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Futmetrix Verdict
100
FT
Sun, Oct 25
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
⚡ Intensity
68
⚖️ Balance
42
🏆 Stakes
100
🎲 Upset
60
Mbappé breaks El Clásico late
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
Ryan Mmaee (Florián Monzón) 5'
HT
64' ↓ Matias Espindola ↑Javier Ruiz
Elías Montiel 67'
↓ Ryan Mmaee ↑Jorge Rodríguez 70'
74' ↓ Emilio Martínez ↑Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos
74' ↓ Pedro Pedraza ↑Juan Valencia
↓ Kevin Zenon ↑Manuel Capasso 76'
↓ Luís André Leite Esteves ↑Edgar Zaldívar 76'
Adonis Frías 77'
81' ↓ Carlos Vargas ↑Miguel Pedroza
82' ↓ Owen González ↑Rogelio Cortéz
↓ Jorge Sánchez ↑Gaddi Aguirre 85'
Manuel Capasso 90'
90'+3 Diego Ochoa
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Atlas
Goalkeepers
Camilo Vargas 
MAGNET
50
Activity
50
Activity
49
Passes
1
Duels
Defenders
Jorge Sánchez 
LATE SHIFT
5
Late Mins
5
Late Mins
85
Total Mins
85
Entry
Adonis Frías 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Juan José Purata
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nahuel Valenzuela 
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
1
Fouls
6.6
Rating
Midfielders
Elías Montiel 
ENFORCER
3
Tackles
3
Tackles
7
Duels Won
78%
Win %
Paulo Ramírez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kevin Zenón
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Luís Esteves
LATE SHIFT
14
Late Mins
14
Late Mins
76
Total Mins
76
Entry
Forwards
Florian Monzon 
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
10
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Ryan Mmaee 
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
BENCH
Antonio Sánchez 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Jorge Rodríguez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
20
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gaddi Aguirre
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
5
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Manuel Capasso 
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.9
Rating
Édgar Zaldívar
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Aldo Rocha
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Víctor Ríos
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sergio Hernández
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
José Martín
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Arturo González
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | Atlas | 0 - 0 | Necaxa | Friendlies Clubs | |
| 01/17/2026 | Necaxa | 0 - 1 | Atlas | Liga MX | Estadio Victoria |
| 12/30/2025 | Atlas | 5 - 3 | Necaxa | Friendlies Clubs | |
| 09/27/2025 | Atlas | 3 - 2 | Necaxa | Liga MX | Estadio Jalisco |
| 02/19/2025 | Atlas | 0 - 4 | Necaxa | Liga MX | Estadio Jalisco |
| 12/23/2024 | Atlas | 1 - 2 | Necaxa | Friendlies Clubs | TBC |
| 11/10/2024 | Necaxa | 0 - 0 | Atlas | Liga MX | Estadio Victoria |
| 01/15/2024 | Necaxa | 2 - 1 | Atlas | Liga MX | Estadio Victoria |
| 11/11/2023 | Atlas | 0 - 0 | Necaxa | Liga MX | Estadio Jalisco |
| 04/22/2023 | Necaxa | 1 - 3 | Atlas | Liga MX | Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes |
Necaxa Win
Atlas Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 11 GD: +13
P: 12 GD: +10
P: 12 GD: +1
P: 12 GD: +7
P: 12 GD: +6
P: 11 GD: +2
P: 12 GD: +1
P: 11 GD: +3
P: 12 GD: +1
P: 11 GD: +1
P: 12 GD: -1
P: 12 GD: -1
P: 12 GD: -2
P: 12 GD: +3
P: 12 GD: -5
P: 12 GD: -6
P: 12 GD: -10
League Standings
P: 12 GD: +16
P: 13 GD: +8
P: 13 GD: +7
P: 13 GD: +10
P: 13 GD: +3
P: 13 GD: -2
P: 12 GD: +6
P: 12 GD: +1
P: 13 GD: +3
P: 12 GD: +1
P: 13 GD: -3
P: 13 GD: -4
P: 13 GD: -4
P: 13 GD: -4
P: 13 GD: -5
P: 13 GD: +2
P: 13 GD: -11
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Necaxa
Atlas
Necaxa
Atlas
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Ten-Man Atlas Survive Late Siege to Secure Vital Victory Away
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 58/100. Atlas overcame an intense second-half siege and a costly red card to secure a crucial away win, leaving Necaxa deeper in the league's bottom tier.
The Early Blitz
The match kicked off with incredibly high Intensity at Estadio Victoria, instantly disrupting the home side's rhythm. Only five minutes in, the visitors found their breakthrough. A swift sequence saw Atlas attacker Ryan Mmaee slot home a precise opener, a goal quickly confirmed by VAR. Desperate to climb away from the bottom of the table, Necaxa tried to respond immediately, driven by the midfield efforts of Elías Montiel. Despite edging possession, the overall Balance of the match remained firmly in favour of the visitors' structured shape. The home side peppered the penalty area but completely lacked the clinical finishing required to trouble the scorers during the first half.
The Red Card Drama
The complexion of the fixture shifted drastically after the break. As Necaxa ramped up the pressure, the Stakes grew immense for the visiting side. In the 67th minute, VAR intervened once more, leading to a straight red card for Milton Valenzuela following a serious foul. Reduced to ten men, the away side had to completely alter their defensive shape. The hosts smelled blood and launched an absolute barrage, earning 10 corners and racking up 21 total shots over the ninety minutes. Outstanding defensive work, orchestrated by the imperious J. Purata, kept the home attackers continually at bay, heading away danger as the tension reached a boiling point.
The Late Sucker Punch
With Necaxa committing everyone forward in frantic search of an equaliser, a high Upset Factor lingered heavily in the air, but the ten men had one final trick. Managerial substitutions proved decisive when Manuel Capasso entered the fray to shore up the backline. In the 90th minute, Capasso found space on a rare counter-attack to seal the result, doubling the lead and entirely deflating the home crowd. This 0-2 victory acts as a massive boost for Atlas, keeping them comfortably in the upper playoff spots. Meanwhile, the home side remains anchored near the bottom, facing mounting questions after failing to convert heavy possession into meaningful goals.
Key Questions
How did the red card for Milton Valenzuela impact the match?
It forced Atlas into a deep defensive block for the final 25 minutes. Despite conceding heavy pressure and 21 total shots, their resolute defending ultimately preserved the clean sheet.
How did VAR change this match?
VAR heavily influenced the outcome by confirming Ryan Mmaee's 5th-minute opener and later intervening to ensure Milton Valenzuela received a red card in the 67th minute.
How did substitute M. Capasso change the game?
Brought on in the 76th minute to stabilize a ten-man defense, Capasso stunningly sealed the 0-2 victory with a 90th-minute goal against the run of play.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Survival Instincts Tested as Atlas Roll into Town
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 64/100. Necaxa’s desperate fight for league survival clashes with an Atlas side that looks utterly lethal on the road.
The Setup
The pressure is reaching a boiling point at Estadio Victoria. Necaxa sit 17th with just eight points, enduring a dismal Form rating marked by four losses in their last five matches. Every game is now a relegation battle for the beleaguered hosts. Conversely, Atlas are thriving on their travels, sitting comfortably in sixth place and boasting an impressive 80% win rate away from home. Despite the chasm in the table, the Balance of this Apertura clash promises action, largely because both teams feature extremely leaky defenses that combine to concede nearly four goals a game. The Stakes could not be higher for the home side, giving the visiting Stars the perfect opportunity to punish them on the break.
Key Battle
This match hinges entirely on Necaxa's fragile backline attempting to weather the storm of the visitors' rapid counter-attacks. With the hosts shipping two goals per game, their defensive unit must tighten up collectively, or the away side's road-warrior mentality will carve them wide open.
Our Prediction
Expect a chaotic, high-scoring affair. Necaxa will push forward out of pure necessity, leaving glaring gaps at the back. We anticipate a 3-1 away victory for Atlas, systematically dismantling the hosts in transition.