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Futmetrix Verdict
74
San Jose Earthquakes
vs
Portland Timbers
Sun, Sep 27 • 02:30
⚡ Form 60
⚖️ Balance 85
🏆 Stakes 69
⭐ Stars 53
San Jose defends top four spot.

Win Probability

  • San Jose Earthquakes 48%
  • Draw 24%
  • Portland Timbers 28%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Top Four Ambitions on the Line in San Jose

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 74/100. San Jose's grip on continental qualification faces a stern test from a chaotic but dangerous Portland side.

The Setup

The San Jose Earthquakes sit comfortably in fourth, commanding a strong position in the hunt for top-four qualification. Despite a recent stumble, their underlying Form remains steady. The visitors, Portland Timbers, are lingering down in eighth. Portland provides sheer chaos; a shaky Balance sees them scoring and conceding 47 times this campaign. The Stakes are heavily tilted toward the hosts for this September 27, 2026 clash at PayPal Park: San Jose needs all three points to cement their elite status. Expect a high concentration of attacking Stars to turn this into an open shootout.

Key Battle

San Jose's creative hub Beau Leroux takes on Portland's explosive winger K. Velde. Leroux has been pulling the strings masterfully for the home side, but Velde brings immediate, ruthless finishing on the counter. The team that dictates the pace through midfield transitions will walk away with the points.

Our Prediction

Our verdict points to a narrow home victory. Expect San Jose to capitalize on Portland's glaring defensive vulnerabilities for a 2-1 win, controlling possession while weathering the inevitable Portland counter-attacks.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. It promises to be highly entertaining with plenty of goals expected given Portland's leaky defense.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect San Jose to edge out Portland with a 2-1 home victory.

Where are San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers in the league table?

San Jose Earthquakes sits in 4th place with 41 points, while Portland Timbers is down in 8th with 32 points.

What is San Jose Earthquakes's current form?

San Jose is sporting a WWDDL record over their last five matches.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

K. Velde of Portland Timbers is the man to watch, bagging 3 goals in his last 2 matches with an impressive 8.4 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
02/11/2026 San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 2 Portland Timbers Friendlies Clubs
06/14/2025 Portland Timbers 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer Providence Park
05/21/2025 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 (AET) Portland Timbers US Open Cup PayPal Park
05/04/2025 San Jose Earthquakes 4 - 1 Portland Timbers Major League Soccer Earthquakes Stadium
02/05/2025 Portland Timbers 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Friendlies Clubs Empire Polo Club
06/20/2024 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 2 Portland Timbers Major League Soccer PayPal Park
05/16/2024 Portland Timbers 4 - 2 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer Providence Park
02/14/2024 Portland Timbers 0 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Friendlies Clubs TBC
09/21/2023 Portland Timbers 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer Providence Park
07/23/2023 Portland Timbers 2 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes Leagues Cup Providence Park
02/11/2026
Friendlies Clubs
06/14/2025
Major League Soccer Providence Park
05/21/2025
US Open Cup PayPal Park
05/04/2025
Major League Soccer Earthquakes Stadium
02/05/2025
Friendlies Clubs Empire Polo Club
06/20/2024
Major League Soccer PayPal Park
05/16/2024
Major League Soccer Providence Park
02/14/2024
Friendlies Clubs TBC
09/21/2023
Major League Soccer Providence Park
07/23/2023
Leagues Cup Providence Park
San Jose Earthquakes Win
Portland Timbers Win
Draw

Season Statistics

5
League Position
9
42
Points
32
46
Goals Scored
47
38
Goals Conceded
48

Western Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 25 49 56 23 +33 WReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (30-08-2026)
2 Houston Dynamo 26 44 34 30 +4 DHouston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (20-09-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DCharlotte 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo (05-09-2026)DHouston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (30-08-2026)
3 St. Louis City 26 44 45 36 +9 WSt. Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto FC (20-09-2026)WSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 St. Louis City (06-09-2026)DSt. Louis City 3 - 3 FC Dallas (30-08-2026)
4 FC Dallas 26 44 49 42 +7 DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)WMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)WFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)DSt. Louis City 3 - 3 FC Dallas (30-08-2026)
5 San Jose Earthquakes 26 42 46 38 +8 DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo (13-09-2026)WSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (06-09-2026)DHouston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (30-08-2026)
6 Los Angeles FC 27 41 43 29 +14 DSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (19-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)WLos Angeles FC 2 - 0 New York Red Bulls (10-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Los Angeles FC (29-08-2026)
7 Colorado Rapids 26 36 36 35 +1 DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 CF Montreal (13-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (05-09-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 27 33 34 42 -8 WMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (10-09-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 New England Revolution (06-09-2026)LSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)
9 Portland Timbers 26 32 47 48 -1 LPortland Timbers 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC (20-09-2026)LFC Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers (13-09-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City (10-09-2026)WPortland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC (06-09-2026)LPortland Timbers 1 - 2 Austin (30-08-2026)
10 San Diego 25 30 42 42 0 DInter Miami 2 - 2 San Diego (20-09-2026)LSan Diego 0 - 5 Philadelphia Union (14-09-2026)LSan Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (10-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 0 San Diego (05-09-2026)WSan Diego 3 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (30-08-2026)
11 Austin 26 30 32 44 -12 DFC Dallas 0 - 0 Austin (20-09-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Austin (13-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 Colorado Rapids (10-09-2026)DAustin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (06-09-2026)WPortland Timbers 1 - 2 Austin (30-08-2026)
12 Real Salt Lake 25 29 37 42 -5 LReal Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (20-09-2026)LReal Salt Lake 0 - 2 New York City FC (13-09-2026)LHouston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (10-09-2026)DReal Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (06-09-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake (30-08-2026)
13 Seattle Sounders 24 29 28 33 -5 DColorado Rapids 3 - 3 Seattle Sounders (20-09-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (13-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls (06-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 2 - 2 Chicago Fire (29-08-2026)DFC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (22-08-2026)
14 Minnesota United FC 26 29 39 46 -7 LMinnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy (20-09-2026)LSt. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC (13-09-2026)LMinnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas (10-09-2026)LPortland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC (06-09-2026)DMinnesota United FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (30-08-2026)
15 Sporting Kansas City 25 18 29 63 -34 LSporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Philadelphia Union (20-09-2026)WSporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC (13-09-2026)LFC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City (06-09-2026)LSporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps (30-08-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (23-08-2026)

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