Bundesliga Regular Season - 21

FC St. Pauli vs NS VfB Stuttgart

Millerntor-Stadion

Match Preview

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66
FC St. Pauli
VS
VfB Stuttgart
Sat, Feb 7 • 14:30 Deutsch
⚡ Form 56
⚖️ Balance 76
🏆 Stakes 33
⭐ Stars 80
Survival instincts meet Champions League dreams.

Survival Instincts Meet European Ambitions

Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 66/100. FC St. Pauli must find a way to dismantle one of the league's most clinical attacks to prevent their relegation fears from turning into a reality.

The Setup

As the Bundesliga reaches the crunch period of the season on February 07, 2026, the contrast at the Millerntor-Stadion could not be sharper. FC St. Pauli enters this fixture languishing in 17th place, desperately needing to improve a Form that has seen them pick up only three wins all season. Their home record offers little comfort, with a win rate of just 22.2% providing a fragile foundation for a survival bid. Conversely, VfB Stuttgart arrives with their eyes fixed on the top four. The Balance of Sebastian Hoeneß's side has been impressive, particularly on the road where they have secured five victories. With the Stakes reaching boiling point for the hosts, the pressure will be on their defensive unit to withstand a Stuttgart side averaging nearly two goals per game.

Key Battle

The outcome of this contest likely hinges on the duel between Eric Smith and Deniz Undav. Smith has been a rare bright spot for the hosts, maintaining an average rating of 7.2 while attempting to organize a backline under constant siege. However, he faces a daunting task against Undav, whose individual Stars power has been the catalyst for Stuttgart's recent surge. Undav’s ability to find pockets of space and link play with the likes of A. Stiller makes him a nightmare to track for ninety minutes. If Smith cannot limit Undav's influence, St. Pauli’s afternoon could turn sour very quickly.

Our Prediction

Expect Stuttgart to dominate possession early, utilizing the technical quality of N. Woltemade to stretch the St. Pauli midfield. While the home crowd will provide a raucous atmosphere, the visitors' clinical efficiency should shine through. St. Pauli may find joy on the counter-attack through sheer desperation, but the defensive solidity anchored by Alexander Nübel will likely keep them at bay. We expect a 1-3 victory for Stuttgart, further cementing their European credentials while deepening the hosts' relegation woes.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. The combination of St. Pauli's desperation and Stuttgart's high-scoring style promises an open, high-intensity encounter.

What's the predicted outcome?

VfB Stuttgart is the heavy favorite with a 50.7% win probability, likely resulting in a 1-3 away win.

Where are FC St. Pauli and VfB Stuttgart in the league table?

FC St. Pauli sits in 17th place with 15 points, while VfB Stuttgart occupies 5th place with 36 points.

What is FC St. Pauli's current form?

St. Pauli is struggling with a form sequence of DDLLD, failing to win any of their last five matches.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Deniz Undav (VfB Stuttgart) is the man in form, with 3 goals and 2 assists in 5 matches, averaging a 7.6 rating.

How is the Futmetrix Score calculated?

The Futmetrix Score (0-100) combines multiple factors: match intensity, competitive balance, stakes importance, and entertainment value to help you decide if this match is worth watching.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
03/05/2025 FC St. Pauli 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion
21/12/2024 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 FC St. Pauli Bundesliga MHPArena
01/02/2020 FC St. Pauli 1 - 1 VfB Stuttgart 2. Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion
17/08/2019 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga Mercedes-Benz-Arena
29/01/2017 FC St. Pauli 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart 2. Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion
08/08/2016 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga Mercedes-Benz Arena
31/10/2012 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 FC St. Pauli DFB Pokal Mercedes-Benz-Arena
13/03/2011 FC St. Pauli 1 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
24/10/2010 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli Bundesliga Mercedes-Benz-Arena (Stuttgart)
03/05/2025
Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion
21/12/2024
Bundesliga MHPArena
01/02/2020
2. Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion
17/08/2019
2. Bundesliga Mercedes-Benz-Arena
29/01/2017
2. Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion
08/08/2016
2. Bundesliga Mercedes-Benz Arena
31/10/2012
DFB Pokal Mercedes-Benz-Arena
13/03/2011
Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
24/10/2010
Bundesliga Mercedes-Benz-Arena (Stuttgart)
FC St. Pauli Win
VfB Stuttgart Win
Draw

Season Statistics

17
League Position
5
15
Points
36
17
Goals Scored
33
32
Goals Conceded
26

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Bayern München 19 50 72 16 +56 DHamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern München (31-01-2026)LBayern München 1 - 2 FC Augsburg (24-01-2026)WRB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern München (17-01-2026)W1. FC Köln 1 - 3 Bayern München (14-01-2026)WBayern München 8 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg (11-01-2026)
2 Borussia Dortmund 19 42 38 17 +21 WUnion Berlin 0 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (24-01-2026)WBorussia Dortmund 3 - 2 FC St. Pauli (17-01-2026)WBorussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen (13-01-2026)DEintracht Frankfurt 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (09-01-2026)WBorussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (19-12-2025)
3 1899 Hoffenheim 20 40 40 22 +18 W1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin (31-01-2026)WWerder Bremen 0 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim (27-01-2026)WEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3 1899 Hoffenheim (24-01-2026)W1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen (17-01-2026)W1899 Hoffenheim 5 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (14-01-2026)
4 RB Leipzig 20 37 37 25 +12 LRB Leipzig 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 (31-01-2026)DFC St. Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig (27-01-2026)W1. FC Heidenheim 0 - 3 RB Leipzig (24-01-2026)LRB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern München (17-01-2026)WRB Leipzig 2 - 0 SC Freiburg (14-01-2026)
5 VfB Stuttgart 19 36 36 26 +10 WBorussia Mönchengladbach 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart (25-01-2026)DVfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Union Berlin (18-01-2026)WVfB Stuttgart 3 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt (13-01-2026)WBayer Leverkusen 1 - 4 VfB Stuttgart (10-01-2026)DVfB Stuttgart 0 - 0 1899 Hoffenheim (20-12-2025)
6 Bayer Leverkusen 19 33 35 25 +10 WEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen (31-01-2026)WBayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 Werder Bremen (24-01-2026)L1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen (17-01-2026)LBayer Leverkusen 1 - 4 VfB Stuttgart (10-01-2026)WRB Leipzig 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen (20-12-2025)
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 20 28 39 42 -3 LEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen (31-01-2026)LEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3 1899 Hoffenheim (24-01-2026)DWerder Bremen 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (16-01-2026)LVfB Stuttgart 3 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt (13-01-2026)DEintracht Frankfurt 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (09-01-2026)
8 SC Freiburg 19 27 31 32 -1 WSC Freiburg 2 - 1 1. FC Köln (25-01-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 SC Freiburg (18-01-2026)LRB Leipzig 2 - 0 SC Freiburg (14-01-2026)WSC Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV (10-01-2026)WVfL Wolfsburg 3 - 4 SC Freiburg (20-12-2025)
9 Union Berlin 20 25 24 30 -6 L1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin (31-01-2026)LUnion Berlin 0 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (24-01-2026)DVfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Union Berlin (18-01-2026)DFC Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin (15-01-2026)DUnion Berlin 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 (10-01-2026)
10 1. FC Köln 20 23 29 32 -3 W1. FC Köln 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg (30-01-2026)LSC Freiburg 2 - 1 1. FC Köln (25-01-2026)W1. FC Köln 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 (17-01-2026)L1. FC Köln 1 - 3 Bayern München (14-01-2026)D1. FC Heidenheim 2 - 2 1. FC Köln (10-01-2026)
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 20 21 23 32 -9 DWerder Bremen 1 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (31-01-2026)LBorussia Mönchengladbach 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart (25-01-2026)DHamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (17-01-2026)L1899 Hoffenheim 5 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (14-01-2026)WBorussia Mönchengladbach 4 - 0 FC Augsburg (11-01-2026)
12 FC Augsburg 20 20 22 36 -14 WFC Augsburg 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli (31-01-2026)WBayern München 1 - 2 FC Augsburg (24-01-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 SC Freiburg (18-01-2026)DFC Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin (15-01-2026)LBorussia Mönchengladbach 4 - 0 FC Augsburg (11-01-2026)
13 VfL Wolfsburg 20 19 28 42 -14 L1. FC Köln 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg (30-01-2026)LFSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg (24-01-2026)DVfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 1. FC Heidenheim (17-01-2026)WVfL Wolfsburg 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli (14-01-2026)LBayern München 8 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg (11-01-2026)
14 Werder Bremen 20 19 21 37 -16 DWerder Bremen 1 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (31-01-2026)LWerder Bremen 0 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim (27-01-2026)LBayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 Werder Bremen (24-01-2026)DWerder Bremen 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (16-01-2026)LBorussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen (13-01-2026)
15 Hamburger SV 18 18 17 27 -10 DHamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern München (31-01-2026)DFC St. Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV (23-01-2026)DHamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (17-01-2026)LSC Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV (10-01-2026)DHamburger SV 1 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt (20-12-2025)
16 FSV Mainz 05 20 16 21 32 -11 WRB Leipzig 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 (31-01-2026)WFSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg (24-01-2026)L1. FC Köln 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 (17-01-2026)WFSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 1. FC Heidenheim (13-01-2026)DUnion Berlin 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 (10-01-2026)
17 FC St. Pauli 20 15 17 32 -15 LFC Augsburg 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli (31-01-2026)DFC St. Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig (27-01-2026)DFC St. Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV (23-01-2026)LBorussia Dortmund 3 - 2 FC St. Pauli (17-01-2026)LVfL Wolfsburg 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli (14-01-2026)
18 1. FC Heidenheim 19 13 17 42 -25 L1. FC Heidenheim 0 - 3 RB Leipzig (24-01-2026)DVfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 1. FC Heidenheim (17-01-2026)LFSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 1. FC Heidenheim (13-01-2026)D1. FC Heidenheim 2 - 2 1. FC Köln (10-01-2026)L1. FC Heidenheim 0 - 4 Bayern München (21-12-2025)