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Futmetrix Verdict
46
Houston Dynamo
vs
Sporting Kansas City
Sun, Sep 27 • 00:30
⚡ Form 54
⚖️ Balance 59
🏆 Stakes 42
⭐ Stars 55
Houston chase title against struggling Kansas.

Win Probability

  • Houston Dynamo 65%
  • Draw 21%
  • Sporting Kansas City 15%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Houston Dynamo Title Push Meets Basement Resistance

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 46/100. A massive points gulf separates these sides, but with the title race heating up, any slip against the league's bottom team could prove fatal for the hosts.

The Setup

September 27, 2026, brings a textbook top-versus-bottom clash to Shell Energy Stadium. Houston Dynamo sit second, locked in a fierce battle for the championship. Meanwhile, Sporting Kansas City languish in fifteenth place, carrying a dreadful minus-33 goal differential. The Balance of power is heavily tilted toward the home side, though Houston's own Form has wobbled recently with a shaky run of results.

Despite low overall Stakes for the visitors, the pressure is entirely on Houston. Sporting Kansas City have been shipping goals at an alarming rate on the road, offering an enticing opportunity for the Dynamo to unleash their Stars. With players like Guilherme pulling the strings, the hosts will expect to dominate possession and dictate the tempo.

Key Battle

The spotlight falls squarely on M. Bogusz operating in the final third against J. Bartlett. If Bogusz finds pockets of space between the lines, Bartlett and his backline will face a long, grueling evening trying to contain the creative onslaught.

Our Prediction

Houston Dynamo should secure a comfortable 3-1 victory. Expect the hosts to take control early, starving Kansas City of the ball. The visitors' fragile defense will inevitably crack under sustained pressure, allowing Houston to pad their goal difference and keep their title dreams very much alive.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes, to see if Houston handles the pressure of the title race or suffers a monumental upset.

What's the predicted outcome?

Houston Dynamo should comfortably take this 3-1, exploiting Sporting KC's fragile backline.

Where are Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City in the league table?

Houston sits in second place pushing for the title, while Sporting KC languishes at the bottom in fifteenth.

What is Sporting Kansas City's current form?

They are struggling immensely with a WLLLD record, conceding goals at an alarming rate.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Keep an eye on T. Calheira, who has netted 3 goals in his last 2 matches with an impressive 8.7 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
10/19/2025 Sporting Kansas City 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer Children's Mercy Park
06/01/2025 Houston Dynamo 1 - 3 Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
05/12/2024 Sporting Kansas City 1 - 2 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer Children's Mercy Park
02/25/2024 Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
11/27/2023 Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/24/2023 Sporting Kansas City 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer Children's Mercy Park
07/09/2023 Houston Dynamo 2 - 2 Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
05/11/2023 Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 Sporting Kansas City US Open Cup Shell Energy Stadium
09/11/2022 Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer PNC Stadium
05/26/2022 Sporting Kansas City 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo US Open Cup Children's Mercy Park
10/19/2025
Major League Soccer Children's Mercy Park
06/01/2025
Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
05/12/2024
Major League Soccer Children's Mercy Park
02/25/2024
Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
11/27/2023
Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/24/2023
Major League Soccer Children's Mercy Park
07/09/2023
Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
05/11/2023
US Open Cup Shell Energy Stadium
09/11/2022
Major League Soccer PNC Stadium
05/26/2022
US Open Cup Children's Mercy Park
Houston Dynamo Win
Sporting Kansas City Win
Draw

Season Statistics

2
League Position
15
44
Points
18
32
Goals Scored
29
28
Goals Conceded
63

Western Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 25 49 56 23 +33 WReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (30-08-2026)
2 Houston Dynamo 26 44 34 30 +4 DHouston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (20-09-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DCharlotte 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo (05-09-2026)DHouston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (30-08-2026)
3 St. Louis City 26 44 45 36 +9 WSt. Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto FC (20-09-2026)WSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)DSt. Louis City 3 - 3 FC Dallas (30-08-2026)
4 FC Dallas 26 44 49 42 +7 DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)WMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)WFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)DSt. Louis City 3 - 3 FC Dallas (30-08-2026)
5 San Jose Earthquakes 26 42 46 38 +8 DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (06-09-2026)DHouston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (30-08-2026)
6 Los Angeles FC 27 41 43 29 +14 DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)WLos Angeles FC 2 - 0 New York Red Bulls (10-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Los Angeles FC (29-08-2026)
7 Colorado Rapids 26 36 36 35 +1 DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 CF Montreal (13-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (05-09-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 27 33 34 42 -8 WMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 New England Revolution (06-09-2026)LSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)
9 Portland Timbers 26 32 47 48 -1 LPortland Timbers 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC (20-09-2026)LFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WPortland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC (06-09-2026)LPortland Timbers 1 - 2 Austin (30-08-2026)
10 San Diego 25 30 42 42 0 LSan Diego 0 - 5 Philadelphia Union (14-09-2026)LSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 0 San Diego (05-09-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (23-08-2026)
11 Austin 26 30 32 44 -12 DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (06-09-2026)WPortland Timbers 1 - 2 Austin (30-08-2026)
12 Real Salt Lake 25 29 37 42 -5 LReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LReal Salt Lake 0 - 2 New York City FC (13-09-2026)LHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
13 Seattle Sounders 24 29 28 33 -5 DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls (06-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 2 - 2 Chicago Fire (29-08-2026)DFC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (22-08-2026)
14 Minnesota United FC 26 29 39 46 -7 LMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)LSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)LMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)LPortland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC (06-09-2026)DMinnesota United FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (30-08-2026)
15 Sporting Kansas City 25 18 29 63 -34 LSporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Philadelphia Union (20-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)LFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (30-08-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (23-08-2026)

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