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Futmetrix Verdict
27
FT
Sat, Oct 24
DC United
0-2
FC Cincinnati
⚡ Intensity 20
⚖️ Balance 13
🏆 Stakes 10
🎲 Upset 80
Evander makes two moments count

Win Probability

  • DC United 61%
  • Draw 20%
  • FC Cincinnati 19%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Two sharp moments settle it at Audi Field

A compact away display turned a narrow standings gap into a result Cincinnati will value far more than the shot count suggests.

Opening Act: DC have the ball

At Audi Field, DC United edged possession at 53 per cent, but FC Cincinnati made a key chance count. The hosts finished with 13 shots; for a spell, they looked likelier to push the match onto their terms. Yet the numbers tell a less comfortable story: only two attempts found the target, and seven were blocked. Cincinnati stayed patient rather than chasing the ball, with Pavel Bucha supplying the pass that let Evander break the deadlock in the 35th minute. That goal changed the shape of a tight first half, even if the visitors had little volume to spare. The Intensity came in waves, especially around the corners: DC won seven, Cincinnati three, ten altogether. But pressure without clean access to goal was not enough.

The Pivot: Evander turns provider

Evander’s goal gave Cincinnati the lead, but Tom Barlow’s finish in the 52nd minute made the result feel settled. The second was the match’s hinge: Evander turned scorer into provider, and Barlow converted the assist before DC could rebuild its pressure. Cincinnati had nine shots against the hosts’ 13, yet three hit the target compared with DC’s two. That is the sharper explanation than possession alone. The Upset Factor sat in the contrast: DC edged the ball, but the visitors were more exact when a chance arrived. Evander’s influence stretched beyond those two decisive actions; three key passes kept Cincinnati’s attacks connected. With that cushion, the visitors could defend their lead rather than trade risks, and DC’s seven blocked efforts never became a sustained route back.

Resolution: A valuable road win

At Audi Field, this 2-0 away win matters because Cincinnati arrived only one point above DC United in the supplied standings. The clubs were 11th and 12th, so the result strengthens Cincinnati’s position above a close mid-table rival without turning it into a title-race story. N. Hagglund was among the visitors’ standout performers, helping them protect the lead as DC kept looking for a way through. The hosts’ 53 per cent possession and 13 shots show they were not absent from the contest; the two shots on target explain why the pressure never changed the score. The Stakes were immediate rather than grand: Cincinnati banked a valuable road win, while DC must make its spells on the ball count. Evander’s goal-and-assist contribution gave the match its decisive edge.

Key Questions

What made Evander the Man of the Match?

He scored the opener, assisted Tom Barlow’s second, and created three key passes, shaping both decisive goals.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
53%
47%
DC United 53%
FC Cincinnati 47%
Shots
13
9
DC United 13
FC Cincinnati 9
Shots on Target
2
3
DC United 2
FC Cincinnati 3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
0.24
DC United 0.37
FC Cincinnati 0.24
Passes
524
413
DC United 524
FC Cincinnati 413
Corners
7
3
DC United 7
FC Cincinnati 3
Fouls
12
10
DC United 12
FC Cincinnati 10
Yellow Cards
1
2
DC United 1
FC Cincinnati 2
Red Cards
0
0
DC United 0
FC Cincinnati 0

Match Events

Obinna Nwobodo 🟨 24'
34' 🟨 Tai Baribo
Evander (Pavel Bucha) ⚽ 35'
35' 🔄 ↓ Jackson Hopkins ↑Nikola Marković
Tom Barlow 🟨 38'
HT
Tom Barlow (Evander) ⚽ 52'
↓ Obinna Nwobodo ↑Tah Anunga 🔄 59'
↓ Kyle Smith ↑Samuel Mawuena Gidi 🔄 59'
↓ Tom Barlow ↑Kenji Mboma Dem 🔄 59'
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

DC United

Goalkeepers
Sean Johnson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Silvan Hefti
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
27%
Pass Acc
Lucas Bartlett
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kye Rowles
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Keisuke Kurokawa
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
49%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Kimito Nono
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brandon Servania
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanups
2
Interceptions
3
Blocks
Andre Dozzell
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
0
Blocks
João Peglow
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Jackson Hopkins
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
35
Total Mins
35
Entry
Tai Baribo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Alex Bono
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Conner Antley
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nikola Markovic
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
S. Nealis
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matti Peltola
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
K. Castillo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jared Stroud
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
O. Avilez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nathan Ordaz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

FC Cincinnati

Goalkeepers
Roman Celentano
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Kyle Smith
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
83%
Duel Win %
Nick Hagglund
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Teenage Hadebe
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
David Douděra
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
75
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pavel Bucha
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.4
Rating
Evander
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Obinna Nwobodo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
59
Total Mins
59
Entry
Bryan Ramírez
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanups
5
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Forwards
Tom Barlow
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Kévin Denkey
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
BENCH
Evan Louro
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Alvas Powell
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
A. Chirila
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Samuel Gidi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gerardo Valenzuela
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brian Anunga
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
0
Blocks
José Martínez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ayoub Jabbari
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kenji Mboma Dem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
10/21/2026 FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/31/2025 FC Cincinnati 1 - 2 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/12/2025 DC United 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
07/03/2024 DC United 2 - 3 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/10/2024 FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
06/24/2023 DC United 3 - 0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
05/06/2023 FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
10/09/2022 DC United 2 - 5 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/05/2022 FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
09/25/2021 DC United 4 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
10/21/2026
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/31/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/12/2025
Major League Soccer Audi Field
07/03/2024
Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/10/2024
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
06/24/2023
Major League Soccer Audi Field
05/06/2023
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
10/09/2022
Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/05/2022
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
09/25/2021
Major League Soccer Audi Field
DC United Win
FC Cincinnati Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 25 56 51 18 +33 WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)WNashville SC 2 - 0 Toronto FC (27-09-2026)WNashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire (20-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)
2 New England Revolution 25 52 47 28 +19 WPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)WNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England Revolution (14-10-2026)WNew England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (19-09-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)
3 Inter Miami 25 44 62 44 +18 LNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)WInter Miami 4 - 0 DC United (10-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami (27-09-2026)
4 Chicago Fire 26 41 42 40 +2 WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)LChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)WChicago Fire 2 - 1 New York City FC (10-10-2026)WCharlotte 0 - 1 Chicago Fire (26-09-2026)
5 Charlotte 25 39 46 38 +8 DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)LCharlotte 0 - 1 Chicago Fire (26-09-2026)WDC United 1 - 2 Charlotte (19-09-2026)DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 25 33 49 44 +5 LPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (26-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)
7 FC Cincinnati 25 33 50 59 -9 WDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England Revolution (14-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 FC Cincinnati (10-10-2026)
8 Orlando City SC 25 32 50 61 -11 DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)WOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)WOrlando City SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (10-10-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (26-09-2026)
9 New York Red Bulls 25 32 35 47 -12 WNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (14-10-2026)WNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)
10 Columbus Crew 26 31 39 40 -1 WColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)LOrlando City SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (10-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami (27-09-2026)
11 Toronto FC 25 31 38 44 -6 LColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 CF Montreal (10-10-2026)LNashville SC 2 - 0 Toronto FC (27-09-2026)
12 DC United 25 29 33 45 -12 LDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (14-10-2026)LInter Miami 4 - 0 DC United (10-10-2026)
13 New York City FC 25 26 37 37 0 DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)LInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)LChicago Fire 2 - 1 New York City FC (10-10-2026)DAtlanta United FC 2 - 2 New York City FC (26-09-2026)LNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)
14 CF Montreal 26 22 31 51 -20 LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 CF Montreal (10-10-2026)WCF Montreal 3 - 1 FC Cincinnati (26-09-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)
15 Atlanta United FC 25 21 31 45 -14 LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 FC Cincinnati (10-10-2026)DAtlanta United FC 2 - 2 New York City FC (26-09-2026)

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