Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
47
FT
Sun, Oct 18
San Jose Earthquakes
1-1
Nashville SC
⚡ Intensity 19
⚖️ Balance 35
🏆 Stakes 90
🎲 Upset 43
Title race clash ends in deadlock.

Win Probability

  • San Jose Earthquakes 27%
  • Draw 25%
  • Nashville SC 48%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Judd Salvages Point in Heavyweight Title Clash

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 47/100. A tense top-of-the-table duel at Avaya Stadium ends level, keeping Nashville comfortably ahead in the standings while San Jose lives to fight another day.

Opening Act

The Stakes were astronomical as first met second under the stadium lights at Avaya Stadium. Both teams fully understood the title implications, but Nashville SC settled into the rhythm of the game with a slight edge in possession at 53%. Their defensive organization, anchored by a monstrous, man-of-the-match performance from D. Lovitz, completely frustrated the hosts in the early exchanges. The visitors didn't need a massive barrage of shots to make their mark on the scoresheet. In the 34th minute, Hany Mukhtar found the back of the net, punishing the Earthquakes with a ruthless, clinical finish that silenced the crowd. The opening half showcased incredibly high Intensity, with Nashville systematically neutralizing San Jose's offensive sequences and forcing them into low-percentage looks from distance.

The Pivot

Staring down a daunting 13-point gap in the regular season standings, the San Jose Earthquakes emerged from the locker room knowing they desperately needed a response. The second half saw the home side push higher up the field, taking calculated risks to disrupt Nashville's defensive structure. The Balance of the match gradually shifted as San Jose began forcing the issue, relentlessly launching crosses and leaning on a superior expected goals metric of 0.82 compared to the visitors' 0.35. That sustained pressure finally broke the deadlock in the 70th minute. Eduard Löwen expertly spotted a narrow opening in the defense and delivered a perfectly weighted pass to Preston Judd. The attacker made no mistake, burying the crucial equalizer and sending the passionate home supporters into a frenzy.

Resolution

With twenty minutes left on the clock, the game hung delicately on a knife's edge, creating a massive Upset watch for the visiting leaders. However, neither side could string together the final pass needed to find a dramatic game-winner. The Earthquakes' offense ultimately stalled against Lovitz and an incredibly disciplined Nashville backline, managing only two shots on target all night. In the end, this 1-1 draw serves the visitors far better than the hosts. Nashville maintains their commanding 13-point cushion at the summit of the table, effectively keeping their closest rivals firmly at arm's length. For San Jose, securing a hard-fought point against the league's top team proves their tactical mettle, but mere draws will simply not be enough to mount a realistic title charge as the season dwindles.

Key Questions

What does this mean for San Jose Earthquakes's season?

They remain second but failed to close the 13-point gap on Nashville, meaning their hopes for the top seed are rapidly fading as the season winds down.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
47%
53%
San Jose Earthquakes 47%
Nashville SC 53%
Shots
14
6
San Jose Earthquakes 14
Nashville SC 6
Shots on Target
2
4
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Nashville SC 4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
0.35
San Jose Earthquakes 0.82
Nashville SC 0.35
Passes
391
456
San Jose Earthquakes 391
Nashville SC 456
Corners
4
0
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Nashville SC 0
Fouls
11
15
San Jose Earthquakes 11
Nashville SC 15
Yellow Cards
3
1
San Jose Earthquakes 3
Nashville SC 1
Red Cards
0
0
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Nashville SC 0

Match Events

Shakur Mohammed 🟨 28'
Hany Mukhtar ⚽ 34'
39' 🟨 Beau Leroux
↓ Shakur Mohammed ↑Elias Saad 🔄 45'
45'+3 🟨 Preston Judd
HT
67' 🔄 ↓ Timo Werner ↑Ousseni Bouda
70' ⚽ Preston Judd (Eduard Löwen)
↓ Patrick Yazbek ↑Edvard Sandvik Tagseth 🔄 72'
↓ Daniel Lovitz ↑ Reed Baker-Whiting 🔄 72'
76' 🔄 ↓ Preston Judd ↑Paul Marie
76' 🔄 ↓ Jamar Ricketts ↑Nick Fernandez
↓ Cristian Espinoza ↑Warren Madrigal 🔄 79'
86' 🔄 ↓ Ronaldo Vieira ↑Ian Harkes
86' 🔄 ↓ Jack Jasinski ↑Max Floriani
90' 🟨 Ian Harkes
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

San Jose Earthquakes

Goalkeepers
Angus Gunn
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Jack Jasinski
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
20%
Pass Acc
Daniel Munie
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
80%
Duel Win %
Dave Romney
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Reid Roberts
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
64%
Duel Win %
Jamar Ricketts
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
15%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Beau Leroux
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
2
Blocks
Ronaldo Vieira
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Eduard Löwen
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
2
Key Passes
6.4
Rating
Forwards
Preston Judd
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
4
Shots
7.6
Rating
Timo Werner
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
67
Total Mins
67
Entry
BENCH
Earl Edwards Jr.
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Max Floriani
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Vítor Costa
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Paul Marie
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nick Fernandez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ian Harkes
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Noel Buck
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ousseni Bouda
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
23
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luka Jovanović
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Nashville SC

Goalkeepers
Brian Schwake
MAGNET
MAGNET
49
Activity
49
Activity
48
Passes
1
Duels
Defenders
Andy Najar
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jeisson Palacios
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maxwell Woledzi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel Lovitz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
Midfielders
Patrick Yazbek
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Matthew Corcoran
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cristian Espinoza
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
11
Late Mins
11
Late Mins
79
Total Mins
79
Entry
Hany Mukhtar
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Shakur Mohammed
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
46
Total Mins
45
Entry
Forwards
Sam Surridge
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Joe Willis
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Josh Bauer
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jack Maher
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Reed Baker-Whiting
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bryan Acosta
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alex Muyl
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Edvard Tagseth
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Warren Madrigal
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Elias Saad
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
6
Duels Won
0
Pens Won

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
04/28/2024 Nashville SC 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
09/24/2023 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer PayPal Park
06/12/2022 Nashville SC 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
04/16/2022 San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer PayPal Park
04/28/2024
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
09/24/2023
Major League Soccer PayPal Park
06/12/2022
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
04/16/2022
Major League Soccer PayPal Park
San Jose Earthquakes Win
Nashville SC Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 25 48 51 21 +30 WAustin 1 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps (18-10-2026)DSt. Louis City 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps (15-10-2026)DLos Angeles FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps (11-10-2026)WReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)
2 FC Dallas 25 41 44 42 +2 DHouston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Dallas (18-10-2026)WFC Dallas 1 - 0 Seattle Sounders (15-10-2026)WFC Dallas 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC (27-09-2026)DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)
3 San Jose Earthquakes 24 40 45 32 +13 DReal Salt Lake 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (15-10-2026)DColorado Rapids 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (11-10-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 3 - 1 Portland Timbers (27-09-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)
4 St. Louis City 24 39 44 36 +8 LMinnesota United FC 3 - 2 St. Louis City (17-10-2026)DSt. Louis City 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps (15-10-2026)WSt. Louis City 6 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (11-10-2026)WSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)
5 Colorado Rapids 25 36 35 29 +6 DPortland Timbers 0 - 0 Colorado Rapids (18-10-2026)DColorado Rapids 2 - 2 Minnesota United FC (15-10-2026)DColorado Rapids 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (11-10-2026)LLos Angeles Galaxy 3 - 2 Colorado Rapids (27-09-2026)DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)
6 Los Angeles FC 25 35 34 29 +5 WLos Angeles FC 3 - 1 Austin (15-10-2026)DLos Angeles FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps (11-10-2026)LFC Dallas 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC (27-09-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)
7 Seattle Sounders 24 35 32 32 0 LFC Dallas 1 - 0 Seattle Sounders (15-10-2026)WSeattle Sounders 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (02-10-2026)WSeattle Sounders 3 - 1 Minnesota United FC (27-09-2026)WSeattle Sounders 2 - 0 Real Salt Lake (24-09-2026)DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)
8 Houston Dynamo 24 35 33 35 -2 DHouston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Dallas (18-10-2026)DSan Diego 3 - 3 Houston Dynamo (15-10-2026)DMinnesota United FC 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo (11-10-2026)LHouston Dynamo 0 - 2 Sporting Kansas City (27-09-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)
9 Real Salt Lake 24 30 37 38 -1 WSporting Kansas City 1 - 3 Real Salt Lake (18-10-2026)DReal Salt Lake 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (15-10-2026)LSeattle Sounders 2 - 0 Real Salt Lake (24-09-2026)LReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)
10 Portland Timbers 25 30 45 47 -2 DPortland Timbers 0 - 0 Colorado Rapids (18-10-2026)LLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 0 Portland Timbers (15-10-2026)DSporting Kansas City 3 - 3 Portland Timbers (11-10-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 3 - 1 Portland Timbers (27-09-2026)LFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)
11 San Diego 24 29 42 41 +1 DLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 2 San Diego (18-10-2026)DSan Diego 3 - 3 Houston Dynamo (15-10-2026)DAustin 3 - 3 San Diego (27-09-2026)LSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29 32 45 -13 DLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 2 San Diego (18-10-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 0 Portland Timbers (15-10-2026)LSt. Louis City 6 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (11-10-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 3 - 2 Colorado Rapids (27-09-2026)WMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)
13 Minnesota United FC 24 27 37 43 -6 WMinnesota United FC 3 - 2 St. Louis City (17-10-2026)DColorado Rapids 2 - 2 Minnesota United FC (15-10-2026)DMinnesota United FC 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo (11-10-2026)LSeattle Sounders 3 - 1 Minnesota United FC (27-09-2026)LMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)
14 Austin 24 25 29 43 -14 LAustin 1 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps (18-10-2026)LLos Angeles FC 3 - 1 Austin (15-10-2026)DAustin 3 - 3 San Diego (27-09-2026)DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)
15 Sporting Kansas City 24 21 29 56 -27 LSporting Kansas City 1 - 3 Real Salt Lake (18-10-2026)DSporting Kansas City 3 - 3 Portland Timbers (11-10-2026)LSeattle Sounders 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (02-10-2026)WHouston Dynamo 0 - 2 Sporting Kansas City (27-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)

Find your next match faster.

Honest match ratings. Find what is worth watching—without the clutter.

Bookmark this page

This page updates as new matches arrive.

Keep these picks handy.

Press Ctrl+D, then confirm in your browser.

Viewed labels stay on this device. We don't receive your reading history.

Keep Futmetrix handy

Honest match ratings. Find what is worth watching—without the clutter.