Bundesliga - Regular Season - 5
Sunday 28 September 202515:30

1. FC Köln

1
-
2
FT
1/4

Score & Verdict

1. FC Köln
1
-
VfB Stuttgart
2

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08
1. FC Köln
vs
1.87
VfB Stuttgart

FutMetrix Score

74
highly_entertaining
+23
vs Pre
Slide 1 of 4
74
FULL TIME
Sun 28 Sep
1. FC Köln
1-2
VfB Stuttgart
Intensity
54
⚖️ Balance
78
🏆 Stakes
56
🎲 Upset
50
+23 vs pre-game
Three lead changes in Rhine Valley thriller

Three Lead Changes: Stuttgart Seizes Rhine Valley Six-Pointer

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 74/100. A six-pointer played at peak intensity—Stuttgart's VAR-confirmed penalty and Vagnoman's decisive 81st-minute strike proved the difference as Cologne's early dominance crumbled at RheinEnergieStadion.

Kaminski's Lightning Strike Undone by Stuttgart's Control

J. Kaminski gave Cologne the perfect start in the fourth minute, capitalising on Ragnar Ache's creative play to fire his side ahead. But the match's balance shifted decisively in Stuttgart's favour. The visitors seized possession (57% to 43%) and suffocated Cologne's rhythm with methodical passing (85% accuracy, 507 total passes). The turning point arrived in the 25th minute when VAR confirmed a penalty—Ermedin Demirović converted with composure to level at 1-1. From that moment, stakes escalated with every corner and shot.

Vagnoman's Late Blow Caps Frantic Finale

Cologne fought back with intensity, launching 15 shots (7 on target) in their search for a second goal. Yet Stuttgart's clinical edge proved decisive. In the 81st minute, Josha Vagnoman arrived to finish Stiller's assist, sending Stuttgart into the lead for the final time. The match exploded into life—30 combined shots, 16 corners, and eight saves between the keepers told the story of relentless intensity. Stuttgart's 1.87 Expected Goals versus Cologne's 1.08 revealed the underlying truth: the visitors converted their chances while Cologne squandered theirs despite dominating the box with 10 shots inside the area.

The Verdict

Stuttgart climb to fifth with a crucial three points in the title race. Cologne's form stabilises at seventh, but this loss stings—they had the early momentum and the attacking thrust, yet lacked the composure when it mattered. The VAR-confirmed penalty will linger in conversation, yet Stuttgart earned their win through possession, patience, and the ruthlessness that defines winners.

Key Questions

How did Stuttgart overturn Cologne's early lead?

Possession control (57%), VAR-confirmed penalty (min. 25) converted by Demirović, and Vagnoman's 81st-minute finish sealed the comeback.

What does this defeat mean for Cologne's season?

Cologne remain seventh with 7 points. Missing a six-pointer against a top-five rival damages their push for European qualification.

Why is this match rated 74/100?

Our Futmetrix algorithm analyzed intensity, balance, and stakes. The final score of 74/100 places this match in the "Highly Entertaining" category.

Match Statistics

Possession
1. FC Köln43%
Shots
1. FC Köln15
On Target
1. FC Köln7
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Köln1.08
Total Passes
1. FC Köln383
Pass Accuracy
1. FC Köln81%
Corners
1. FC Köln8
Fouls
1. FC Köln12
Yellow Cards
1. FC Köln2
Red Cards
1. FC Köln0

Match Events

1. FC Köln
4'
J. Kaminski
Assist: R. Ache
25'
Ermedin Demirović
28'
E. Demirovic
HT
🔄61'
R. Hendriks
↑ M. Mittelstadt
63'🔄
R. Ache
↑ S. El Mala
63'🔄
L. Maina
↑ D. Huseinbasic
67'🟨
Joel Schmied
🔄71'
C. Fuhrich
↑ J. Leweling
🔄71'
T. Tomas
↑ B. Bouanani
74'🔄
J. Thielmann
↑ K. Lund
74'🔄
I. Johannesson
↑ F. Kainz
76'🟨
Tom Krauß
🟨78'
Luca Jaquez
81'
J. Vagnoman
Assist: A. Stiller
85'🔄
J. Schmied
↑ L. Waldschmidt
🔄86'
L. Jaquez
↑ A. Al Dakhil
🔄86'
B. El Khannouss
↑ N. Nartey
🟨90'+1
Badredine Bouanani
FT

Player Match Cards

1. FC Köln

3-5-2
GK
M. Schwabe
Friendly Fire
Friendly Fire
0
Mistake
0
Mistak
1
Fouls
5.9
Rating
DEF
J. Schmied
NPC
NPC
85
Minutes
85
Minute
22%
Pass A
6.2
Rating
E. Martel
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
36%
Pass A
6.5
Rating
T. Hubers
Sweeper
Sweeper
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanu
4
Interc
0
Blocks
MID
S. Sebulonsen
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
19%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
I. Johannesson
NPC
NPC
74
Minutes
74
Minute
27%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
T. Krauss
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
3
Tackle
33%
Duel W
J. Kaminski
Sweeper
Sweeper
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanu
3
Interc
1
Blocks
L. Maina
👻InvisibleNothing to note
ATK
J. Thielmann
NPC
NPC
74
Minutes
74
Minute
11%
Pass A
6.3
Rating
R. Ache
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
1
Tackle
85%
Duel W
Bench
R. Zieler
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
C. Ozkacar
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
K. Lund
👻InvisibleNothing to note
74'
D. Heintz
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
A. Castro-Montes
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
S. El Mala
👻InvisibleNothing to note
63'
F. Kainz
Architect
Architect
4
Key Passes
4
Key Pa
0
Assist
5%
Pass A
74'
D. Huseinbasic
👻InvisibleNothing to note
63'
L. Waldschmidt
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
0
Interc
1
Blocks
85'

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
GK
A. Nubel
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
25%
Pass A
6.3
Rating
DEF
J. Vagnoman
Sniper
Sniper
50%
Conversion
50%
Conver
1
Goals
2
Shots
L. Jaquez
👻InvisibleNothing to note
J. Chabot
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
64%
Pass A
6.6
Rating
R. Hendriks
NPC
NPC
61
Minutes
61
Minute
31%
Pass A
6.7
Rating
MID
A. Karazor
Provocateur
Provocateur
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls
3
Duels
0
Pens W
A. Stiller
Architect
Architect
5
Key Passes
5
Key Pa
1
Assist
60%
Pass A
T. Tomas
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
B. El Khannouss
👻InvisibleNothing to note
C. Fuhrich
NPC
NPC
71
Minutes
71
Minute
30%
Pass A
6.3
Rating
ATK
E. Demirovic
Sniper
Sniper
50%
Conversion
50%
Conver
1
Goals
2
Shots
Bench
F. Bredlow
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
A. Al Dakhil
Cameo
Cameo
10
Minutes
10
Minute
2
Touche
None
Events
86'
M. Mittelstadt
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Tar
61'
P. Stenzel
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
L. Assignon
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
N. Nartey
Cameo
Cameo
10
Minutes
10
Minute
4
Touche
None
Events
86'
C. Andres
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
J. Leweling
👻InvisibleNothing to note
71'
B. Bouanani
Sweeper
Sweeper
2
Cleanups
2
Cleanu
2
Interc
0
Blocks
71'

Head to Head Record

24/02/2024
1 - 1
1. FC Köln
Bundesliga
Stuttgart Arena
30/09/2023
1. FC Köln
0 - 2
Bundesliga
Cologne Stadium
18/02/2023
3 - 0
1. FC Köln
Bundesliga
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
19/11/2022
1. FC Köln
2 - 4
Friendlies Clubs
Q2 Stadium
28/08/2022
1. FC Köln
0 - 0
Bundesliga
RheinEnergieStadion
14/05/2022
2 - 1
1. FC Köln
Bundesliga
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
19/12/2021
1. FC Köln
1 - 0
Bundesliga
RheinEnergieStadion
27/10/2021
0 - 2
1. FC Köln
DFB Pokal
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
20/02/2021
1. FC Köln
0 - 1
Bundesliga
RheinEnergieStadion
1. FC Köln Win
VfB Stuttgart Win
Draw

After Matchweek 5

P
5
GF
22
GA
3
GD
+19
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
P
5
GF
11
GA
3
GD
+8
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
P
5
GF
7
GA
7
GD
0
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
P
5
GF
17
GA
13
GD
+4
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
P
5
GF
7
GA
6
GD
+1
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
P
5
GF
10
GA
8
GD
+2
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
D
Draw
L
Loss
71. FC Köln7
P
5
GF
10
GA
9
GD
+1
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
P
5
GF
9
GA
9
GD
0
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
5
GF
8
GA
8
GD
0
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
P
5
GF
9
GA
11
GD
-2
D
Draw
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
P
5
GF
8
GA
11
GD
-3
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
P
5
GF
7
GA
7
GD
0
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
D
Draw
W
Win
P
5
GF
2
GA
8
GD
-6
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
P
5
GF
5
GA
6
GD
-1
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
P
5
GF
8
GA
14
GD
-6
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
D
Draw
L
Loss
P
5
GF
8
GA
12
GD
-4
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
P
5
GF
4
GA
10
GD
-6
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
5
GF
5
GA
12
GD
-7
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
Home Team
Away Team