Union Berlin 2 - 2 FT FSV Mainz 05

Late Iron Resilience: Union Berlin Deny Mainz at the Death

Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 56/100. A spirited late surge saw Union Berlin claw back from two goals down to secure a draw, leaving bottom-of-the-table Mainz 05 devastated after leading for much of the afternoon.

A Shock at the Alten Försterei

The atmosphere at Stadion An der Alten Försterei shifted from expectant to nervous as the visitors took control. Despite their position at the foot of the table, FSV Mainz 05 played with a high **Upset Factor** and clinical efficiency. The deadlock was broken in the 30th minute by Nadiem Amiri, who finished a well-worked move orchestrated by Lee Jae-Sung. Mainz maintained their Balance throughout the first half, frustrating the home side by limiting them to speculative efforts despite Union controlling 57% of the possession.

The Köhn Connection Ignites the Comeback

When B. Hollerbach doubled the lead for the visitors in the 69th minute, the **Stakes** could not have been higher for a Mainz side desperate for a lifeline in the relegation battle. However, the introduction of Jeong Woo-Yeong proved inspired. The South Korean international reduced the deficit in the 77th minute, meeting a brilliant delivery from Derrick Köhn. Köhn was the creative heartbeat for the hosts, registering two assists and five key passes as he relentlessly attacked the flanks.

The final ten minutes saw a significant increase in Intensity as Union Berlin laid siege to the Mainz goal. The pressure eventually told in the 86th minute. Once again, it was Köhn who provided the ammunition, finding D. Doekhi, whose powerful header found the back of the net to level the scores. Statistically, Union were the superior side with an xG of 2.23 compared to Mainz's 1.10, but the result feels like a loss for the visitors who remain rooted to the bottom of the Bundesliga with just one win all season. For Union, this was a display of the "Iron" character that has come to define the club in recent years.

Survival Stakes at Stadion An der Alten Försterei: Union Must Deliver

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 43/100. A certified six-pointer—Union Berlin cannot afford to slip up against a Mainz 05 side fighting for their Bundesliga life.

The Setup

The stakes are brutal. Union Berlin sits eighth with 21 points, but the gap to the relegation zone is razor-thin. Mainz 05 are in freefall—just one win from 15 matches, marooned on 8 points at the bottom. Their form is nightmarish (DLLDL), while Union have sparked back to life (WWLLW). The balance of quality is stark, yet Mainz have nothing to lose and everything to gain from a desperate gamble.

Key Battle

Union will dominate possession and press early; Mainz must absorb that intensity and strike on the counter. The midfield becomes the battleground—whoever controls tempo controls the match. Union's defensive solidity (-3 goal difference) will be tested against Mainz's attacking desperation, while the visitors' leaky backline (-13) invites relentless waves of Köpenicker pressure.

Our Prediction

Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05. The hosts weather early chaos, then dissect Mainz's frantic shape through the wings. Mainz grab a consolation goal late, but Union's clinical finishing seals a crucial three points in the relegation dogfight.