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Futmetrix Verdict
52
Nottingham Forest
vs
Arsenal
Sun, Oct 18 • 15:30
⚡ Form 30
⚖️ Balance 55
🏆 Stakes 67
⭐ Stars 90
Arsenal's title charge hits City Ground.

Win Probability

  • Nottingham Forest 16%
  • Draw 24%
  • Arsenal 60%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Arsenal's Title Credentials Face City Ground Test

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 52/100. The Gunners cannot afford to blink in a relentless title race, making this a must-win clash against a Forest side desperately searching for home comforts.

The Setup

Ahead of this October 18, 2026 fixture, the Stakes are crystal clear for Mikel Arteta's men. Sitting second with 15 points from six matches, Arsenal are flying. Their Form is formidable, boasting five wins and a single loss, backed by an away record that instils fear in opponents across the league. Nottingham Forest, conversely, are stumbling. Languishing in 14th with just five points, their Balance is skewed by a dismal home record at the City Ground, where they have zero wins in three attempts. While the hosts look to find their footing, Arsenal are bringing their heavy hitters. A roster loaded with Stars like B. Saka and Martín Zubimendi tilts this matchup heavily in the visitors' favour.

Key Battle

The central channel will dictate the flow, pitting M. Gibbs-White against Arsenal's midfield anchor, D. Rice. Gibbs-White is the creative heartbeat for the hosts, but he faces an immense challenge escaping the shadow of Rice, who not only breaks up play but already has three assists to his name this season. If Rice shuts down the space, Forest's attack will starve.

Our Prediction

Arsenal to take all three points with a commanding 2-0 victory. The Gunners will monopolize possession, suffocate Forest's counter-attacks, and eventually break down a deep defensive block through relentless pressure on the flanks.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Absolutely. It is a crucial test to see if Arsenal can maintain their title push against a hungry, cornered opponent.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect a comfortable 2-0 away win for Arsenal, driven by their superior midfield control and relentless wide play.

Where are Nottingham Forest and Arsenal in the league table?

Arsenal sit high in 2nd place with 15 points, while Nottingham Forest trail in 14th position with just 5 points.

What is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal are in excellent shape, boasting a strong record of five wins and one loss in their first six matches.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Keep an eye on M. Gibbs-White; he has 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 matches, averaging a 7.0 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
09/13/2025 Arsenal 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest Premier League Emirates Stadium
02/26/2025 Nottingham Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal Premier League The City Ground
11/23/2024 Arsenal 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest Premier League Emirates Stadium
01/30/2024 Nottingham Forest 1 - 2 Arsenal Premier League The City Ground
08/12/2023 Arsenal 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest Premier League Emirates Stadium
05/20/2023 Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Arsenal Premier League The City Ground
09/13/2025
Premier League Emirates Stadium
02/26/2025
Premier League The City Ground
11/23/2024
Premier League Emirates Stadium
01/30/2024
Premier League The City Ground
08/12/2023
Premier League Emirates Stadium
05/20/2023
Premier League The City Ground
Nottingham Forest Win
Arsenal Win
Draw

Season Statistics

14
League Position
2
5
Points
15
5
Goals Scored
10
8
Goals Conceded
5

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Manchester City 6 18 16 5 +11 WLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)WManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)WManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
2 Arsenal 6 15 10 5 +5 WArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)LBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)WArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
3 Brighton 6 13 18 5 +13 WSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)WBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)LChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
4 Brentford 6 10 12 6 +6 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
5 Everton 6 10 8 5 +3 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)WEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
6 Chelsea 6 10 15 13 +2 WChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)LArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
7 Leeds 6 9 8 5 +3 LArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)WLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
8 Hull City 6 9 8 6 +2 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)
9 Liverpool 6 9 7 7 0 LLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)WIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
10 Ipswich 6 9 9 12 -3 WIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)LEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)LIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)LManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
11 Newcastle 5 8 9 9 0 WNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)LLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)WTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool (23-08-2026)
12 Crystal Palace 6 7 9 12 -3 WCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)WFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
13 Manchester United 6 6 9 9 0 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)LManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)WManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
14 Nottingham Forest 6 5 5 8 -3 LCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)LNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)WAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
15 Aston Villa 6 5 6 11 -5 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)LAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)LAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
16 Sunderland 6 4 6 12 -6 LSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)LManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)LSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)WSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)
17 Bournemouth 6 3 7 13 -6 LChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
18 Tottenham 6 3 3 9 -6 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)LTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)LTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)
19 Coventry 5 3 1 10 -9 WNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)LManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)LArsenal 3 - 0 Coventry (21-08-2026)
20 Fulham 6 2 6 10 -4 LIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)LFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)

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