Borussia Mönchengladbach vs NS Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen’s European Ambitions Target Gladbach’s Home Fragility

Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 62/100. Bayer Leverkusen’s high-octane away efficiency faces a Mönchengladbach side struggling to defend their own turf at Borussia-Park.

The Setup

On February 07, 2026, Bayer Leverkusen enters this clash looking to cement their top-six status. Boasting a formidable 55.6% away win rate, Xabi Alonso's side contrasts sharply with a Borussia Mönchengladbach outfit that has managed only two wins in ten home attempts. While the statistical Balance suggests a competitive fixture, the Form guide tells a different story: Leverkusen has regained momentum with two wins in their last three, whereas the hosts have struggled with defensive consistency, shipping an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Key Battle

The decisive confrontation will see the resurgent Haris Tabaković attempting to breach the wall guarded by Mark Flekken. Tabaković has been the focal point of Gladbach’s attack, but he faces a goalkeeper in Flekken who is currently averaging 5.0 saves per game. The hosts’ ability to convert limited chances against Leverkusen’s Stars in the backline, including E. Tapsoba and P. Hincapié, will dictate whether this match remains a contest or becomes a procession.

Our Prediction

Leverkusen's superior technical quality in midfield will likely starve the Gladbach attack of service. Expect a 1-3 scoreline where Montrell Culbreath and the Leverkusen frontline exploit Gladbach’s high line. While the home side may find a breakthrough via a Tabaković header, the sheer weight of Leverkusen’s offensive pressure should secure all three points for the visitors, reflecting the 43.1% favorite probability calculated by the model.