Liga MX Gameweek 8, Apertura

Toluca vs NS Atlas

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
90
Toluca
vs
Atlas
Sat, Sep 12 β€’ 23:05 EspaΓ±ol
⚑ Form 84
βš–οΈ Balance 57
πŸ† Stakes 82
⭐ Stars 75
Top-four ambitions on the line.

Win Probability

  • Toluca 63%
  • Draw 22%
  • Atlas 15%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Top Four Showdown: Toluca's Firepower Meets Atlas's Away Might

Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 90/100. With both sides firmly entrenched in a tight race at the top of the table, this clash is the ultimate litmus test for their title credentials.

The Setup

The Stakes are massive this September 12, 2026, as third-placed Toluca host fifth-placed Atlas in a pivotal Liga MX Apertura battle. The visitors arrive with an impeccable away record, boasting three wins from three on the road. However, Toluca's offensive machinery is firing on all cylinders, contributing to a massive combined goals-per-game average of 4.7 between these two sides. Our Form metrics reflect two teams peaking at the right time, though Toluca's overwhelming favorite status suggests a heavy tilt in home advantage. The Balance of power will shift depending on who controls the tempo early, while a high Stars rating highlights the sheer individual quality ready to tilt the scales.

Key Battle

This matchup hinges on a classic tactical clash: Toluca's relentless attacking unit against the resolute Atlas defensive block. With the hosts averaging nearly three goals a game, the visitors' back line will need flawless discipline to protect their perfect away streak. If the away defense sits too deep, Toluca's wave of pressure will eventually break them down.

Our Prediction

While Atlas thrives on the road, Toluca's firepower is simply too overwhelming. Expect the hosts to dictate the rhythm, break down the low block in the second half, and secure a breathless 3-1 victory to solidify their top-four status.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. It is a thrilling top-four battle featuring two of the most entertaining and in-form teams in the league.

What's the predicted outcome?

Toluca will leverage their attacking dominance to secure a 3-1 victory, finally breaking Atlas's perfect away streak.

Where are Toluca and Atlas in the league table?

Toluca currently sits in 3rd place with 13 points, while Atlas is closely behind in 5th place with 12 points.

What is Toluca's current form?

Toluca is in excellent shape, boasting a WWDWL record across their last five matches in the competition.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

The in-form player is Helinho (Toluca) with 1 goal in 1 match, averaging an 8.3 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
03/15/2026 Toluca 1 - 1 Atlas Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Diez
11/01/2025 Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
04/13/2025 Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
09/28/2024 Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
04/07/2024 Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
08/26/2023 Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
02/02/2023 Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
07/10/2022 Toluca 3 - 2 Atlas Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
04/24/2022 Toluca 2 - 4 Atlas Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
08/21/2021 Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
03/15/2026
1 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Diez
11/01/2025
0 - 0
Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
04/13/2025
2 - 3
Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
09/28/2024
4 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
04/07/2024
4 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
08/26/2023
0 - 0
Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
02/02/2023
0 - 0
Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
07/10/2022
3 - 2
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
04/24/2022
2 - 4
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio DΓ­ez
08/21/2021
0 - 0
Liga MX Estadio Jalisco
Toluca Win
Atlas Win
Draw

Season Statistics

3
League Position
5
13
Points
13
12
Goals Scored
10
4
Goals Conceded
9

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Club America 6 16 12 2 +10 WClub America 2 - 0 Puebla (30-08-2026)WFC Juarez 1 - 2 Club America (22-08-2026)WClub America 3 - 0 Atletico San Luis (16-08-2026)WClub America 3 - 0 Santos Laguna (02-08-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Club America (25-07-2026)
2 Guadalajara Chivas 7 14 12 6 +6 WAtletico San Luis 0 - 3 Guadalajara Chivas (05-09-2026)DCF Pachuca 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (29-08-2026)WGuadalajara Chivas 5 - 2 Club Tijuana (22-08-2026)WSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (17-08-2026)DPuebla 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (01-08-2026)
3 Toluca 6 13 12 4 +8 WToluca 4 - 0 FC Juarez (31-08-2026)WClub Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca (22-08-2026)DAtlante FC 0 - 0 Toluca (15-08-2026)WToluca 3 - 1 Necaxa (03-08-2026)LToluca 1 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (22-07-2026)
4 Club Tijuana 6 13 10 7 +3 LClub Tijuana 0 - 1 Club Queretaro (12-09-2026)WClub Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (29-08-2026)LGuadalajara Chivas 5 - 2 Club Tijuana (22-08-2026)WClub Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul (17-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 0 - 0 Club Tijuana (01-08-2026)
5 Atlas 7 13 10 9 +1 DAtlas 1 - 1 Atlante FC (06-09-2026)LAtlas 1 - 3 Club Queretaro (29-08-2026)WCruz Azul 0 - 2 Atlas (23-08-2026)WAtlas 2 - 1 Tigres UANL (16-08-2026)LAtlas 0 - 2 Monterrey (02-08-2026)
6 Puebla 7 13 10 9 +1 WNecaxa 0 - 1 Puebla (12-09-2026)LClub America 2 - 0 Puebla (30-08-2026)WPuebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (23-08-2026)WCF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla (18-08-2026)DPuebla 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (01-08-2026)
7 Cruz Azul 7 12 12 11 +1 WCruz Azul 1 - 0 Santos Laguna (06-09-2026)WNecaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul (29-08-2026)LCruz Azul 0 - 2 Atlas (23-08-2026)LClub Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul (17-08-2026)LCruz Azul 2 - 3 Atlante FC (02-08-2026)
8 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 7 11 11 9 +2 WU.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon (11-09-2026)LClub Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (29-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa (24-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro (16-08-2026)WFC Juarez 1 - 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (01-08-2026)
9 Club Queretaro 6 10 9 7 +2 WClub Tijuana 0 - 1 Club Queretaro (12-09-2026)WAtlas 1 - 3 Club Queretaro (29-08-2026)LClub Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca (22-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro (16-08-2026)WClub Queretaro 3 - 2 Tigres UANL (01-08-2026)
10 Leon 7 10 9 9 0 LU.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon (11-09-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Leon (29-08-2026)WLeon 2 - 0 Monterrey (22-08-2026)WNecaxa 1 - 2 Leon (18-08-2026)WLeon 1 - 0 CF Pachuca (02-08-2026)
11 Monterrey 6 9 13 10 +3 LMonterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis (31-08-2026)LLeon 2 - 0 Monterrey (22-08-2026)WMonterrey 6 - 1 FC Juarez (16-08-2026)WAtlas 0 - 2 Monterrey (02-08-2026)LNecaxa 2 - 1 Monterrey (26-07-2026)
12 CF Pachuca 7 8 10 8 +2 WAtlante FC 0 - 3 CF Pachuca (12-09-2026)WFC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca (05-09-2026)DCF Pachuca 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (29-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 1 - 1 CF Pachuca (23-08-2026)LCF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla (18-08-2026)
13 Necaxa 8 8 9 13 -4 LNecaxa 0 - 1 Puebla (12-09-2026)DTigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa (06-09-2026)LNecaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul (29-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa (24-08-2026)LNecaxa 1 - 2 Leon (18-08-2026)
14 Atlante FC 7 7 7 9 -2 LAtlante FC 0 - 3 CF Pachuca (12-09-2026)DAtlas 1 - 1 Atlante FC (06-09-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Leon (29-08-2026)LTigres UANL 2 - 0 Atlante FC (22-08-2026)DAtlante FC 0 - 0 Toluca (15-08-2026)
15 Tigres UANL 7 6 9 11 -2 DTigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa (06-09-2026)DSantos Laguna 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (30-08-2026)WTigres UANL 2 - 0 Atlante FC (22-08-2026)LAtlas 2 - 1 Tigres UANL (16-08-2026)LClub Queretaro 3 - 2 Tigres UANL (01-08-2026)
16 Atletico San Luis 7 6 8 13 -5 LAtletico San Luis 0 - 3 Guadalajara Chivas (05-09-2026)WMonterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis (31-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 1 - 1 CF Pachuca (23-08-2026)LClub America 3 - 0 Atletico San Luis (16-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 0 - 0 Club Tijuana (01-08-2026)
17 Santos Laguna 7 1 4 12 -8 LCruz Azul 1 - 0 Santos Laguna (06-09-2026)DSantos Laguna 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (30-08-2026)LPuebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (23-08-2026)LSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (17-08-2026)LClub America 3 - 0 Santos Laguna (02-08-2026)
18 FC Juarez 7 0 3 21 -18 LFC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca (05-09-2026)LToluca 4 - 0 FC Juarez (31-08-2026)LFC Juarez 1 - 2 Club America (22-08-2026)LMonterrey 6 - 1 FC Juarez (16-08-2026)LFC Juarez 1 - 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (01-08-2026)