Premier League Gameweek 7

Newcastle vs NS Aston Villa

St. James' Park

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
45
Newcastle
vs
Aston Villa
Sat, Oct 17 • 16:30
⚡ Form 64
⚖️ Balance 90
🏆 Stakes 0
⭐ Stars 79
Mid-table mediocrity meets defensive frailty.

Win Probability

  • Newcastle 45%
  • Draw 25%
  • Aston Villa 29%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Mid-Table Malaise or Hidden Gem?

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 45/100. An underwhelming early-season clash at St. James' Park where two defensively vulnerable sides hope to kickstart their stalling campaigns.

The Setup

Newcastle and Aston Villa sit 11th and 14th in the Premier League, offering a Stakes rating that feels incredibly low for mid-October. The Magpies have drawn their way into a mid-table slump, while Villa's early season reveals glaring defensive cracks that continue to cost them points. With a combined average of nearly four goals conceded per match between them, a modest Form rating masks the potential for absolute chaos on the pitch. The competitive Balance is surprisingly tight, ensuring neither side can take the other lightly, though Newcastle naturally edge it as narrow home favourites. A decent sprinkling of Stars provides the only real glimmer of quality in a fixture that otherwise screams mediocrity.

Key Battle

The midfield engine room and wide areas will dictate everything. H. Barnes must exploit the massive spaces left by Villa's disjointed defensive structure. However, he faces a rugged challenge from J. McGinn, who thrives in these gritty, transitional games. Whichever talisman stamps their authority early will drag their struggling side forward. Keep an eye out for Anthony Elanga and J. Manzambi to inject pace off the flanks if the main combatants cancel each other out.

Our Prediction

Expect a messy, disjointed affair. Newcastle will likely dominate possession in front of their home crowd but leave themselves completely open to rapid counter-attacks. We back a frustrating draw where neither defence covers itself in glory, leaving both managers searching for serious answers ahead of the winter schedule.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Our verdict says to skip this one. Low stakes and average form make it a tough sell for neutrals.

What's the expected outcome?

A high-scoring draw. Both defences are leaking goals at an alarming rate, cancelling out any real home advantage.

Where are Newcastle and Aston Villa in the league table?

Newcastle currently sit 11th with 8 points, while Aston Villa languish in 14th with 5 points.

What is Newcastle's current form?

Newcastle are inconsistent overall, registering a WLDWD run from their opening five Premier League fixtures.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Joe Willock is the standout. He boasts 1 goals in 1 matches with a brilliant 7.7 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/16/2025 Aston Villa 0 - 0 Newcastle Premier League Villa Park
04/19/2025 Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle Premier League Villa Park
12/26/2024 Newcastle 3 - 0 Aston Villa Premier League St. James' Park
01/30/2024 Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle Premier League Villa Park
08/12/2023 Newcastle 5 - 1 Aston Villa Premier League St. James' Park
07/23/2023 Newcastle 3 - 3 Aston Villa Premier League - Summer Series Lincoln Financial Field
08/16/2025
Premier League Villa Park
04/19/2025
Premier League Villa Park
12/26/2024
Premier League St. James' Park
01/30/2024
Premier League Villa Park
08/12/2023
Premier League St. James' Park
07/23/2023
Premier League - Summer Series Lincoln Financial Field
Newcastle Win
Aston Villa Win
Draw

Season Statistics

11
League Position
15
8
Points
5
9
Goals Scored
6
9
Goals Conceded
11

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Manchester City 6 18 16 5 +11 WLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)WManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)WManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
2 Arsenal 6 15 10 5 +5 WArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)LBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)WArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
3 Brighton 6 13 18 5 +13 WSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)WBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)LChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
4 Brentford 6 10 12 6 +6 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
5 Everton 6 10 8 5 +3 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)WEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
6 Chelsea 6 10 15 13 +2 WChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)LArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
7 Leeds 6 9 8 5 +3 LArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)WLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
8 Hull City 6 9 8 6 +2 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)
9 Liverpool 6 9 7 7 0 LLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)WIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
10 Ipswich 6 9 9 12 -3 WIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)LEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)LIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)LManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
11 Newcastle 5 8 9 9 0 WNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)LLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)WTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool (23-08-2026)
12 Crystal Palace 6 7 9 12 -3 WCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)WFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
13 Manchester United 6 6 9 9 0 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)LManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)WManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
14 Nottingham Forest 6 5 5 8 -3 LCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)LNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)WAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
15 Aston Villa 6 5 6 11 -5 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)LAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)LAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
16 Sunderland 6 4 6 12 -6 LSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)LManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)LSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)WSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)
17 Bournemouth 6 3 7 13 -6 LChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
18 Tottenham 6 3 3 9 -6 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)LTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)LTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)
19 Coventry 5 3 1 10 -9 WNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)LManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)LArsenal 3 - 0 Coventry (21-08-2026)
20 Fulham 6 2 6 10 -4 LIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)LFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)

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