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Futmetrix Verdict
46
FT
Sat, Aug 22
Hull City
2-0
Manchester United
⚡ Intensity 18
⚖️ Balance 13
🏆 Stakes 100
🎲 Upset 100
Hull shock United at MKM Stadium.

Win Probability

  • Hull City 12%
  • Draw 19%
  • Manchester United 69%

Futmetrix AI estimate

A Stunning Upset on Humberside

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 46/100. An opening-day masterclass in defensive resilience proved that sterile possession means nothing against clinical counter-attacking.

The Early Strike

Manchester United arrived at the MKM Stadium with heavy expectations, but the script was flipped almost immediately. The visitors completely dominated possession, ultimately hoarding 70% of the ball, yet they spent the opening exchanges passing harmlessly in front of a resolute black and amber wall. The Intensity spiked significantly in the 17th minute when Hull City struck first blood. Semi Ajayi found himself in the right place to hammer home the opener, sending the home crowd into raptures. It was a classic sucker punch, entirely against the run of play, but it exposed the fragility in the visitors' transitional defence. The early lead established a fascinating tactical dynamic, forcing the away side to push even higher up the pitch.

Doubling the Advantage

With the away side pouring forward in search of an equaliser, the game opened up, creating a massive Upset Factor. United racked up 16 total shots, but their lack of a killer instinct was glaringly obvious. They generated an xG of 1.54 without finding the back of the net. Instead, the home side demonstrated ruthless efficiency. On 38 minutes, R. Slater delivered a pristine pass that found Nobel Mendy, who made no mistake to double the advantage. This crucial second goal completely shifted the Balance of the tie. Despite launching 39 crosses into the box and attempting over 500 passes, the visiting attack looked entirely toothless. Hull's tactical plan was executed to absolute perfection, absorbing the pressure while remaining lethal on the break.

Shutting Up Shop

The second half transformed into a pure defensive clinic from the hosts. The sheer Stakes of this early-season encounter meant United threw everything forward, but they ran straight into a brick wall named Konstantinos Tzolakis. The goalkeeper was immense, producing four crucial saves to guarantee his clean sheet and completely shut out the visiting forwards. This wasn't merely a lucky smash-and-grab; it was a brilliantly orchestrated defensive performance characterized by 54 clearances and 22 successful aerial duels. When the final whistle echoed around the MKM Stadium, it confirmed a monumental 2-0 victory for the home side. Claiming three points on the opening weekend against an established giant sends a massive statement to the rest of the Premier League.

Key Questions

How did Manchester United pull off this shock result?

Actually, Hull City secured the shock 2-0 win, relying on a clinical first half and heroic goalkeeping from Tzolakis despite United dominating possession entirely.

What does this mean for Hull City's season?

Starting with an upset victory sets a phenomenal tone. Claiming three points here instantly boosts their confidence for a potential top-half push this season.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
30%
70%
Hull City 30%
Manchester United 70%
Shots
8
16
Hull City 8
Manchester United 16
Shots on Target
4
4
Hull City 4
Manchester United 4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
1.54
Hull City 1.26
Manchester United 1.54
Passes
215
531
Hull City 215
Manchester United 531
Pass Accuracy
72%
88%
Hull City 72%
Manchester United 88%
Corners
1
4
Hull City 1
Manchester United 4
Fouls
9
8
Hull City 9
Manchester United 8
Yellow Cards
1
1
Hull City 1
Manchester United 1
Red Cards
0
0
Hull City 0
Manchester United 0

Match Events

17' S. Ajayi
P. Dorgu 🟨 34'
38' N. Mendy (R. Slater)
42' 🟨 M. Crooks
HT
P. Dorgu M. Rashford 🔄 46'
64' 🔄 S. Ajayi P. McNair
64' 🔄 N. Mendy L. Herrington
Andrey Santos B. Sesko 🔄 67'
Y. Tielemans K. Mainoo 🔄 67'
70' 🔄 L. Coyle C. Drameh
71' 🔄 E. Stroud L. Millar
N. Mazraoui D. Dalot 🔄 80'
M. Cunha S. Lacey 🔄 80'
85' 🔄 R. Giles M. Targett
90'+6 🟨 L. Millar
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Hull City

Goalkeepers
Konstantinos Tzolakis
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
1
Fouls Won
1
Fouls Won
2
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Defenders
Lewie Coyle
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Semi Ajayi
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
John Egan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nobel Mendy
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Ryan Giles
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
5
Late Mins
5
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
85
Entry
Midfielders
Mohamed Belloumi
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Matt Crooks
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Regan Slater
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7
Rating
Elliot Stroud
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
3
Tackles
3
Tackles
4
Duels Won
100%
Win %
Forwards
Oli McBurnie
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Dillon Phillips
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Lucas Herrington
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
16
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matt Targett
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Paddy McNair
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
16
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cody Drameh
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lucas Gourna-Douath
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kieran Dowell
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Liam Millar
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
9
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Manchester United

Goalkeepers
Senne Lammens
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Noussair Mazraoui
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
62%
Pass Acc
Harry Maguire
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
57%
Pass Acc
Ayden Heaven
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Luke Shaw
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
34%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Youri Tielemans
MAGNET
MAGNET
77
Activity
77
Activity
70
Passes
7
Duels
Andrey Santos
MAGNET
MAGNET
65
Activity
65
Activity
57
Passes
8
Duels
Bryan Mbeumo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bruno Fernandes
MAGNET
MAGNET
69
Activity
69
Activity
67
Passes
2
Duels
Patrick Dorgu
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Forwards
Matheus Cunha
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
BENCH
Karl Darlow
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Diogo Dalot
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leny Yoro
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lisandro Martínez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kobbie Mainoo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Benjamin Šeško
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marcus Rashford
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
35
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Joshua Zirkzee
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Shea Lacey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
02/01/2017 Manchester United 0 - 0 Hull City Premier League Old Trafford
01/26/2017 Hull City 2 - 1 Manchester United League Cup KCOM Stadium
01/10/2017 Manchester United 2 - 0 Hull City League Cup Old Trafford
08/27/2016 Hull City 0 - 1 Manchester United Premier League KCOM Stadium
05/24/2015 Hull City 0 - 0 Manchester United Premier League Kingston Communications Stadium (Hull)
11/29/2014 Manchester United 3 - 0 Hull City Premier League Old Trafford (Manchester)
05/06/2014 Manchester United 3 - 1 Hull City Premier League Old Trafford (Manchester)
12/26/2013 Hull City 2 - 3 Manchester United Premier League Kingston Communications Stadium (Hull)
02/01/2017
Premier League Old Trafford
01/26/2017
League Cup KCOM Stadium
01/10/2017
League Cup Old Trafford
08/27/2016
Premier League KCOM Stadium
05/24/2015
Premier League Kingston Communications Stadium (Hull)
11/29/2014
Premier League Old Trafford (Manchester)
05/06/2014
Premier League Old Trafford (Manchester)
12/26/2013
Premier League Kingston Communications Stadium (Hull)
Hull City Win
Manchester United Win
Draw

League Standings

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