Bundesliga - Regular Season - 8
Sunday 26 October 202516:30
1/4

Score & Verdict

VfB Stuttgart
2
-
FSV Mainz 05
1

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94
VfB Stuttgart
vs
1.45
FSV Mainz 05

FutMetrix Score

80
highly_entertaining
+14
vs Pre
Slide 1 of 4
80
FULL TIME
Sun 26 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Intensity
64
⚖️ Balance
74
🏆 Stakes
56
🎲 Upset
50
+14 vs pre-game
Stuttgart's Comeback Thriller at MHP Arena

Stuttgart's Comeback Masterclass: Three Lead Changes at MHP Arena

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 80/100. A masterclass in Intensity at MHP Arena: VfB Stuttgart stormed back to defeat FSV Mainz 05 2-1 in a six-pointer dripping with drama and tactical intrigue.

VAR Controversy and Penalty Shock

The first half's turning point arrived at the 40-minute mark when VAR confirmed a contentious penalty against Stuttgart. Nadiem Amiri converted ruthlessly to give Mainz a 1-0 lead (41'). Yet Stuttgart refused to crumble. With the Balance of a title contender, the hosts struck back instantly: Chris Führich pounced on a Josha Vagnoman cross to level before half-time (45'). The MHP Arena erupted—a match with three lead changes was underway.

Undav's Clinical Finish and Stuttgart's Dominance

After the interval, Stuttgart seized control with ruthless Stakes. Commanding 59% possession and unleashing 19 shots, the hosts suffocated Mainz's resistance. The decisive moment came in the 79th minute: Alexander Nübel released Deniz Undav, who finished clinically for 2-1. Stuttgart's sixth consecutive victory was secured. Mainz, languishing on just four points from eight matches, lacked the precision to mount a genuine threat—only two shots on target from 13 attempts proved their undoing.

The Data Story

Stuttgart fired 32 shots to Mainz's 13, yet the quality gap was starker still. An xG advantage of 1.94 to 1.45 underscored the visitors' desperation. Stefan Bell and Mainz's backline had no answer for Stuttgart's relentless tempo. Stuttgart consolidates third place on 18 points; Mainz's relegation anxiety deepens.

Key Questions

How did Stuttgart complete the comeback from behind?

Führich equalised before half-time, then Undav's 79th-minute finish sealed it. Stuttgart's 59% possession dominance proved decisive.

What does this mean for VfB Stuttgart's season?

Stuttgart remains third on 18 points and extends their winning streak. A genuine title contender showing champion's character.

Why is this match rated 80/100?

Our Futmetrix algorithm analyzed intensity, balance, and stakes. The final score of 80/100 places this match in the "Highly Entertaining" category.

Match Statistics

Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Passes
Pass Accuracy

Match Events

40'
Stefan Bell
41'
N. Amiri
45'
C. Fuhrich
Assist: J. Vagnoman
45'+1🟨
Pascal Stenzel
HT
🟨59'
Phillipp Mwene
62'🔄
N. Nartey
↑ A. Stiller
62'🔄
P. Stenzel
↑ L. Assignon
🟨63'
Dominik Kohr
65'🟨
Finn Jeltsch
🔄67'
B. Hollerbach
↑ A. Sieb
🔄67'
D. Kohr
↑ A. Hanche-Olsen
72'🔄
J. Leweling
↑ T. Tomas
72'🔄
C. Fuhrich
↑ B. El Khannouss
75'🔄
D. Zagadou
↑ J. Chabot
77'🟨
Lorenz Assignon
79'
D. Undav
Assist: A. Nubel
🔄81'
S. Widmer
↑ N. Veratschnig
🔄87'
Lee Jae-Sung
↑ A. Nordin
🔄87'
S. Bell
↑ N. Weiper
90'+8🟨
Tiago Tomás
🟨90'+8
Nadiem Amiri
FT

Player Match Cards

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
GK
A. Nubel
Architect
Architect
1
Key Passes
1
Key Pa
1
Assist
24%
Pass A
DEF
F. Jeltsch
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
51%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
D. Zagadou
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
A. Al Dakhil
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Tar
MID
P. Stenzel
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
C. Andres
Friendly Fire
Friendly Fire
0
Mistake
0
Mistak
1
Fouls
7
Rating
N. Nartey
NPC
NPC
62
Minutes
62
Minute
28%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
J. Vagnoman
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
4
Tackle
54%
Duel W
ATK
J. Leweling
Provocateur
Provocateur
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls
6
Duels
0
Pens W
C. Fuhrich
Sniper
Sniper
100%
Conversion
100%
Conver
1
Goals
1
Shots
D. Undav
Architect
Architect
4
Key Passes
4
Key Pa
0
Assist
15%
Pass A
Bench
F. Bredlow
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
R. Hendriks
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
L. Assignon
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Tar
62'
J. Chabot
👻InvisibleNothing to note
75'
A. Stiller
👻InvisibleNothing to note
62'
B. El Khannouss
👻InvisibleNothing to note
72'
A. Karazor
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
T. Tomas
👻InvisibleNothing to note
72'
B. Bouanani
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events

FSV Mainz 05

3-4-2-1
GK
R. Zentner
👻InvisibleNothing to note
DEF
D. da Costa
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Tar
S. Bell
Sweeper
Sweeper
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanu
3
Interc
2
Blocks
D. Kohr
Sunday Leaguer
Sunday Leaguer
5.9
Rating
5.9
Rating
6
Duels
23
Poss L
MID
P. Mwene
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
14%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
N. Amiri
Sniper
Sniper
50%
Conversion
50%
Conver
1
Goals
2
Shots
K. Sano
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
27%
Pass A
6.6
Rating
S. Widmer
Provocateur
Provocateur
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls
4
Duels
0
Pens W
ATK
P. Nebel
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
21%
Pass A
6.3
Rating
Lee Jae-Sung
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
1
Interc
0
Blocks
B. Hollerbach
NPC
NPC
67
Minutes
67
Minute
5%
Pass A
6.6
Rating
Bench
L. Riess
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
N. Veratschnig
Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Tar
81'
A. Hanche-Olsen
👻InvisibleNothing to note
67'
L. Maloney
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
S. Kawasaki
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
A. Nordin
Cameo
Cameo
11
Minutes
11
Minute
2
Touche
None
Events
87'
A. Sieb
👻InvisibleNothing to note
67'
B. Bobzien
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
N. Weiper
Cameo
Cameo
11
Minutes
11
Minute
2
Touche
None
Events
87'

Head to Head Record

25/01/2025
Bundesliga
MEWA ARENA
31/08/2024
Bundesliga
MHPArena
11/02/2024
Bundesliga
Stuttgart Arena
16/09/2023
Bundesliga
MEWA ARENA
21/05/2023
Bundesliga
MEWA ARENA
21/01/2023
Bundesliga
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
16/04/2022
Bundesliga
MEWA ARENA
26/11/2021
Bundesliga
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
VfB Stuttgart Win
FSV Mainz 05 Win
Draw

After Matchweek 8

P
8
GF
30
GA
4
GD
+26
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
P
8
GF
16
GA
9
GD
+7
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
P
8
GF
13
GA
7
GD
+6
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
P
8
GF
14
GA
6
GD
+8
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
P
8
GF
18
GA
11
GD
+7
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
P
8
GF
21
GA
18
GD
+3
W
Win
D
Draw
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
P
8
GF
15
GA
13
GD
+2
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
81. FC Köln11
P
8
GF
12
GA
11
GD
+1
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
8
GF
12
GA
16
GD
-4
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
8
GF
11
GA
15
GD
-4
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
P
8
GF
11
GA
13
GD
-2
L
Loss
D
Draw
D
Draw
D
Draw
W
Win
P
8
GF
9
GA
13
GD
-4
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
8
GF
7
GA
11
GD
-4
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
P
8
GF
8
GA
14
GD
-6
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
8
GF
12
GA
20
GD
-8
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
8
GF
9
GA
16
GD
-7
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
P
8
GF
7
GA
16
GD
-9
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
P
8
GF
6
GA
18
GD
-12
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
D
Draw
Home Team
Away Team