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Futmetrix Verdict
82
FT
Sun, Oct 11
St. Louis City
6-2
Los Angeles Galaxy
⚡ Intensity 100
⚖️ Balance 33
🏆 Stakes 30
🎲 Upset 0
Holse hat-trick destroys LA Galaxy.

Win Probability

  • St. Louis City 61%
  • Draw 20%
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 19%

Futmetrix AI estimate

St. Louis City Dismantle Galaxy in Historic Eight-Goal Thriller

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 82/100. St. Louis City delivered a masterclass in ruthless finishing to cement their status as genuine contenders, while exposing the Galaxy's fragile defensive spine in a brutal thrashing.

The Early Onslaught

St. Louis City wasted absolutely no time setting a ferocious tempo under the lights at Citypark. The Stakes were crystal clear from the opening whistle, with the hosts desperate to cement their top-four standing in the Western Conference. It took just two minutes for Carlo Holse to shatter the deadlock, burying an early chance off an assist from Rafael Navarro Leal. Five minutes later, Holse struck again. The early barrage left the Los Angeles defense completely shellshocked, unable to track the sheer pace and precision of the home side's movements. St. Louis controlled possession at a comfortable 59%, pinning the Galaxy deep in their own half. Holse then completed an astonishing 21-minute hat-trick, essentially ending the competitive aspect of the match before the visitors had even registered a meaningful attack.

A Fleeting False Dawn

The Balance of the match briefly flickered when Robert Taylor found a response for the visitors in the 31st minute, finishing off a sequence sparked by Erik Thommy. For a fleeting ten minutes, Los Angeles looked capable of crawling back into the fight. That false dawn was brutally extinguished right before the interval. Navarro stepped up to convert a crushing penalty in the 45th minute, deflating the Galaxy's newfound optimism. Deep into first-half stoppage time, Lukas MacNaughton headed home a fifth goal to truly twist the knife. This frantic late-half flurry showcased a ruthless St. Louis attack that outperformed their 2.69 expected goals metric. They were merciless, punishing every single lapse in concentration from a disjointed Galaxy backline.

Total Demolition

Any residual fight left in Los Angeles evaporated shortly after the restart. Navarro grabbed his second of the night in the 53rd minute, capitalizing on a sweeping move orchestrated by Christopher Durkin to make it a staggering six. A late consolation goal set up by substitute Marco Reus barely registered as a footnote for the traveling fans. The sheer volume of action generated an off-the-charts Intensity rating, reflecting an absolute demolition job by the hosts. St. Louis City climbs confidently, proving their formidable five-match unbeaten run is built on genuine firepower. For the 13th-placed Galaxy, who amassed 18 shots but lacked any clinical edge, a massive defensive inquest must begin immediately if they want to salvage their crumbling campaign.

Key Questions

What made C. Holse the Man of the Match?

Carlo Holse delivered a devastating first-half hat-trick within 21 minutes, demonstrating elite finishing and setting an insurmountable tone for St. Louis City.

What caused the 8-goal thriller?

St. Louis combined ruthless attacks with clinical finishing, brutally punishing the Galaxy's disjointed defense in a completely open, high-tempo match.

What does this mean for St. Louis City's season?

This dominant victory cements their fourth-place standing, extending their unbeaten streak and proving they possess the firepower to challenge the league's elite.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
59%
41%
St. Louis City 59%
Los Angeles Galaxy 41%
Shots
11
18
St. Louis City 11
Los Angeles Galaxy 18
Shots on Target
6
7
St. Louis City 6
Los Angeles Galaxy 7
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
2.28
St. Louis City 2.69
Los Angeles Galaxy 2.28
Passes
605
409
St. Louis City 605
Los Angeles Galaxy 409
Corners
2
3
St. Louis City 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 3
Fouls
17
10
St. Louis City 17
Los Angeles Galaxy 10
Yellow Cards
2
2
St. Louis City 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Red Cards
0
0
St. Louis City 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 0

Match Events

2' ⚽ Carlo Holse (Rafael Navarro Leal)
7' ⚽ Carlo Holse (Rafael Navarro Leal)
↓ Kyogo Furuhashi ↑Klauss 🔄 11'
21' ⚽ Carlo Holse (Christopher Durkin)
Robert Taylor (Erik Thommy) ⚽ 31'
↓ Sergi Roberto ↑Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole 🔄 45'
45'+7 ⚽ Lukas MacNaughton (Alexandru Măţan)
HT
53' ⚽ Rafael Navarro Leal (Christopher Durkin)
↓ Pablo Ruiz ↑Marco Reus 🔄 60'
↓ Robert Taylor ↑Joseph Paintsil 🔄 60'
63' 🟨 Conrad Wallem
Klauss (Marco Reus) ⚽ 71'
72' 🔄 ↓ Christopher Durkin ↑Fallou Fall
Harbor Miller 🟨 74'
↓ Erik Thommy ↑Carlos Emiro Garces Torres 🔄 75'
80' 🔄 ↓ Rafael Navarro Leal ↑Simon Becher
80' 🔄 ↓ Carlo Holse ↑Sang-bin Jung
80' 🔄 ↓ Conrad Wallem ↑Jaziel Alberto Orozco Landeros
90'+1 🔄 ↓ Alexandru Măţan ↑Damion Downs
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

St. Louis City

Goalkeepers
Roman Bürki
OCTOPUS
OCTOPUS
5
Saves
5
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
Defenders
Lukas MacNaughton
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Timo Baumgartl
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Dante Polvara
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
56%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Conrad Wallem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
Daniel Edelman
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Chris Durkin
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
2
Assists
57%
Pass Acc
Tomas Totland
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
2
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Forwards
Carl Johan Holse Justesen
HATMAN
HAT-TRICK HERO
3
Goals
3
Goals
3
On Target
9.8
Rating
Rafael Navarro
HITMAN
HITMAN
2
Goals
2
Goals
2
On Target
9.5
Rating
Alexandru Matan
MAGNET
MAGNET
61
Activity
61
Activity
53
Passes
8
Duels
BENCH
Ben Lundt
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Rafael Santos
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fallou Fall
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jaziel Orozco
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Miguel Perez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tomas Ostrak
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Simon Becher
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Damion Downs
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jeong Sang-bin
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Los Angeles Galaxy

Goalkeepers
JT Marcinkowski
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
90
Minutes
Defenders
Harbor Miller
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Justin Haak
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
88%
Duel Win %
Jakob Glesnes
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
3
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Julián Aude
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
50%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Erik Thommy
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
1
Assists
20%
Pass Acc
Sergi Roberto
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
45
Entry
Pablo Ruiz
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
24%
Pass Acc
Forwards
Robert Taylor
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
4
Shots
7.8
Rating
Kyogo Furuhashi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
11
Entry
T. Elgersma
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Novak Mićović
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Carlos Garcés
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
15
Total Mins
Started
Entry
John Nelson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maya Yoshida
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lucas Felipe Calegari
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marco Reus
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
2
Key Passes
6.4
Rating
Lucas Sanabria
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Joseph Paintsil
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
07/23/2026 Los Angeles Galaxy 1 - 3 St. Louis City Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
02/11/2026 Los Angeles Galaxy 3 - 0 St. Louis City Friendlies Clubs
06/14/2025 St. Louis City 3 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer CITYPARK
03/09/2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 0 - 3 St. Louis City Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
09/01/2024 St. Louis City 2 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer CITYPARK
03/17/2024 Los Angeles Galaxy 3 - 3 St. Louis City Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
02/03/2024 St. Louis City 2 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy Friendlies Clubs Dignity Health Sports Park
09/11/2023 Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 2 St. Louis City Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
06/11/2023 St. Louis City 1 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer CITYPARK
02/08/2023 St. Louis City 1 - 4 Los Angeles Galaxy Friendlies Clubs
07/23/2026
Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
02/11/2026
Friendlies Clubs
06/14/2025
Major League Soccer CITYPARK
03/09/2025
Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
09/01/2024
Major League Soccer CITYPARK
03/17/2024
Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
02/03/2024
Friendlies Clubs Dignity Health Sports Park
09/11/2023
Major League Soccer Dignity Health Sports Park
06/11/2023
Major League Soccer CITYPARK
02/08/2023
Friendlies Clubs
St. Louis City Win
Los Angeles Galaxy Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 23 44 49 20 +29 DLos Angeles FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps (11-10-2026)WReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)
2 San Jose Earthquakes 23 39 44 31 +13 DColorado Rapids 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (11-10-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 3 - 1 Portland Timbers (27-09-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)
3 St. Louis City 22 38 42 33 +9 WSt. Louis City 6 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (11-10-2026)WSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)DSt. Louis City 3 - 3 FC Dallas (30-08-2026)
4 FC Dallas 23 37 41 40 +1 WFC Dallas 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC (27-09-2026)DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)WMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)WFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)
5 Seattle Sounders 23 35 32 31 +1 WSeattle Sounders 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (02-10-2026)WSeattle Sounders 3 - 1 Minnesota United FC (27-09-2026)WSeattle Sounders 2 - 0 Real Salt Lake (24-09-2026)DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)
6 Colorado Rapids 23 34 33 27 +6 DColorado Rapids 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (11-10-2026)LLos Angeles Galaxy 3 - 2 Colorado Rapids (27-09-2026)DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
7 Houston Dynamo 22 33 28 30 -2 DMinnesota United FC 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo (11-10-2026)LHouston Dynamo 0 - 2 Sporting Kansas City (27-09-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DHouston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (30-08-2026)
8 Los Angeles FC 24 32 31 28 +3 DLos Angeles FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps (11-10-2026)LFC Dallas 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC (27-09-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)
9 Portland Timbers 23 29 45 45 0 DSporting Kansas City 3 - 3 Portland Timbers (11-10-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 3 - 1 Portland Timbers (27-09-2026)LFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WPortland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC (06-09-2026)
10 San Diego 22 27 37 36 +1 DAustin 3 - 3 San Diego (27-09-2026)LSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (23-08-2026)LPortland Timbers 3 - 1 San Diego (20-08-2026)
11 Real Salt Lake 22 26 33 36 -3 LSeattle Sounders 2 - 0 Real Salt Lake (24-09-2026)LReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
12 Austin 22 25 27 38 -11 DAustin 3 - 3 San Diego (27-09-2026)DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (06-09-2026)
13 Los Angeles Galaxy 23 25 28 43 -15 LSt. Louis City 6 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (11-10-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 3 - 2 Colorado Rapids (27-09-2026)WMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)
14 Minnesota United FC 22 23 32 39 -7 DMinnesota United FC 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo (11-10-2026)LSeattle Sounders 3 - 1 Minnesota United FC (27-09-2026)LMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)LSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)LMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)
15 Sporting Kansas City 23 21 28 53 -25 DSporting Kansas City 3 - 3 Portland Timbers (11-10-2026)LSeattle Sounders 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (02-10-2026)WHouston Dynamo 0 - 2 Sporting Kansas City (27-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)LFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)

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