Bundesliga - Regular Season - 5
Saturday 27 September 202513:30
1/4

Score & Verdict

VfL Wolfsburg
0
-
RB Leipzig
1

Expected Goals (xG)

3.05
VfL Wolfsburg
vs
2.41
RB Leipzig

FutMetrix Score

42
average
-14
vs Pre
Slide 1 of 4
42
FULL TIME
Sat 27 Sep
VfL Wolfsburg
0-1
RB Leipzig
Intensity
24
⚖️ Balance
24
🏆 Stakes
67
🎲 Upset
50
-14 vs pre-game
Bakayoko's early strike settles tight affair

Bakayoko's Ruthless Finish Edges Leipzig Past Struggling Wolfsburg

Average Futmetrix Score: 42/100. RB Leipzig punishes Wolfsburg's early lapse to claim a crucial three points in a relegation-tinged battle—a defeat that deepens the hosts' mid-table malaise.

Eight Minutes to Decide the Day

That's all Johan Bakayoko required to turn this match on its axis. The Leipzig forward's clinical finish from Romulo Cardoso's assist in the 8th minute set the tone for what became a study in Intensity without resolution. Wolfsburg, languishing in 12th with just one win from five games, had no response to this early surgical strike. The hosts' defensive vulnerability was exposed in seconds—a warning sign for a team already battling relegation Stakes.

Grabara's Heroics Cannot Mask Wolfsburg's Bluntness

Kamil Grabara emerged as Wolfsburg's unlikely saviour, producing five saves to keep his side within touching distance. Yet the underlying narrative was damning: 22 shots, only four on target, an expected goals figure of 3.05 that promised far more than the pitch delivered. Leipzig, conversely, needed just one moment of Wolfsburg carelessness and one clinical finish. The Balance of the match tilted decisively toward the visitors despite the home side's 51% possession.

Corner Pressure and Late Controversy

Seventeen corners—11 for Leipzig—created a relentless siege mentality, yet only one found the net. The 88th minute brought VAR drama when Péter Guláscsi's side saw a penalty confirmed against Bakayoko, adding controversy to an already tight contest. For Wolfsburg, this loss deepens the crisis: five points, zero goal difference, and the spectre of the drop zone looming. Leipzig, meanwhile, consolidates third place with four wins in five—a statement of intent in the title race.

Why is this match rated 42/100?

Our Futmetrix algorithm analyzed intensity, balance, and stakes. The final score of 42/100 places this match in the "Average" category.

Match Statistics

Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Passes
Pass Accuracy
Yellow Cards

Match Events

8'
J. Bakayoko
Assist: Romulo Cardoso
🟨24'
Yan Diomande
🟨45'
Willi Orbán
HT
46'🔄
P. Wimmer
↑ A. Daghim
58'🟨
Maximilian Arnold
🔄64'
A. Ouedraogo
↑ E. Banzuzi
70'🔄
M. Svanberg
↑ C. Eriksen
70'🔄
J. Wind
↑ D. Pejcinovic
🔄79'
Y. Diomande
↑ A. Nusa
🔄79'
Romulo Cardoso
↑ C. Harder
88'
Johan Bakayoko
90'🟨
Konstantinos Koulierakis
90'+1🔄
K. Fischer
↑ A. Zehnter
90'+1🔄
Vini Souza
↑ L. Majer
🔄90'+3
C. Baumgartner
↑ T. Werner
🔄90'+3
J. Bakayoko
↑ K. Kampl
FT

Player Match Cards

VfL Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
GK
K. Grabara
👻InvisibleNothing to note
DEF
K. Fischer
Architect
Architect
2
Key Passes
2
Key Pa
0
Assist
33%
Pass A
M. Jenz
👻InvisibleNothing to note
K. Koulierakis
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
J. Maehle
Friendly Fire
Friendly Fire
0
Mistake
0
Mistak
1
Fouls
6.5
Rating
MID
M. Arnold
Architect
Architect
3
Key Passes
3
Key Pa
0
Assist
49%
Pass A
Vini Souza
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
4
Tackle
55%
Duel W
M. Amoura
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
M. Svanberg
NPC
NPC
70
Minutes
70
Minute
13%
Pass A
6.6
Rating
P. Wimmer
Provocateur
Provocateur
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls
4
Duels
0
Pens W
ATK
J. Wind
👻InvisibleNothing to note
Bench
M. Muller
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
S. Kumbedi
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
A. Zehnter
Cameo
Cameo
1
Minutes
1
Minute
4
Touche
None
Events
90'
Y. Gerhardt
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
C. Eriksen
👻InvisibleNothing to note
70'
L. Majer
Cameo
Cameo
1
Minutes
1
Minute
1
Touche
None
Events
90'
B. Dardai
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
D. Pejcinovic
👻InvisibleNothing to note
70'
A. Daghim
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
0
Interc
1
Blocks
46'

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
GK
P. Gulacsi
👻InvisibleNothing to note
DEF
R. Baku
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
W. Orban
👻InvisibleNothing to note
C. Lukeba
Sweeper
Sweeper
8
Cleanups
8
Cleanu
4
Interc
4
Blocks
D. Raum
Architect
Architect
4
Key Passes
4
Key Pa
0
Assist
50%
Pass A
MID
A. Ouedraogo
👻InvisibleNothing to note
C. Baumgartner
Architect
Architect
4
Key Passes
4
Key Pa
0
Assist
20%
Pass A
N. Seiwald
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
3
Tackle
50%
Duel W
ATK
J. Bakayoko
Finisher
Finisher
1
Goals
1
Goals
4
Shots
8.7
Rating
Romulo Cardoso
Sweeper
Sweeper
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanu
2
Interc
1
Blocks
Y. Diomande
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
1
Interc
0
Blocks
Bench
M. Vandevoordt
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
E. Bitshiabu
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
L. Klostermann
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
E. Banzuzi
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
64'
A. Nusa
Dribbler
Dribbler
3
Dribbles
3
Dribbl
3
Attemp
100%
Succes
79'
A. Maksimovic
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
K. Kampl
Cameo
Cameo
1
Minutes
1
Minute
2
Touche
None
Events
90'
C. Harder
Cameo
Cameo
11
Minutes
11
Minute
6
Touche
None
Events
79'
T. Werner
Cameo
Cameo
1
Minutes
1
Minute
1
Touche
None
Events
90'

Head to Head Record

11/04/2025
Bundesliga
Volkswagen Arena
26/02/2025
DFB Pokal
Red Bull Arena
30/11/2024
Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena
13/04/2024
Bundesliga
Leipzig Stadium
25/11/2023
Bundesliga
Volkswagen Arena
31/10/2023
DFB Pokal
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
18/02/2023
Bundesliga
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
27/08/2022
Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena
23/01/2022
Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena
VfL Wolfsburg Win
RB Leipzig Win
Draw

After Matchweek 5

P
5
GF
22
GA
3
GD
+19
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
P
5
GF
11
GA
3
GD
+8
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
P
5
GF
7
GA
7
GD
0
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
P
5
GF
17
GA
13
GD
+4
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
P
5
GF
7
GA
6
GD
+1
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
P
5
GF
10
GA
8
GD
+2
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
D
Draw
L
Loss
71. FC Köln7
P
5
GF
10
GA
9
GD
+1
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
P
5
GF
9
GA
9
GD
0
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
5
GF
8
GA
8
GD
0
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
P
5
GF
9
GA
11
GD
-2
D
Draw
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
P
5
GF
8
GA
11
GD
-3
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
P
5
GF
7
GA
7
GD
0
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
D
Draw
W
Win
P
5
GF
2
GA
8
GD
-6
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
P
5
GF
5
GA
6
GD
-1
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
P
5
GF
8
GA
14
GD
-6
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
D
Draw
L
Loss
P
5
GF
8
GA
12
GD
-4
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
P
5
GF
4
GA
10
GD
-6
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
5
GF
5
GA
12
GD
-7
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
Home Team
Away Team