Serie A Gameweek 4

Flamengo vs NS Mirassol

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
21
Flamengo
vs
Mirassol
Wed, Sep 2 • 22:30 Português
⚡ Form 20
⚖️ Balance 5
🏆 Stakes 0
⭐ Stars 71
Flamengo's stars host unbeaten Mirassol.

Win Probability

  • Flamengo 67%
  • Draw 22%
  • Mirassol 11%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Flamengo's Individual Brilliance vs. Mirassol's Collective Resilience

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 21/100. An early-season encounter where Flamengo’s world-class talent is challenged by a Mirassol side that has yet to taste defeat.

The Setup

On February 25, Flamengo welcomes Mirassol for Round 4 of the Serie A season. While the home side boasts an elite Stars rating featuring Lucas Paquetá, Pedro, and Samuel Lino, their current Form has been inconsistent. Sitting in 10th place with a mixed record of one win, one draw, and one loss, Flamengo is still searching for its best rhythm. Mirassol, currently 8th, arrives as the underdog but remains unbeaten. However, the Stakes for this match are notably low; as it is only the fourth week, the table has yet to take definitive shape, and the Balance between these two squads heavily favors the hosts' deeper resources.

Key Battle

The tactical narrative centers on Flamengo's creative engine versus Mirassol’s defensive discipline. With Gonzalo Plata providing spark from the flanks, the home side will look to stretch a Mirassol backline that lacks individual star power but relies on rigid organization. The midfield battle, anchored by Paquetá, will likely dictate the tempo. If the away unit can frustrate Flamengo’s attackers and limit the service to Pedro, they might steal a point. However, the individual quality of Agustín Rossi in goal ensures that even if Mirassol finds a breakthrough, Flamengo has a reliable safety net.

Our Prediction

The expected outcome is a 2-0 victory for Flamengo. Our take is that while Mirassol has been sturdy so far, they lack the firepower to keep pace once the game opens up. The sheer talent gap reflected in our Stars metric should manifest in the second half. We expect Flamengo to exert sustained pressure until the visitors' resolve eventually breaks, allowing the Rubro-Negro to secure three vital points and begin their climb toward the top of the standings.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Our verdict is to skip this one; low stakes and early-season rust make it a less compelling watch.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect a 2-0 win for Flamengo as their superior individual quality takes control.

Where are Flamengo and Mirassol in the league table?

Flamengo is currently 10th with 4 points, while Mirassol sits in 8th with 5 points.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo has a form of WDL (one win, one draw, and one loss) from three games.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Gonzalo Plata is the player to watch, with 1 goal in 1 match and a 7.5 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
12/06/2025 Mirassol 3 - 3 Flamengo Serie A Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
08/09/2025 Flamengo 2 - 1 Mirassol Serie A Estádio do Maracanã
12/06/2025
Serie A Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
08/09/2025
Serie A Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo Win
Mirassol Win
Draw

Season Statistics

2
League Position
17
45
Points
23
44
Goals Scored
25
19
Goals Conceded
35

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Palmeiras 23 48 40 19 +21
2 Flamengo 23 45 45 21 +24
3 Atletico Paranaense 23 41 31 20 +11
4 Fluminense 24 41 36 29 +7
5 Cruzeiro 24 39 34 33 +1
6 Bahia 23 34 32 28 +4
7 Atletico-MG 23 33 30 27 +3
8 RB Bragantino 22 32 27 23 +4
9 Corinthians 23 32 25 22 +3
10 Coritiba 23 31 28 30 -2
11 Botafogo 22 30 35 34 +1
12 Vitoria 23 29 23 33 -10
13 Sao Paulo 22 27 27 26 +1
14 Santos 22 25 32 35 -3
15 Gremio 22 25 24 30 -6
16 Internacional 24 25 24 28 -4
17 Mirassol 22 23 25 35 -10
18 Remo 24 23 28 39 -11
19 Vasco DA Gama 22 22 23 34 -11
20 Chapecoense-sc 22 11 23 46 -23
1 Palmeiras 48 pts
P: 23 GD: +21
2 Flamengo 45 pts
P: 23 GD: +24
P: 23 GD: +11
4 Fluminense 41 pts
P: 24 GD: +7
5 Cruzeiro 39 pts
P: 24 GD: +1
6 Bahia 34 pts
P: 23 GD: +4
7 Atletico-MG 33 pts
P: 23 GD: +3
P: 22 GD: +4
9 Corinthians 32 pts
P: 23 GD: +3
10 Coritiba 31 pts
P: 23 GD: -2
11 Botafogo 30 pts
P: 22 GD: +1
12 Vitoria 29 pts
P: 23 GD: -10
13 Sao Paulo 27 pts
P: 22 GD: +1
14 Santos 25 pts
P: 22 GD: -3
15 Gremio 25 pts
P: 22 GD: -6
16 Internacional 25 pts
P: 24 GD: -4
17 Mirassol 23 pts
P: 22 GD: -10
18 Remo 23 pts
P: 24 GD: -11
19 Vasco DA Gama 22 pts
P: 22 GD: -11
P: 22 GD: -23