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Futmetrix Verdict
49
FT
Sun, Oct 11
Crystal Palace
3-1
Nottingham Forest
⚡ Intensity 43
⚖️ Balance 71
🏆 Stakes 0
🎲 Upset 10
Palace turn early scare into Selhurst party.

Win Probability

  • Crystal Palace 35%
  • Draw 29%
  • Nottingham Forest 37%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Eagles Soar After Early Selhurst Shock

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 49/100. Crystal Palace displayed ruthless efficiency to dismantle Nottingham Forest and completely overturn a nightmare start.

The Early Scare

Nottingham Forest wasted no time silencing the Selhurst Park crowd, with Dan Ndoye netting a brilliant opener just three minutes into the clash. The visitors immediately controlled possession and began to weaponise their corner routines, applying relentless pressure on a fragile-looking home defence. The Intensity was palpable as Forest bypassed the midfield with ease, eventually racking up a staggering 24 shots over the course of the afternoon. Yet, despite their aggressive early start, 13 total set-piece deliveries, and constant final-third entries, they lacked the clinical finishing required to put the game out of reach. Crystal Palace were forced to dig incredibly deep, desperately absorbing waves of attacking phases while searching for a viable avenue back into the contest.

The Selhurst Blitz

The match's Balance completely flipped during a breathtaking five-minute spell right before the interval. Daichi Kamada sparked the resurgence in the 41st minute, equalising with a precise finish after a slick move orchestrated by Quinten Timber. Before the visitors could properly process the setback, Palace struck again deep into first-half stoppage time. Jefferson Lerma smashed home, capitalising on exceptional vision and a pinpoint delivery from Adam Wharton. That brutal one-two punch instantly turned a potential home collapse into a commanding position for the Eagles. It showcased a ruthless attacking edge that Forest severely lacked, violently illustrating that high shot volume means absolutely nothing without final-third precision in this brutal league.

Sealing the Points

Emerging for the second half with a sudden advantage, Palace managed the Stakes with impressive tactical maturity. They were perfectly happy to concede territory, knowing they could exploit the spaces left behind. In the 59th minute, Yeremy Pino drove the final nail into the coffin, finishing smartly to extend the lead to 3-1 and effectively kill the contest. While the goalkeepers were kept incredibly busy—producing eight impressive saves between them across a highly chaotic 90 minutes—it was the Eagles who rightly celebrated at the final whistle. This crucial early-season victory pushes Palace up to 12th in the Premier League table, while Forest are left bitterly ruing missed opportunities as they slip down to 14th.

Key Questions

How did Crystal Palace complete the comeback from behind?

After Ndoye's early goal, quick-fire strikes from Kamada and Lerma flipped the script before halftime. Pino then sealed the 3-1 win with a composed second-half finish.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
43%
57%
Crystal Palace 43%
Nottingham Forest 57%
Shots
13
24
Crystal Palace 13
Nottingham Forest 24
Shots on Target
7
6
Crystal Palace 7
Nottingham Forest 6
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
2.95
Crystal Palace 2.42
Nottingham Forest 2.95
Passes
385
492
Crystal Palace 385
Nottingham Forest 492
Corners
5
8
Crystal Palace 5
Nottingham Forest 8
Fouls
11
10
Crystal Palace 11
Nottingham Forest 10
Yellow Cards
2
2
Crystal Palace 2
Nottingham Forest 2
Red Cards
0
0
Crystal Palace 0
Nottingham Forest 0

Match Events

Dan Ndoye ⚽ 3'
16' 🟨 Jefferson Lerma
41' ⚽ Daichi Kamada (Quinten Timber)
45'+4 ⚽ Jefferson Lerma (Adam Wharton)
HT
59' ⚽ Yeremy Pino
60' 🟨 Yeremy Pino
↓ Xaver Schlager ↑Ibrahim Sangaré 🔄 66'
↓ Dan Ndoye ↑Callum Hudson-Odoi 🔄 72'
↓ Liam Delap ↑Chris Wood 🔄 72'
72' 🔄 ↓ Jefferson Lerma ↑Honest Ahanor
Ola Aina 🟨 73'
83' 🔄 ↓ Jörgen Strand Larsen ↑Eddie Nketiah
83' 🔄 ↓ Yeremy Pino ↑Ismaila Sarr
↓ Ola Aina ↑Arnaud Kalimuendo 🔄 83'
90' 🔄 ↓ Daichi Kamada ↑Dwight McNeil
Murillo Santiago 🟨 90'+4
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Crystal Palace

Goalkeepers
Walter Benitez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Jefferson Lerma
TRANSFORMER
TRANSFORMER
1
Goals
1
Goals
4
Aerials Won
1
Tackles
Chris Richards
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jaydee Canvot
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Anan Khalaili
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Adam Wharton
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
1
Assists
42%
Pass Acc
Quinten Timber
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
8
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Tyrick Mitchell
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
7
Tackles
7
Tackles
9
Duels Won
75%
Win %
Daichi Kamada
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Yeremy Pino
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Forwards
Jørgen Strand Larsen
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
7
Late Mins
7
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
83
Entry
BENCH
Remi Matthews
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Óscar Mingueza
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Honest Ahanor
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Will Hughes
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cheick Doucouré
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ismaïla Sarr
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
7
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Dwight McNeil
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Evann Guessand
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Eddie Nketiah
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
7
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Nottingham Forest

Goalkeepers
Matz Sels
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
1
Key Passes
1
Key Passes
0
Assists
17%
Pass Acc
Defenders
Ola Aina
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
73%
Duel Win %
Ousmane Diomande
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Murillo
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
62%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Daniel Muñoz
MAGNET
MAGNET
71
Activity
71
Activity
50
Passes
21
Duels
Xaver Schlager
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
1
Interceptions
2
Blocks
James McAtee
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Neco Williams
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
1
Interceptions
2
Blocks
Morgan Gibbs-White
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
37%
Pass Acc
Dan Ndoye
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
4
Shots
6.7
Rating
Forwards
Liam Delap
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
BENCH
John Victor Furtado
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Jair
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luca Netz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolás Domínguez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ibrahim Sangaré
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
24
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ryan Yates
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Chris Wood
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Callum Hudson-Odoi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Arnaud Kalimuendo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
7
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
02/01/2026 Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Crystal Palace Premier League City Ground
08/24/2025 Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest Premier League Selhurst Park
05/05/2025 Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest Premier League Selhurst Park
10/21/2024 Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Crystal Palace Premier League The City Ground
03/30/2024 Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Crystal Palace Premier League The City Ground
10/07/2023 Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Nottingham Forest Premier League Selhurst Park
05/28/2023 Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest Premier League Selhurst Park
11/12/2022 Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Crystal Palace Premier League The City Ground
12/29/2012 Nottingham Forest 2 - 2 Crystal Palace Championship The City Ground
09/18/2012 Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest Championship Selhurst Park
02/01/2026
Premier League City Ground
08/24/2025
Premier League Selhurst Park
05/05/2025
Premier League Selhurst Park
10/21/2024
Premier League The City Ground
03/30/2024
Premier League The City Ground
10/07/2023
Premier League Selhurst Park
05/28/2023
Premier League Selhurst Park
11/12/2022
Premier League The City Ground
12/29/2012
Championship The City Ground
09/18/2012
Championship Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace Win
Nottingham Forest Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Manchester City 6 18 16 5 +11 WLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)WManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)WManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
2 Arsenal 6 15 10 5 +5 WArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)LBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)WArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
3 Brighton 6 13 18 5 +13 WSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)WBrighton 3 - 0 Arsenal (19-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)LChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
4 Brentford 6 10 12 6 +6 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
5 Everton 6 10 8 5 +3 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)WEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
6 Chelsea 6 10 15 13 +2 WChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBrentford 3 - 0 Chelsea (18-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)LArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (06-09-2026)WChelsea 4 - 3 Brighton (30-08-2026)
7 Leeds 6 9 8 5 +3 LArsenal 2 - 1 Leeds (10-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)WLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DBrighton 1 - 1 Leeds (05-09-2026)DLeeds 1 - 1 Brentford (30-08-2026)
8 Hull City 6 9 8 6 +2 DHull City 2 - 2 Everton (11-10-2026)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)DChelsea 2 - 2 Hull City (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)WCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)
9 Liverpool 6 9 7 7 0 LLiverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City (11-10-2026)WBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)WIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
10 Ipswich 6 9 9 12 -3 WIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)LEverton 1 - 0 Ipswich (19-09-2026)WCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)LIpswich 0 - 2 Liverpool (04-09-2026)LManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
11 Newcastle 5 8 9 9 0 WNewcastle 2 - 1 Hull City (19-09-2026)LLeeds 4 - 1 Newcastle (14-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)WTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool (23-08-2026)
12 Crystal Palace 6 7 9 12 -3 WCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)DLeeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace (20-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich (12-09-2026)WFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LCrystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City (28-08-2026)
13 Manchester United 6 6 9 9 0 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)LManchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City (13-09-2026)DEverton 2 - 2 Manchester United (06-09-2026)WManchester United 5 - 2 Ipswich (30-08-2026)
14 Nottingham Forest 6 5 5 8 -3 LCrystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (11-10-2026)LNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)WAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)DLiverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (29-08-2026)
15 Aston Villa 6 5 6 11 -5 DAston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford (10-10-2026)WTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)LAston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest (12-09-2026)DHull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa (05-09-2026)LAston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal (31-08-2026)
16 Sunderland 6 4 6 12 -6 LSunderland 0 - 2 Brighton (10-10-2026)LManchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland (20-09-2026)LSunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal (12-09-2026)DBrentford 1 - 1 Sunderland (05-09-2026)WSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)
17 Bournemouth 6 3 7 13 -6 LChelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth (10-10-2026)LBournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool (20-09-2026)DBournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford (12-09-2026)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth (05-09-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Everton (29-08-2026)
18 Tottenham 6 3 3 9 -6 DManchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham (10-10-2026)LTottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (19-09-2026)DTottenham 0 - 0 Everton (12-09-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham (05-09-2026)LTottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle (29-08-2026)
19 Coventry 5 3 1 10 -9 WNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry (19-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 5 Brighton (13-09-2026)LManchester City 1 - 0 Coventry (05-09-2026)LCoventry 0 - 1 Hull City (29-08-2026)LArsenal 3 - 0 Coventry (21-08-2026)
20 Fulham 6 2 6 10 -4 LIpswich 2 - 1 Fulham (10-10-2026)DFulham 1 - 1 Manchester United (20-09-2026)DLiverpool 0 - 0 Fulham (12-09-2026)LFulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-09-2026)LSunderland 1 - 0 Fulham (30-08-2026)

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