Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
56
Leeds
vs
Manchester United
Sun, Oct 18 • 13:00
⚡ Form 40
⚖️ Balance 100
🏆 Stakes 33
⭐ Stars 79
Historic rivalry reignites at Elland Road.

Win Probability

  • Leeds 38%
  • Draw 26%
  • Manchester United 36%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Historic Rivalry Rekindled in Yorkshire

Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 56/100. A perfectly balanced clash of old enemies offers both sides a desperate chance to climb the Premier League ladder.

The Setup

Manchester United travel to Elland Road sitting 13th, desperately seeking rhythm after a sluggish start to the campaign. Leeds, perched in 7th, have been slightly more resilient. Our Balance rating is off the charts, indicating an incredibly tight affair where fine margins will decide the outcome. While the Stakes might appear modest for mid-October, local pride always elevates the tension. Expect the visitors' Stars to be severely tested against a stubborn Yorkshire wall, despite both teams showing patchy Form recently.

Key Battle

Tarik Muharemović faces a massive test marshalling the Leeds backline against the creativity of Bruno Fernandes. The United playmaker thrives on finding pockets of space between the lines, and Muharemović must dictate the defensive tempo to neutralize that exact threat.

Our Prediction

We expect a gritty 1-1 draw. Both sides are struggling to convert possession into consistent dominance, and a chaotic, physical midfield battle will likely cancel out the attacking flair on display.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. The high competitive balance guarantees a closely fought, intense contest between two bitter historical rivals.

What's the predicted outcome?

A tense 1-1 draw. Expect a physical encounter where neither side can sustain enough pressure to take all three points.

Where are Leeds and Manchester United in the league table?

Leeds currently sit 7th with 9 points, while Manchester United are lagging behind in 13th place with 6 points.

What is Leeds's current form?

They have shown grit but lack ruthlessness, posting a recent record of one loss, one win, and three frustrating draws.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Bruno Fernandes is the standout, boasting 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches with a strong 7.3 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
01/04/2026 Leeds 1 - 1 Manchester United Premier League Elland Road
07/19/2025 Manchester United 0 - 0 Leeds Friendlies Clubs Strawberry Arena
07/12/2023 Manchester United 2 - 0 Leeds Friendlies Clubs Ullevaal Stadion
02/12/2023 Leeds 0 - 2 Manchester United Premier League Elland Road
02/08/2023 Manchester United 2 - 2 Leeds Premier League Old Trafford
02/20/2022 Leeds 2 - 4 Manchester United Premier League Elland Road
01/04/2026
Premier League Elland Road
07/19/2025
Friendlies Clubs Strawberry Arena
07/12/2023
Friendlies Clubs Ullevaal Stadion
02/12/2023
Premier League Elland Road
02/08/2023
Premier League Old Trafford
02/20/2022
Premier League Elland Road
Leeds Win
Manchester United Win
Draw

Season Statistics

7
League Position
13
9
Points
6
8
Goals Scored
9
5
Goals Conceded
9

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Manchester City 6 18 16 5 +11 WLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)WManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)WManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
2 Arsenal 6 15 10 5 +5 WArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)LBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)WArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
3 Brighton 6 13 18 5 +13 WSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)WBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)LChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
4 Brentford 6 10 12 6 +6 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
5 Everton 6 10 8 5 +3 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)WEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
6 Chelsea 6 10 15 13 +2 WChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)LArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
7 Leeds 6 9 8 5 +3 LArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)WLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
8 Hull City 6 9 8 6 +2 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)
9 Liverpool 6 9 7 7 0 LLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)WIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
10 Ipswich 6 9 9 12 -3 WIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)LEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)LIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)LManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
11 Newcastle 5 8 9 9 0 WNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)LLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)WTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool (23-08-2026)
12 Crystal Palace 6 7 9 12 -3 WCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)WFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
13 Manchester United 6 6 9 9 0 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)LManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)WManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
14 Nottingham Forest 6 5 5 8 -3 LCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)LNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)WAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
15 Aston Villa 6 5 6 11 -5 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)LAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)LAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
16 Sunderland 6 4 6 12 -6 LSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)LManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)LSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)WSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)
17 Bournemouth 6 3 7 13 -6 LChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
18 Tottenham 6 3 3 9 -6 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)LTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)LTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)
19 Coventry 5 3 1 10 -9 WNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)LManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)LArsenal 3 - 0 Coventry (21-08-2026)
20 Fulham 6 2 6 10 -4 LIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)LFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)

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