Liga MX Gameweek 10, Apertura

Cruz Azul vs NS Toluca

Estadio Banorte

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
96
Cruz Azul
vs
Toluca
Sat, Sep 26 • 22:50 Español
⚡ Form 77
⚖️ Balance 100
🏆 Stakes 100
⭐ Stars 89
Title race tension at its peak.

Win Probability

  • Cruz Azul 35%
  • Draw 28%
  • Toluca 37%

Futmetrix AI estimate

A top-of-the-table clash that could redefine the season

Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 96/100. This genuine six-pointer will either blow the Apertura title race wide open or see the league leaders pull away for good.

The Setup

The margins could not be tighter as we head to Estadio Banorte on September 26, 2026. Cruz Azul sit just four points adrift of top spot, needing a massive performance to close the gap. A maximum Stakes rating confirms this is a defining moment for the hosts. However, Toluca arrive as the league's undisputed away specialists. The visitors boast an imposing Form rating, riding a four-match winning streak with a ruthless 75% win rate on the road. With both teams featuring significant attacking firepower, maintaining tactical Balance will be crucial for the home side to avoid a shootout.

Key Battle

It comes down to creative control in the center of the park. J. Paradela must dictate the tempo for the hosts and thread passes through a rigid defensive block. He faces a towering challenge in stopping the momentum of O. Virgen. The clash of these Stars will completely alter the trajectory of the match depending on who imposes their will first.

Our Prediction

Expect an absolute thriller. Toluca's momentum and incredible away record give them the decisive edge. The visitors will strike efficiently in transition to snatch a narrow, high-scoring victory from a desperate home side.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Absolutely. It is a defining top-of-the-table clash featuring two heavily attacking teams. A must-watch fixture.

What's the predicted outcome?

We back Toluca to secure a narrow victory in a highly entertaining match full of goals.

Where are Cruz Azul and Toluca in the league table?

Toluca currently leads the league in first place with 19 points. Cruz Azul follows in fourth with 15 points.

What is Toluca's current form?

They are flying. The visitors boast four straight wins and remain unbeaten in their last five outings.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Keep an eye on Toluca's O. Virgen, who has 1 goal and 1 assist in 1 match, averaging a massive 9.0 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/24/2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario
04/20/2025 Toluca 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
07/21/2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
04/28/2024 Toluca 0 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
07/08/2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 2 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Azteca
02/12/2023 Toluca 3 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
08/24/2025
Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario
04/20/2025
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
07/21/2024
Liga MX Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
04/28/2024
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
07/08/2023
Liga MX Estadio Azteca
02/12/2023
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
Cruz Azul Win
Toluca Win
Draw

Season Statistics

4
League Position
1
15
Points
19
16
Goals Scored
20
15
Goals Conceded
9

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Toluca 9 19 20 9 +11 LToluca 2 - 3 Santos Laguna (21-09-2026)WPuebla 0 - 1 Toluca (16-09-2026)WToluca 5 - 2 Atlas (12-09-2026)WToluca 4 - 0 FC Juarez (31-08-2026)WClub Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca (22-08-2026)
2 Guadalajara Chivas 9 18 17 8 +9 DClub America 2 - 2 Guadalajara Chivas (20-09-2026)WGuadalajara Chivas 3 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (14-09-2026)WAtletico San Luis 0 - 3 Guadalajara Chivas (05-09-2026)DCF Pachuca 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (29-08-2026)WGuadalajara Chivas 5 - 2 Club Tijuana (22-08-2026)
3 Club America 8 17 17 8 +9 DClub America 2 - 2 Guadalajara Chivas (20-09-2026)LCruz Azul 4 - 3 Club America (13-09-2026)WClub America 2 - 0 Puebla (30-08-2026)WFC Juarez 1 - 2 Club America (22-08-2026)WClub America 3 - 0 Atletico San Luis (16-08-2026)
4 Cruz Azul 9 15 16 15 +1 LMonterrey 1 - 0 Cruz Azul (20-09-2026)WCruz Azul 4 - 3 Club America (13-09-2026)WCruz Azul 1 - 0 Santos Laguna (06-09-2026)WNecaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul (29-08-2026)LCruz Azul 0 - 2 Atlas (23-08-2026)
5 Club Queretaro 8 14 11 8 +3 DClub Queretaro 1 - 1 Leon (21-09-2026)WClub Tijuana 0 - 1 Club Queretaro (12-09-2026)WAtlas 1 - 3 Club Queretaro (29-08-2026)LClub Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca (22-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro (16-08-2026)
6 Club Tijuana 8 14 12 10 +2 DCF Pachuca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana (21-09-2026)LClub Tijuana 0 - 1 Club Queretaro (12-09-2026)WClub Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (29-08-2026)LGuadalajara Chivas 5 - 2 Club Tijuana (22-08-2026)WClub Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul (17-08-2026)
7 Leon 9 14 12 10 +2 DClub Queretaro 1 - 1 Leon (21-09-2026)WLeon 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis (15-09-2026)LU.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon (11-09-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Leon (29-08-2026)WLeon 2 - 0 Monterrey (22-08-2026)
8 Puebla 9 14 11 11 0 DPuebla 1 - 1 Atlante FC (19-09-2026)LPuebla 0 - 1 Toluca (16-09-2026)WNecaxa 0 - 1 Puebla (12-09-2026)LClub America 2 - 0 Puebla (30-08-2026)WPuebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (23-08-2026)
9 Atlas 9 14 13 15 -2 DAtlas 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (19-09-2026)LToluca 5 - 2 Atlas (12-09-2026)DAtlas 1 - 1 Atlante FC (06-09-2026)LAtlas 1 - 3 Club Queretaro (29-08-2026)WCruz Azul 0 - 2 Atlas (23-08-2026)
10 Monterrey 8 13 14 10 +4 WMonterrey 1 - 0 Cruz Azul (20-09-2026)DMonterrey 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (13-09-2026)LMonterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis (31-08-2026)LLeon 2 - 0 Monterrey (22-08-2026)WMonterrey 6 - 1 FC Juarez (16-08-2026)
11 CF Pachuca 9 12 15 10 +5 DCF Pachuca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana (21-09-2026)WAtlante FC 0 - 3 CF Pachuca (12-09-2026)WFC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca (05-09-2026)DCF Pachuca 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (29-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 1 - 1 CF Pachuca (23-08-2026)
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 9 12 12 13 -1 DAtlas 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (19-09-2026)LGuadalajara Chivas 3 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (14-09-2026)WU.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon (11-09-2026)LClub Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (29-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa (24-08-2026)
13 Atletico San Luis 9 9 11 16 -5 WAtletico San Luis 3 - 1 Necaxa (19-09-2026)LLeon 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis (15-09-2026)LAtletico San Luis 0 - 3 Guadalajara Chivas (05-09-2026)WMonterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis (31-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 1 - 1 CF Pachuca (23-08-2026)
14 Atlante FC 9 8 8 13 -5 DPuebla 1 - 1 Atlante FC (19-09-2026)LAtlante FC 0 - 3 CF Pachuca (12-09-2026)DAtlas 1 - 1 Atlante FC (06-09-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Leon (29-08-2026)LTigres UANL 2 - 0 Atlante FC (22-08-2026)
15 Necaxa 9 8 10 16 -6 LAtletico San Luis 3 - 1 Necaxa (19-09-2026)LNecaxa 0 - 1 Puebla (12-09-2026)DTigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa (06-09-2026)LNecaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul (29-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa (24-08-2026)
16 Tigres UANL 9 7 9 13 -4 LFC Juarez 2 - 0 Tigres UANL (19-09-2026)DMonterrey 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (13-09-2026)DTigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa (06-09-2026)DSantos Laguna 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (30-08-2026)WTigres UANL 2 - 0 Atlante FC (22-08-2026)
17 Santos Laguna 9 7 9 15 -6 WToluca 2 - 3 Santos Laguna (21-09-2026)WSantos Laguna 2 - 1 FC Juarez (14-09-2026)LCruz Azul 1 - 0 Santos Laguna (06-09-2026)DSantos Laguna 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (30-08-2026)LPuebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (23-08-2026)
18 FC Juarez 9 3 6 23 -17 WFC Juarez 2 - 0 Tigres UANL (19-09-2026)LSantos Laguna 2 - 1 FC Juarez (14-09-2026)LFC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca (05-09-2026)LToluca 4 - 0 FC Juarez (31-08-2026)LFC Juarez 1 - 2 Club America (22-08-2026)

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