estac Troyes and Le Mans in the league table?

Troyes are 17th on four points; Le Mans are 16th on six, with both having played seven matches.

What is Estac Troyes’s current run?

Troyes are on five straight defeats, with one win and one draw from seven league matches.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

The player to watch is A. Bourabaa: three goals and one assist in three matches, averaging a 7.8 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Season Statistics

17
League Position
15
5
Points
7
5
Goals Scored
11
16
Goals Conceded
16

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Rennes 8 16 18 14 +4 WRennes 3 - 0 Strasbourg (25-10-2026)LParis FC 4 - 3 Rennes (18-10-2026)WRennes 4 - 1 Auxerre (11-10-2026)LLyon 4 - 0 Rennes (19-09-2026)WRennes 1 - 0 Marseille (11-09-2026)
2 Lille 8 15 11 6 +5 DMonaco 1 - 1 Lille (25-10-2026)DLille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (17-10-2026)WLille 1 - 0 Le Havre (10-10-2026)LNice 2 - 1 Lille (20-09-2026)WLille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (13-09-2026)
3 Monaco 8 15 11 7 +4 DMonaco 1 - 1 Lille (25-10-2026)LLorient 1 - 0 Monaco (18-10-2026)DMonaco 2 - 2 Toulouse (10-10-2026)WMonaco 2 - 1 Lens (18-09-2026)DStrasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco (12-09-2026)
4 Lyon 7 14 13 5 +8 WLyon 2 - 1 Nice (18-10-2026)LLens 2 - 1 Lyon (09-10-2026)WLyon 4 - 0 Rennes (19-09-2026)DParis FC 0 - 0 Lyon (12-09-2026)WLyon 3 - 1 Auxerre (04-09-2026)
5 Paris Saint Germain 7 14 14 9 +5 WStrasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (17-10-2026)WParis Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans (10-10-2026)WMarseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (20-09-2026)WStade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (13-09-2026)LParis Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco (04-09-2026)
6 Paris FC 8 14 13 9 +4 LLens 2 - 1 Paris FC (24-10-2026)WParis FC 4 - 3 Rennes (18-10-2026)LLorient 1 - 0 Paris FC (10-10-2026)WParis FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg (19-09-2026)DParis FC 0 - 0 Lyon (12-09-2026)
7 Lens 8 13 16 12 +4 WLens 2 - 1 Paris FC (24-10-2026)WEstac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens (17-10-2026)WLens 2 - 1 Lyon (09-10-2026)LMonaco 2 - 1 Lens (18-09-2026)DLe Mans 2 - 2 Lens (13-09-2026)
8 Marseille 8 12 18 13 +5 WMarseille 4 - 3 Le Havre (25-10-2026)WAngers 2 - 5 Marseille (18-10-2026)WEstac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille (11-10-2026)LMarseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (20-09-2026)LRennes 1 - 0 Marseille (11-09-2026)
9 Lorient 8 12 7 6 +1 DAngers 0 - 0 Lorient (25-10-2026)WLorient 1 - 0 Monaco (18-10-2026)WLorient 1 - 0 Paris FC (10-10-2026)LLe Mans 2 - 1 Lorient (19-09-2026)DLorient 2 - 2 Toulouse (12-09-2026)
10 Nice 8 11 8 10 -2 WStade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Nice (23-10-2026)LLyon 2 - 1 Nice (18-10-2026)WNice 2 - 1 Strasbourg (11-10-2026)WNice 2 - 1 Lille (20-09-2026)LAuxerre 1 - 0 Nice (12-09-2026)
11 Toulouse 8 10 12 11 +1 DToulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes (25-10-2026)WLe Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse (16-10-2026)DMonaco 2 - 2 Toulouse (10-10-2026)WToulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre (19-09-2026)DLorient 2 - 2 Toulouse (12-09-2026)
12 Auxerre 8 10 12 18 -6 DAuxerre 1 - 1 Le Mans (25-10-2026)WLe Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre (18-10-2026)LRennes 4 - 1 Auxerre (11-10-2026)WAuxerre 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (20-09-2026)WAuxerre 1 - 0 Nice (12-09-2026)
13 Stade Brestois 29 8 9 14 12 +2 LStade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Nice (23-10-2026)DLille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (17-10-2026)WStade Brestois 29 5 - 1 Angers (10-10-2026)LAuxerre 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (20-09-2026)LStade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (13-09-2026)
14 Angers 8 8 9 15 -6 DAngers 0 - 0 Lorient (25-10-2026)LAngers 2 - 5 Marseille (18-10-2026)LStade Brestois 29 5 - 1 Angers (10-10-2026)WAngers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (19-09-2026)DLe Havre 0 - 0 Angers (12-09-2026)
15 Le Mans 8 7 11 16 -5 DAuxerre 1 - 1 Le Mans (25-10-2026)LLe Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse (16-10-2026)LParis Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans (10-10-2026)WLe Mans 2 - 1 Lorient (19-09-2026)DLe Mans 2 - 2 Lens (13-09-2026)
16 Strasbourg 8 7 12 18 -6 LRennes 3 - 0 Strasbourg (25-10-2026)LStrasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (17-10-2026)LNice 2 - 1 Strasbourg (11-10-2026)LParis FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg (19-09-2026)DStrasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco (12-09-2026)
17 Estac Troyes 8 5 5 16 -11 DToulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes (25-10-2026)LEstac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens (17-10-2026)LEstac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille (11-10-2026)LAngers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (19-09-2026)LLille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (13-09-2026)
18 Le Havre 8 2 8 15 -7 LMarseille 4 - 3 Le Havre (25-10-2026)LLe Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre (18-10-2026)LLille 1 - 0 Le Havre (10-10-2026)LToulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre (19-09-2026)DLe Havre 0 - 0 Angers (12-09-2026)

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