Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
34
DC United
vs
New York City FC
Sat, Nov 7 • 21:00
⚡ Form 44
⚖️ Balance 88
🏆 Stakes 14
⭐ Stars 48
Points pressure, patience running thin

Win Probability

  • DC United 32%
  • Draw 26%
  • New York City FC 42%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Six points apart, DC United and New York City FC need a response

Six points separate these sides, but DC United’s five-match losing run makes this closing-round meeting matter more than its modest billing suggests.

The Setup

At Audi Field on November 7, 2026, DC United arrive 14th on 33 points after five straight defeats. They have scored 39 and conceded 60, leaving a minus-21 goal difference. New York City FC sit 11th on 39 points, with 48 scored and 45 conceded. Their latest five brought one win, three draws and one defeat—not a surge, but a steadier sequence than DC’s. A home win cuts the gap to three; NYC can protect its lead. L. Munteanu and T. Baribo are DC’s attacking options, while B. Traoré and N. Fernández Mercau supply the visitors’ threat.

Key Battle

DC’s defensive unit must stay connected and close central lanes; 60 goals conceded show the cost of being pulled apart. New York City FC’s front line can work the ball patiently, then accelerate into gaps behind the midfield. The home side need pressure of their own, but pushing too many players forward could expose the same spaces. The tactical question is simple: can DC defend compactly without surrendering the territory needed to trouble the visitors?

Our Prediction

New York City FC are the likelier winners, though this should remain close. DC’s urgency can create a spell of pressure and a goal, but their defensive record makes a clean sheet hard to trust. Expect NYC to invite the home press, then attack the space it leaves and make its better chances count. Our call: a 2–1 away win.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Only if the table pressure appeals; DC’s five straight losses and NYC’s uneven run make this an easy skip for neutrals.

What’s the expected outcome?

New York City FC to win 2–1, exploiting space behind DC’s midfield in a close game.

Where are DC United and New York City FC in the league table?

New York City FC are 11th on 39 points; DC United are 14th on 33. Both have played 33 matches.

What is DC United’s recent run?

DC United have lost five consecutive matches.

Who is the standout player to watch?

N. Fernández Mercau: one goal and two assists in five matches, with a 7.5 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/30/2025 New York City FC 1 - 2 DC United Major League Soccer Yankee Stadium
05/14/2025 DC United 0 - 0 New York City FC Major League Soccer Audi Field
09/14/2024 DC United 1 - 1 New York City FC Major League Soccer Audi Field
04/20/2024 New York City FC 2 - 0 DC United Major League Soccer Citi Field
10/07/2023 DC United 2 - 0 New York City FC Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/18/2023 New York City FC 3 - 2 DC United Major League Soccer Yankee Stadium
09/01/2022 New York City FC 1 - 2 DC United Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
05/18/2022 DC United 0 - 2 New York City FC Major League Soccer Audi Field
10/23/2021 New York City FC 6 - 0 DC United Major League Soccer Yankee Stadium
06/27/2021 New York City FC 2 - 1 DC United Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
08/30/2025
Major League Soccer Yankee Stadium
05/14/2025
Major League Soccer Audi Field
09/14/2024
Major League Soccer Audi Field
04/20/2024
Major League Soccer Citi Field
10/07/2023
Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/18/2023
Major League Soccer Yankee Stadium
09/01/2022
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
05/18/2022
Major League Soccer Audi Field
10/23/2021
Major League Soccer Yankee Stadium
06/27/2021
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
DC United Win
New York City FC Win
Draw

Season Statistics

14
League Position
11
33
Points
39
39
Goals Scored
48
60
Goals Conceded
45

Eastern Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 33 74 69 25 +44 WNashville SC 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (01-11-2026)DNashville SC 0 - 0 Philadelphia Union (29-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC (18-10-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (15-10-2026)
2 Inter Miami 33 59 77 56 +21 WNew England Revolution 1 - 2 Inter Miami (02-11-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (28-10-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)
3 New England Revolution 33 58 55 46 +9 LNew England Revolution 1 - 2 Inter Miami (02-11-2026)WNew England Revolution 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (28-10-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)WNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England Revolution (14-10-2026)
4 Chicago Fire 33 55 61 50 +11 WColorado Rapids 2 - 4 Chicago Fire (01-11-2026)DChicago Fire 2 - 2 Orlando City SC (29-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)LChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)
5 Charlotte 33 53 63 48 +15 WCharlotte 4 - 0 Orlando City SC (31-10-2026)WCharlotte 4 - 0 CF Montreal (28-10-2026)LPortland Timbers 3 - 2 Charlotte (25-10-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 33 47 62 51 +11 LFC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (31-10-2026)DNashville SC 0 - 0 Philadelphia Union (29-10-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)
7 FC Cincinnati 33 46 67 73 -6 WFC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (31-10-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (28-10-2026)WDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)
8 Columbus Crew 33 44 55 49 +6 WColumbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United (31-10-2026)WFC Dallas 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (29-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)
9 Orlando City SC 33 43 62 78 -16 LCharlotte 4 - 0 Orlando City SC (31-10-2026)DChicago Fire 2 - 2 Orlando City SC (29-10-2026)DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)WOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)
10 New York Red Bulls 33 39 45 62 -17 LNashville SC 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (01-11-2026)LNew England Revolution 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (28-10-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (14-10-2026)
11 New York City FC 33 39 48 45 +3 DNew York City FC 1 - 1 CF Montreal (31-10-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC (28-10-2026)DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC (17-10-2026)LInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)
12 Toronto FC 33 39 51 63 -12 LAtlanta United FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC (01-11-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 DC United (28-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)
13 Atlanta United FC 33 33 43 57 -14 WAtlanta United FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC (01-11-2026)LNew York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC (28-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)
14 DC United 33 33 39 60 -21 LColumbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United (31-10-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 DC United (28-10-2026)LDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)
15 CF Montreal 33 26 37 67 -30 DNew York City FC 1 - 1 CF Montreal (31-10-2026)LCharlotte 4 - 0 CF Montreal (28-10-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)DSeattle Sounders 1 - 1 CF Montreal (18-10-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)

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