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Futmetrix Verdict
100
FT
Sun, Oct 25
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
⚡ Intensity
68
⚖️ Balance
42
🏆 Stakes
100
🎲 Upset
60
Mbappé breaks El Clásico late
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
Lucas Silva 17'
45'+4 Allan
HT
48' Danilo (Arthur Cabral)
↓ Wanderson ↑K. Arroyo 56'
63' ↓ Allan ↑Artur
63' ↓ Arthur Cabral ↑Matheus Martins
↓ Lucas Silva ↑Christian 65'
76' Matheus Martins (A. Montoro)
↓ L. Romero ↑Matheus Henrique 77'
↓ Jonathan Jesus ↑Joao Marcelo 78'
↓ Gerson ↑Kenji 78'
81' ↓ Alex Telles ↑Marcal
81' ↓ A. Montoro ↑Nathan Fernandes
Kaique Kenji 83'
85' Danilo (Nathan Fernandes)
88' ↓ S. Rodriguez ↑J. Barrera
90' Artur
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Botafogo
Goalkeepers
Neto 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Mateo Ponte
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Newton 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Alexander Barboza
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Vitinho 
SWEEPER
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanups
1
Interceptions
3
Blocks
Danilo 
CLUTCH HERO
85
Goal Time
85
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
8.9
Rating
Allan
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
63
Total Mins
63
Entry
Alex Telles
LATE SHIFT
9
Late Mins
9
Late Mins
81
Total Mins
81
Entry
Forwards
Santiago Rodríguez 
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
27%
Pass Acc
Arthur Cabral 
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
6.7
Rating
Álvaro Montoro 
MAGNET
42
Activity
42
Activity
30
Passes
12
Duels
BENCH
Léo Linck 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Bastos
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marçal
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
9
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kadu Santos
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jordán Barrera
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
2
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Arthur Novaes
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kauan Toledo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Artur
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
8.2
Rating
Matheus Martins 
CLOSER
1
Late Goals
1
Late Goals
0
Late Assists
75
Minute
Nathan 
SUPER SUB
1
Assist
1
Assist
9
Minutes
6.9
Rating
K. Barria
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Arthur Izaque
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cruzeiro
Goalkeepers
Cássio 
SIEVE
20%
Save %
20%
Save %
4
Conceded
1
Saves
Defenders
Fágner
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Fabrício Bruno
MAGNET
78
Activity
78
Activity
73
Passes
5
Duels
Jonathan Jesus
LATE SHIFT
12
Late Mins
12
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
78
Entry
Kaiki 
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Midfielders
Lucas Romero 
ENFORCER
3
Tackles
3
Tackles
7
Duels Won
78%
Win %
Lucas Silva
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
65
Total Mins
65
Entry
Gerson
LATE SHIFT
12
Late Mins
12
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
78
Entry
Matheus Pereira
ARCHITECT
6
Key Passes
6
Key Passes
0
Assists
29%
Pass Acc
Wanderson
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Forwards
Kaio Jorge
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Otávio
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Janderson
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
João Marcelo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kauã Prates
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Christian
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matheus Henrique
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
João Wellington
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Neiser Villareal
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jeferson Arroyo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
34
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kaique Kenji
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Francisco da Costa
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
William
👻 Invisible Nothing to note
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/30/2026 | Botafogo | 4 - 0 | Cruzeiro | Serie A | Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos |
| 12/04/2025 | Cruzeiro | 2 - 2 | Botafogo | Serie A | Governador Magalhães Pinto |
| 08/03/2025 | Botafogo | 0 - 2 | Cruzeiro | Serie A | Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos |
| 07/28/2024 | Botafogo | 0 - 3 | Cruzeiro | Serie A | Estádio Nilton Santos |
| 04/14/2024 | Cruzeiro | 3 - 2 | Botafogo | Serie A | Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto |
| 12/03/2023 | Botafogo | 0 - 0 | Cruzeiro | Serie A | Estádio Nilton Santos |
| 08/06/2023 | Cruzeiro | 0 - 0 | Botafogo | Serie A | Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto |
| 10/13/2021 | Cruzeiro | 0 - 0 | Botafogo | Serie B | Estádio Raimundo Sampaio |
| 07/10/2021 | Botafogo | 3 - 3 | Cruzeiro | Serie B | Estádio Nilton Santos |
| 11/01/2019 | Botafogo | 0 - 2 | Cruzeiro | Serie A | Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos |
Botafogo Win
Cruzeiro Win
Draw
League Standings
League Standings
P: 31 GD: +36
P: 31 GD: +32
P: 31 GD: +12
P: 31 GD: +4
P: 31 GD: +10
P: 31 GD: +7
P: 31 GD: +5
P: 31 GD: +2
P: 31 GD: +1
P: 31 GD: +3
P: 31 GD: -4
P: 31 GD: -11
P: 31 GD: -11
P: 31 GD: -8
P: 30 GD: -7
P: 31 GD: -7
P: 31 GD: -7
P: 31 GD: -10
P: 31 GD: -15
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Clinical Botafogo Punish Wasteful Cruzeiro
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 61/100. A ruthless second-half display saw Botafogo dismantle Cruzeiro, proving that efficiency beats possession every time at the Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
The Opening Stalemate
The encounter at the Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos began with an unexpected pattern. Cruzeiro edged possession with 54%, looking to silence the home crowd by dictating the tempo from the midfield. An Intensity rating of 9.6 reflected a match played at a high velocity, as the visitors forced 10 corners and unleashed a barrage of 17 shots. Despite their dominance on the ball, the clinical edge was missing. Botafogo remained disciplined, absorbing the pressure and waiting for the right moment to strike. The first half was a tactical chess match where the Stakes of a potential title race loomed large, yet neither side could find the breakthrough before the interval despite the high volume of attempts inside the box.
Danilo Breaks the Deadlock
The tactical landscape shifted immediately after the restart. In the 48th minute, Arthur Cabral turned provider, setting up Danilo for a composed finish that shattered Cruzeiro's defensive resolve. With the lead established, the Balance of the match swung heavily in favor of the hosts. Cruzeiro were forced to commit more bodies forward, leaving vast spaces behind their backline. Botafogo manager’s decision to introduce fresh legs proved to be an Upset factor for the tired visitors. The introduction of A. Montoro added a layer of creative spark that the away side simply could not contain, as the match transitioned from a narrow contest into a one-sided affair.
The Late Blitz
What followed was a devastating 14-minute flurry that turned a slim lead into a rout. Matheus Martins doubled the advantage in the 76th minute, shortly after coming off the bench. The irrepressible Danilo then added his second of the night in the 85th minute, assisted by Nathan Fernandes, to secure a commanding 8.9 match rating. The final blow arrived in the 90th minute when Artur found the net, completing a 4-0 scoreline that looked unlikely in the first half. This clinical display sends Botafogo to the summit of Serie A, while Cruzeiro are left to reflect on a heavy defeat that highlights their struggles at the bottom of the table. The contrast in finishing was the defining story of the night.
Key Questions
What made Danilo the Man of the Match?
Danilo's brace and clinical 8.9 rating were the difference, converting key chances at vital moments.
What does this mean for Botafogo's season?
The 4-0 win propels them to 1st place, establishing them as early pace-setters in the title race.
How did substitute Danilo change the game?
Danilo was actually a starter, but his second-half goals combined with impact subs ensured the blowout win.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Archive note: this preview was written after the match was played.
Relegation Scrap: Desperation Meets Mid-Table Comfort
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 26/100. Cruzeiro's dire need for points transforms an otherwise unremarkable fixture into a gritty battle for Serie A survival.
The Setup
Alarm bells are ringing loudly for Cruzeiro. Sitting 19th with just one win from ten games, their dire Form rating tells the story of a team in freefall. A trip to the Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos to face 11th-placed Botafogo is hardly the easiest assignment to stop the rot. Despite the glaring gap in the table, a remarkably high Balance score points to a contest that is tighter than the standings suggest. The overall Stakes might be considered modest across the league at this stage, but for the visitors, every match feels like a vital lifeline. With a low Stars rating across both rosters, this fixture will rely entirely on grit over glamour. The hosts will look to Danilo and C. Medina to control proceedings in the middle, while Cruzeiro lean heavily on L. Sinisterra to spark life into a misfiring attack.
Key Battle
The defining clash will take place in the middle of the park. The home side's central midfield will aim to dictate the tempo and starve the visitors of possession. Expect a physical war of attrition as the away backline attempts to absorb constant pressure and hit on the counter-attack.
Our Take
Expect a cagey, error-strewn affair. Cruzeiro will dig in deep to protect their goal, but their leaky defense will eventually crack under sustained territorial dominance. A narrow 1-0 victory for Botafogo is the most logical outcome, pushing the visitors further into the Serie A relegation mire.