Austin vs NS San Diego

Q2 Stadium

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Futmetrix Verdict
36
Austin
vs
San Diego
Sun, Sep 27 • 00:30
⚡ Form 51
⚖️ Balance 99
🏆 Stakes 2
⭐ Stars 56
MLS mid-table margins are razor thin.

Win Probability

  • Austin 42%
  • Draw 25%
  • San Diego 32%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Mid-Table Margins at Q2 Stadium

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 36/100. Separated by a single point in the lower half of the standings, this clash represents a desperate scramble for late-season momentum.

The Setup

Austin face a glaring issue with their home record, winning just three of ten matches at Q2 Stadium this season. Their Form rating reflects a stubborn five-match unbeaten streak, but a frustrating string of draws keeps them anchored in 13th place. Just above them sit San Diego, whose own recent run is wildly erratic—three straight losses followed immediately by two consecutive wins that have breathed sudden life into their campaign. The Balance score between these two is exceptionally high, signalling a contest where neither side holds a decisive upper hand. With Stakes running low given their positions at the bottom end of the 15-team table, the sheer quality of individual Stars like Elias Achouri will need to shine through the tactical muck to separate these evenly matched rosters.

Key Battle

It comes down to Austin's misfiring attacking unit against San Diego's unpredictable back line. The hosts desperately need to convert their share of possession into meaningful chances, while the visitors will look to absorb the early pressure and spring devastating counter-attacks. Without a clear mismatch on paper, this tactical struggle in the middle third will dictate the entire tempo of the evening.

Our Prediction

San Diego's recent attacking surge and Austin's ongoing inability to kill off games in their own stadium point toward a frustrating stalemate for the home crowd. Expect the visitors to strike on the break, forcing the Texas side to chase the game. We expect a hard-fought 1-1 draw.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Only if you're a die-hard fan. The low stakes make this a gritty, mid-table scrap rather than a primetime blockbuster.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with Austin continuing their trend of dropping valuable points at home.

Where are Austin and San Diego in the league table?

San Diego sits 9th with 30 points, staying just one point ahead of 13th-placed Austin in the 15-team standings.

What is San Diego's current form?

They have found late momentum, winning their last two matches after suffering a dismal three-game losing streak.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Elias Achouri is the danger man for San Diego, boasting 2 goals in 2 matches and an impressive 7.7 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
06/01/2025 San Diego 2 - 0 Austin Major League Soccer Snapdragon Stadium
03/23/2025 Austin 2 - 1 San Diego Major League Soccer Q2 Stadium
06/01/2025
Major League Soccer Snapdragon Stadium
03/23/2025
Major League Soccer Q2 Stadium
Austin Win
San Diego Win
Draw

Season Statistics

11
League Position
10
30
Points
30
32
Goals Scored
42
44
Goals Conceded
42

Western Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 25 49 56 23 +33 WReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (30-08-2026)
2 Houston Dynamo 26 44 34 30 +4 DHouston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (20-09-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DCharlotte 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo (05-09-2026)DHouston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (30-08-2026)
3 St. Louis City 26 44 45 36 +9 WSt. Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto FC (20-09-2026)WSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)DSt. Louis City 3 - 3 FC Dallas (30-08-2026)
4 FC Dallas 26 44 49 42 +7 DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)WMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)WFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)DSt. Louis City 3 - 3 FC Dallas (30-08-2026)
5 San Jose Earthquakes 26 42 46 38 +8 DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (06-09-2026)DHouston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (30-08-2026)
6 Los Angeles FC 27 41 43 29 +14 DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)WLos Angeles FC 2 - 0 New York Red Bulls (10-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Los Angeles FC (29-08-2026)
7 Colorado Rapids 26 36 36 35 +1 DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 CF Montreal (13-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (05-09-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 27 33 34 42 -8 WMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 New England Revolution (06-09-2026)LSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)
9 Portland Timbers 26 32 47 48 -1 LPortland Timbers 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC (20-09-2026)LFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WPortland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC (06-09-2026)LPortland Timbers 1 - 2 Austin (30-08-2026)
10 San Diego 25 30 42 42 0 LSan Diego 0 - 5 Philadelphia Union (14-09-2026)LSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 0 San Diego (05-09-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (23-08-2026)
11 Austin 26 30 32 44 -12 DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (06-09-2026)WPortland Timbers 1 - 2 Austin (30-08-2026)
12 Real Salt Lake 25 29 37 42 -5 LReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LReal Salt Lake 0 - 2 New York City FC (13-09-2026)LHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
13 Seattle Sounders 24 29 28 33 -5 DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls (06-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 2 - 2 Chicago Fire (29-08-2026)DFC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (22-08-2026)
14 Minnesota United FC 26 29 39 46 -7 LMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)LSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)LMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)LPortland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC (06-09-2026)DMinnesota United FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (30-08-2026)
15 Sporting Kansas City 25 18 29 63 -34 LSporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Philadelphia Union (20-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)LFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (30-08-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (23-08-2026)

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