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Futmetrix Verdict
49
FT
Thu, Aug 20
Minnesota United FC
1-2
Atlanta United FC
⚡ Intensity 40
⚖️ Balance 56
🏆 Stakes 0
🎲 Upset 60
Atlanta United steal massive road victory.

Win Probability

  • Minnesota United FC 53%
  • Draw 25%
  • Atlanta United FC 22%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Atlanta United Steal the Show at Allianz Field

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 49/100. Our take: Atlanta United defied their miserable form to snatch a vital road victory, punishing a wasteful Minnesota side that left their scoring boots in the locker room.

A Cautious Opening

The Stakes were exceptionally high for two struggling sides desperate to reverse their regular season fortunes. Right out of the gate under the lights at Allianz Field, the match settled into a remarkably cagey rhythm. The midfield battle was a total dead heat, perfectly reflected in a balanced 50-50 possession split across the opening half-hour. Neither side wanted to make the critical first mistake in a fixture they both badly needed. The home side looked slightly more threatening during the early exchanges, building patiently from the back, but Atlanta United FC ultimately struck the first blow. In the 37th minute, T. Jacob found a rare pocket of space in the final third to break the deadlock. It was a clinical finish that completely silenced the home crowd and gave the visitors a massive injection of confidence heading into the halftime break.

The Second-Half Scramble

Coming out of the break, Minnesota United FC drastically raised the Intensity. The hosts started throwing bodies forward in waves, absolutely determined to convert their mounting territorial advantage into something tangible on the scoreboard. Their sheer persistence finally paid off in the 58th minute when A. Markanich latched onto a loose ball and buried the equalizer. The Balance of the match shifted completely toward the home side for a dominant twenty-minute spell. The Loons generated far better scoring opportunities overall, finding space behind the defensive line and testing the keeper. However, a combination of poor finishing and desperate blocks from the visiting defense kept the scoreline firmly on a knife edge. Atlanta bent considerably under the sustained pressure, but they crucially refused to break during Minnesota's most dangerous period of the game.

A Late Twist in the Tale

Just when the hosts looked overwhelmingly favored to find a late winner, the visitors delivered a devastating sucker punch against the run of play. With twelve minutes left on the clock, A. Miranchuk orchestrated a lethal, sweeping counter-attack. He provided a pinpoint final ball, setting up T. Muyumba to slot home the deciding goal with ice in his veins. The dramatic late twist produced a massive Upset Factor, especially considering the visitors entered the night rooted near the very bottom of the conference standings. Minnesota will undoubtedly rue their missed chances, finishing the night with zero points to show for their significantly superior attacking metrics. Ultimately, a gritty and utterly ruthless 2-1 away victory gives Atlanta a season-defining locker room boost while extending Minnesota's frustrating winless rut.

Key Questions

Who won the match between Minnesota and Atlanta?

Atlanta United FC won the match 2-1 away against Minnesota United FC.

Who scored the winning goal for Atlanta?

T. Muyumba scored the decisive goal for Atlanta United FC in the 78th minute.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
50%
50%
Minnesota United FC 50%
Atlanta United FC 50%
Shots
11
10
Minnesota United FC 11
Atlanta United FC 10
Shots on Target
4
3
Minnesota United FC 4
Atlanta United FC 3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
0.93
Minnesota United FC 1.75
Atlanta United FC 0.93
Passes
396
400
Minnesota United FC 396
Atlanta United FC 400
Pass Accuracy
78%
78%
Minnesota United FC 78%
Atlanta United FC 78%
Corners
4
2
Minnesota United FC 4
Atlanta United FC 2
Fouls
12
10
Minnesota United FC 12
Atlanta United FC 10
Yellow Cards
3
3
Minnesota United FC 3
Atlanta United FC 3
Red Cards
0
0
Minnesota United FC 0
Atlanta United FC 0

Match Events

J. Alonso 🟨 18'
29' 🟨 M. Boxall
32' 🟨 J. Pereyra
T. Jacob 37'
HT
A. Gill 🟨 46'
C. Sanchez 🟨 56'
58' A. Markanich
C. Sanchez S. Alzate 🔄 64'
F. Picault L. Brennan 🔄 64'
68' 🔄 M. Caldeira A. Jackson
68' 🔄 B. Hlongwane M. Dieng
75' 🟨 T. Chancalay
T. Muyumba (A. Miranchuk) 78'
A. Miranchuk M. Edwards 🔄 79'
80' 🔄 T. Chancalay K. Yeboah
80' 🔄 W. Trapp M. Gonzalez
T. Muyumba P. Diaz 🔄 85'
A. Gill E. Mihaj 🔄 85'
87' 🟨 O. Gene
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Minnesota United FC

Goalkeepers
Drake Callender
SIEVE
SIEVE
33%
Save %
33%
Save %
2
Conceded
1
Saves
Defenders
Jefferson Díaz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Michael Boxall
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Morris Duggan
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
38%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
68
Entry
Owen Gene
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Wil Trapp
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
Anthony Markanich
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
5
Shots
7.2
Rating
Forwards
Joaquín Pereyra
MAGNET
MAGNET
49
Activity
49
Activity
43
Passes
6
Duels
Marcus Caldeira
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
68
Entry
Tomás Chancalay
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
BENCH
Alec Smir
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Kyle Duncan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Devin Padelford
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Aziel Jackson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
15
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Julian Gressel
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Carlos Harvey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mamadou Dieng
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
15
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mauricio Gonzalez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
3
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kelvin Yeboah
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
3
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Atlanta United FC

Goalkeepers
Lucas Hoyos
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Tomás Jacob
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Stian Gregersen
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanups
5
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Javier Alonso
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Elías Báez
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
22%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Cooper Sanchez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
Adrian Gill
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanups
4
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Tristan Muyumba
CLOSER
CLOSER
1
Late Goals
1
Late Goals
0
Late Assists
75
Minute
Forwards
Aleksey Miranchuk
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
1
Assists
21%
Pass Acc
Miguel Almirón
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fafà Picault
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
BENCH
Jayden Hibbert
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Matthew Edwards
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Enea Mihaj
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ronald Hernández
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Paulo Díaz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luke Brennan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
19
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Steven Alzate
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
19
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cayman Togashi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sergio Santos
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
05/04/2024 Atlanta United FC 1 - 2 Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
08/28/2019 Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 Minnesota United FC US Open Cup Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
05/29/2019 Atlanta United FC 3 - 0 Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
04/01/2018 Minnesota United FC 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer TCF Bank Stadium
10/03/2017 Atlanta United FC 2 - 3 Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
03/12/2017 Minnesota United FC 1 - 6 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer TCF Bank Stadium
05/04/2024
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
08/28/2019
US Open Cup Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
05/29/2019
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
04/01/2018
Major League Soccer TCF Bank Stadium
10/03/2017
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
03/12/2017
Major League Soccer TCF Bank Stadium
Minnesota United FC Win
Atlanta United FC Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 15 31 32 13 +19 WSeattle Sounders 0 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps (17-08-2026)DVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC (01-08-2026)DMinnesota United FC 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps (26-07-2026)WSan Diego 2 - 4 Vancouver Whitecaps (24-05-2026)LHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps (17-05-2026)
2 Colorado Rapids 17 28 25 16 +9 WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC (20-08-2026)WColorado Rapids 2 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (16-08-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Austin (02-08-2026)LSt. Louis City 1 - 0 Colorado Rapids (26-07-2026)WColorado Rapids 1 - 0 San Diego (23-07-2026)
3 Los Angeles FC 18 28 24 18 +6 LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC (20-08-2026)LLos Angeles FC 0 - 1 San Diego (16-08-2026)DVancouver Whitecaps 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC (01-08-2026)WLos Angeles FC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (26-07-2026)WLos Angeles FC 3 - 1 Real Salt Lake (23-07-2026)
4 San Jose Earthquakes 15 26 32 19 +13 LLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (20-08-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 3 St. Louis City (16-08-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (26-07-2026)WPortland Timbers 1 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (24-05-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 2 - 3 FC Dallas (17-05-2026)
5 Real Salt Lake 17 25 30 26 +4 LReal Salt Lake 3 - 4 FC Dallas (20-08-2026)DReal Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota United FC (16-08-2026)DSt. Louis City 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake (02-08-2026)LPortland Timbers 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (26-07-2026)LLos Angeles FC 3 - 1 Real Salt Lake (23-07-2026)
6 Houston Dynamo 15 25 22 22 0 WHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (16-08-2026)WSporting Kansas City 0 - 2 Houston Dynamo (02-08-2026)WHouston Dynamo 3 - 0 Austin (26-07-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Houston Dynamo (24-05-2026)WHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps (17-05-2026)
7 St. Louis City 16 24 22 22 0 DSporting Kansas City 1 - 1 St. Louis City (20-08-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 3 St. Louis City (16-08-2026)DSt. Louis City 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake (02-08-2026)WSt. Louis City 1 - 0 Colorado Rapids (26-07-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 3 St. Louis City (23-07-2026)
8 Seattle Sounders 18 24 21 25 -4 LSeattle Sounders 1 - 2 Austin (20-08-2026)LSeattle Sounders 0 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps (17-08-2026)LPortland Timbers 2 - 1 Seattle Sounders (02-08-2026)LAustin 3 - 1 Seattle Sounders (23-07-2026)LSeattle Sounders 1 - 5 Portland Timbers (17-07-2026)
9 FC Dallas 16 23 29 27 +2 WReal Salt Lake 3 - 4 FC Dallas (20-08-2026)WAustin 1 - 2 FC Dallas (17-08-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 0 - 0 FC Dallas (02-08-2026)LSan Diego 1 - 0 FC Dallas (26-07-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 FC Dallas (23-07-2026)
10 Portland Timbers 15 20 28 27 +1 WPortland Timbers 2 - 1 Seattle Sounders (02-08-2026)WPortland Timbers 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (26-07-2026)DPortland Timbers 2 - 2 FC Dallas (23-07-2026)WSeattle Sounders 1 - 5 Portland Timbers (17-07-2026)LPortland Timbers 1 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (24-05-2026)
11 San Diego 17 20 25 26 -1 WLos Angeles FC 0 - 1 San Diego (16-08-2026)DMinnesota United FC 1 - 1 San Diego (02-08-2026)WSan Diego 1 - 0 FC Dallas (26-07-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 San Diego (23-07-2026)LSan Diego 2 - 4 Vancouver Whitecaps (24-05-2026)
12 Minnesota United FC 15 19 15 19 -4 DReal Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota United FC (16-08-2026)DMinnesota United FC 1 - 1 San Diego (02-08-2026)DMinnesota United FC 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps (26-07-2026)LSporting Kansas City 2 - 1 Minnesota United FC (23-07-2026)DMinnesota United FC 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake (23-05-2026)
13 Los Angeles Galaxy 17 18 18 26 -8 WLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes (20-08-2026)LHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy (16-08-2026)DLos Angeles Galaxy 0 - 0 FC Dallas (02-08-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (26-07-2026)LLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 3 St. Louis City (23-07-2026)
14 Austin 16 15 18 31 -13 WSeattle Sounders 1 - 2 Austin (20-08-2026)LAustin 1 - 2 FC Dallas (17-08-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 Austin (02-08-2026)LHouston Dynamo 3 - 0 Austin (26-07-2026)WAustin 3 - 1 Seattle Sounders (23-07-2026)
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 14 16 40 -24 DSporting Kansas City 1 - 1 St. Louis City (20-08-2026)LColorado Rapids 2 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (16-08-2026)LSporting Kansas City 0 - 2 Houston Dynamo (02-08-2026)LLos Angeles FC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (26-07-2026)WSporting Kansas City 2 - 1 Minnesota United FC (23-07-2026)

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