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Futmetrix Verdict
45
FT
Mon, Sep 14
Leeds
4-1
Newcastle
⚡ Intensity 67
⚖️ Balance 14
🏆 Stakes 0
🎲 Upset 0
Leeds dismantle Newcastle in relentless fashion.

Win Probability

  • Leeds 40%
  • Draw 27%
  • Newcastle 33%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Leeds United Crush Newcastle in Four-Goal Masterclass

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 45/100. Our verdict: Leeds shattered Newcastle’s unbeaten start with a ruthless display of attacking efficiency at a rocking Elland Road.

The Early Spark

Newcastle edged possession early on, but Leeds brought an Intensity that the visitors simply couldn't handle. The Magpies tried to dictate the tempo with their 53% possession, yet the real danger constantly brewed in their own half. A bizarre own goal from Lewis Miley in the 32nd minute cracked the game wide open, shifting the Balance entirely in favor of the hosts. Elland Road erupted, sensing blood. Before Newcastle could even regroup, Jayden Bogle struck just two minutes later, finishing off a brilliant move orchestrated by Dominic Calvert-Lewin. It was a rapid one-two punch that left the visitors completely staggered and scrambling to survive the half.

The Hammer Blow

Any hopes of a second-half Newcastle revival were extinguished before the halftime whistle even blew. In stoppage time, Calvert-Lewin turned from provider to executioner, latching onto a Tarik Muharemovic pass to make it 3-0. The sheer ruthlessness of Leeds' finishing—converting 15 total shots into a devastating advantage—showcased their clinical edge. The Stakes in this mid-table clash were high for two previously unbeaten sides, but Leeds played like a team aiming for the very top. When Noah Okafor added a fourth in the 59th minute, the contest morphed into a genuine rout. Newcastle's defensive structure had completely evaporated under the relentless Yorkshire pressure.

A Late Consolation

With the match comfortably put to bed, the tempo finally dropped. Newcastle managed a late flicker of resistance, courtesy of their bench. Substitute Valentino Livramento burst forward in the 90th minute to set up fellow sub Bazoumana Touré for a late consolation strike. While it was a neat finish that showcased the Magpies' squad depth, it did nothing to alter the Upset Factor of such a lopsided scoreline between two closely matched teams. Leeds leapfrog their opponents in the table, moving forward with serious momentum, while Newcastle are left searching for answers after a brutal reality check on the road.

Key Questions

What caused the 5-goal thriller?

A ruthless Leeds attack dismantled Newcastle, turning 15 shots into four rapid goals, while a late Magpies consolation added to the final tally.

How did substitute D. Calvert-Lewin change the game?

Though actually a starter, Calvert-Lewin was the absolute difference-maker, providing an assist for Bogle and scoring himself just before halftime to kill the match.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
47%
53%
Leeds 47%
Newcastle 53%
Shots
15
7
Leeds 15
Newcastle 7
Shots on Target
6
5
Leeds 6
Newcastle 5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
0.85
Leeds 1.91
Newcastle 0.85
Passes
429
417
Leeds 429
Newcastle 417
Corners
5
5
Leeds 5
Newcastle 5
Fouls
8
13
Leeds 8
Newcastle 13
Yellow Cards
1
2
Leeds 1
Newcastle 2
Red Cards
0
0
Leeds 0
Newcastle 0

Match Events

↓ Nico González ↑Sean Steur 🔄 19'
32' ⚽ Lewis Miley
34' ⚽ Jayden Bogle (Dominic Calvert-Lewin)
45'+1 ⚽ Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Tarik Muharemovic)
HT
Jacob Murphy 🟨 54'
↓ Matias Fernandez-Pardo ↑Joe Willock 🔄 57'
↓ Jacob Murphy ↑Bazoumana Touré 🔄 57'
↓ Amar Dedić ↑Valentino Livramento 🔄 58'
59' ⚽ Noah Okafor
72' 🔄 ↓ Noah Okafor ↑Harry Wilson
72' 🔄 ↓ Ao Tanaka ↑Brenden Aaronson
72' 🔄 ↓ Gabriel Gudmundsson ↑Melvin Bard
78' 🔄 ↓ Dominic Calvert-Lewin ↑Lukas Nmecha
↓ Lewis Miley ↑Aladji Bamba 🔄 80'
83' 🔄 ↓ Jayden Bogle ↑Daniel James
88' 🔄 ↓ Anton Stach ↑Sean Longstaff
Bazoumana Touré (Valentino Livramento) ⚽ 90'
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Leeds

Goalkeepers
James Trafford
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
James Justin
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
29%
Pass Acc
Nico Elvedi
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Tarik Muharemović
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
6
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Midfielders
Jayden Bogle
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
3
Shots
8.2
Rating
Anton Stach
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
31%
Pass Acc
Ethan Ampadu
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
2
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Ao Tanaka
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
Gabriel Gudmundsson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
Forwards
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
4
Shots
8.4
Rating
Noah Okafor
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
BENCH
Michael Zetterer
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Melvin Bard
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jaka Bijol
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brenden Aaronson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sean Longstaff
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
2
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel James
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
7
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lukas Nmecha
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Harry Wilson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Newcastle

Goalkeepers
Lukáš Horníček
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Amar Dedić
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
58
Total Mins
58
Entry
Malick Thiaw
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sven Botman
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
64%
Duel Win %
Lewis Hall
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
60%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Nico González
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
19
Total Mins
19
Entry
Lewis Miley
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
Own Goal
Mistake
Own Goal
Mistake
0
Fouls
5.4
Rating
Jacob Murphy
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
57
Total Mins
57
Entry
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
57
Total Mins
57
Entry
Harvey Barnes
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Yoane Wissa
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Nick Pope
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Tino Livramento
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
5.4
Rating
Fabian Schär
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Aladji Bamba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sean Steur
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
71
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Joe Willock
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Jacob Ramsey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
M. Miley
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bazoumana Touré
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.3
Rating

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
01/07/2026 Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds Premier League St. James' Park
08/30/2025 Leeds 0 - 0 Newcastle Premier League Elland Road
05/13/2023 Leeds 2 - 2 Newcastle Premier League Elland Road
12/31/2022 Newcastle 0 - 0 Leeds Premier League St. James' Park
01/22/2022 Leeds 0 - 1 Newcastle Premier League Elland Road
09/17/2021 Newcastle 1 - 1 Leeds Premier League St. James' Park
01/26/2021 Newcastle 1 - 2 Leeds Premier League St. James' Park
12/16/2020 Leeds 5 - 2 Newcastle Premier League Elland Road
04/14/2017 Newcastle 1 - 1 Leeds Championship St James' Park
11/20/2016 Leeds 0 - 2 Newcastle Championship Elland Road
01/07/2026
Premier League St. James' Park
08/30/2025
Premier League Elland Road
05/13/2023
Premier League Elland Road
12/31/2022
Premier League St. James' Park
01/22/2022
Premier League Elland Road
09/17/2021
Premier League St. James' Park
01/26/2021
Premier League St. James' Park
12/16/2020
Premier League Elland Road
04/14/2017
Championship St James' Park
11/20/2016
Championship Elland Road
Leeds Win
Newcastle Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Arsenal 4 12 8 1 +7 WSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)WArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)WArsenal 3 - 0 Coventry (21-08-2026)
2 Manchester City 4 12 8 2 +6 WManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)WManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)WManchester City 2 - 1 Bournemouth (23-08-2026)
3 Leeds 4 8 7 3 +4 WLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)WNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Leeds (22-08-2026)
4 Hull City 4 8 5 2 +3 DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)WHull City 2 - 0 Manchester United (22-08-2026)
5 Brighton 4 7 13 5 +8 WCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)LChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)WBrighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa (23-08-2026)
6 Chelsea 4 7 10 9 +1 DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)LArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)WFulham 2 - 3 Chelsea (24-08-2026)
7 Brentford 4 6 7 4 +3 DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)WBrentford 3 - 0 Tottenham (22-08-2026)
8 Liverpool 4 6 6 4 +2 DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)WIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool (23-08-2026)
9 Everton 4 6 5 3 +2 DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)WEverton 2 - 0 Crystal Palace (22-08-2026)
10 Ipswich 4 6 7 10 -3 WCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)LIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)LManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)WIpswich 2 - 1 Sunderland (22-08-2026)
11 Nottingham Forest 4 5 4 4 0 WAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)LNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Leeds (22-08-2026)
12 Newcastle 4 5 7 8 -1 LLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)WTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool (23-08-2026)
13 Manchester United 4 4 7 7 0 LManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)WManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)LHull City 2 - 0 Manchester United (22-08-2026)
14 Sunderland 4 4 3 5 -2 LSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)WSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)LIpswich 2 - 1 Sunderland (22-08-2026)
15 Bournemouth 4 3 6 7 -1 DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)LManchester City 2 - 1 Bournemouth (23-08-2026)
16 Crystal Palace 4 3 6 11 -5 LCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)WFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)LEverton 2 - 0 Crystal Palace (22-08-2026)
17 Tottenham 4 2 0 5 -5 DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)LTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)LBrentford 3 - 0 Tottenham (22-08-2026)
18 Fulham 4 1 4 7 -3 DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)LFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)LFulham 2 - 3 Chelsea (24-08-2026)
19 Aston Villa 4 1 1 7 -6 LAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)LAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)LBrighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa (23-08-2026)
20 Coventry 4 0 0 10 -10 LCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)LManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)LArsenal 3 - 0 Coventry (21-08-2026)

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