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Futmetrix Verdict
41
FT
Wed, Oct 21
FC Cincinnati
2-1
DC United
⚡ Intensity 36
⚖️ Balance 47
🏆 Stakes 10
🎲 Upset 0
FC Cincinnati secures a gritty home win.

Win Probability

  • FC Cincinnati 56%
  • Draw 21%
  • DC United 23%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Cincinnati Outlasts DC United in Thrilling Mid-Table Tilt

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 41/100. Cincinnati's clinical finishing in front of their home crowd proved to be the difference-maker in a tightly contested Eastern Conference battle.

Opening Sparks at TQL Stadium

A relentless tempo defined the early moments at TQL Stadium, as both sides looked to seize control of a crucial mid-table clash. FC Cincinnati came out swinging, setting a furious pace that immediately tested the visitors' backline. The early pressure paid off in the 14th minute when David Douděra found a pocket of space and smashed home the opener. This quick breakthrough set the tone for a match with off-the-charts Intensity, turning the field into a track meet. The visitors found themselves scrambling to adjust to the high press as the home crowd roared their approval. DC United refused to fold, absorbing the initial blow and slowly imposing their own will through careful build-up play. A barrage of 28 combined shots across the game meant neither goalkeeper could afford a moment's rest.

The Pendulum Swings

The Balance of power shifted constantly as the first half progressed. Just when the home side looked comfortable, DC United struck back. In the 38th minute, Kimito Nono capitalized on a brilliant sequence orchestrated by João Gabriel Martins Peglow, leveling the scoreline and silencing the roaring crowd. The tie held into the locker room, setting up a tense second act. The midfield battle became a gritty war of attrition as both sides hunted for the definitive breakthrough. The turning point arrived shortly after the restart. In the 55th minute, Evander carved open the defense with a precise delivery, allowing Teenage Hadebe to restore the hosts' advantage. That clinical sequence ultimately dismantled the visitors' momentum and forced them to chase the game once again.

Weathering the Storm

Desperate to salvage a point, DC United edged possession in the final half-hour, pinning Cincinnati deep in their own territory. The visitors mounted intense set-piece pressure, contributing heavily to a staggering 15 corners over the ninety minutes. Despite controlling the ball, their attacks lacked the necessary sniper's touch to break down a resolute defensive block. The Stakes were evident as both teams scrambled for positioning in the tightly packed conference standings. Cincinnati's backline absorbed wave after wave of pressure, sacrificing bodies to protect their slender lead. Ultimately, their resilience in the dying minutes showcased a newfound defensive maturity. When the final whistle blew, the 2-1 victory provided a massive boost for the hosts, lifting them above their opponents and snapping a frustrating run of form.

Key Questions

Who scored the game-winning goal for FC Cincinnati?

Teenage Hadebe scored the decisive goal in the 55th minute, finishing an excellent assist from Evander.

Did DC United dominate the match offensively?

DC United edged possession with 53 percent and forced numerous corners, but struggled with clinical finishing compared to Cincinnati.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
47%
53%
FC Cincinnati 47%
DC United 53%
Shots
15
13
FC Cincinnati 15
DC United 13
Shots on Target
6
4
FC Cincinnati 6
DC United 4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
0.97
FC Cincinnati 1.79
DC United 0.97
Passes
405
445
FC Cincinnati 405
DC United 445
Corners
6
9
FC Cincinnati 6
DC United 9
Fouls
8
13
FC Cincinnati 8
DC United 13
Yellow Cards
2
2
FC Cincinnati 2
DC United 2
Red Cards
0
0
FC Cincinnati 0
DC United 0

Match Events

14' ⚽ David Douděra
Kimito Nono (João Gabriel Martins Peglow) ⚽ 38'
45' 🔄 ↓ Tyrell Malacia ↑Bryan Ramirez
HT
Kimito Nono 🟨 54'
55' ⚽ Teenage Hadebe (Evander)
↓ Jackson Hopkins ↑Nathan Ordaz 🔄 67'
69' 🔄 ↓ David Douděra ↑Alvas Powell
↓ Brandon Servania ↑Matti Peltola 🔄 79'
↓ Silvan Hefti ↑Oscar Avilez 🔄 79'
80' 🔄 ↓ Tom Barlow ↑Ayoub Jabbari
80' 🔄 ↓ Kevin Denkey ↑Samuel Mawuena Gidi
87' 🟨 Nick Hagglund
Tai Baribo 🟨 88'
↓ Kye Rowles ↑Sean Nealis 🔄 90'
90' 🔄 ↓ Evander ↑Kenji Mboma Dem
90'+5 🟨 Ayoub Jabbari
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

FC Cincinnati

Goalkeepers
Roman Celentano
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Kyle Smith
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
55%
Duel Win %
Nick Hagglund
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Teenage Hadebe
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Midfielders
David Douděra
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Pavel Bucha
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Obinna Nwobodo
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
6
Tackles
6
Tackles
11
Duels Won
92%
Win %
Tyrell Malacia
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
46
Total Mins
45
Entry
Evander
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
1
Assists
37%
Pass Acc
Forwards
Tom Barlow
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
Kévin Denkey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
BENCH
Evan Louro
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Alvas Powell
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Bryan Ramírez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
44
Total Mins
Started
Entry
A. Chirila
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gerardo Valenzuela
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Samuel Gidi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brian Anunga
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ayoub Jabbari
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kenji Mboma Dem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

DC United

Goalkeepers
Alex Bono
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Silvan Hefti
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
75%
Duel Win %
Lucas Bartlett
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
47%
Duel Win %
Kye Rowles
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minutes
44%
Pass Acc
6.6
Rating
Keisuke Kurokawa
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
42%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Kimito Nono
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Andre Dozzell
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Brandon Servania
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
João Peglow
MAGNET
MAGNET
76
Activity
76
Activity
61
Passes
15
Duels
Forwards
Tai Baribo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jackson Hopkins
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
67
Total Mins
67
Entry
BENCH
Jordan Farr
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
S. Nealis
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nikola Markovic
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matti Peltola
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Conner Antley
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jared Stroud
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
K. Castillo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nathan Ordaz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
23
Total Mins
Started
Entry
O. Avilez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
10/21/2026 FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/31/2025 FC Cincinnati 1 - 2 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/12/2025 DC United 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
07/03/2024 DC United 2 - 3 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/10/2024 FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
06/24/2023 DC United 3 - 0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
05/06/2023 FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
10/09/2022 DC United 2 - 5 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/05/2022 FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 DC United Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
09/25/2021 DC United 4 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Audi Field
10/21/2026
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/31/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/12/2025
Major League Soccer Audi Field
07/03/2024
Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/10/2024
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
06/24/2023
Major League Soccer Audi Field
05/06/2023
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
10/09/2022
Major League Soccer Audi Field
03/05/2022
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
09/25/2021
Major League Soccer Audi Field
FC Cincinnati Win
DC United Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 20 46 41 14 +27 DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)WNashville SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (23-08-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 1 Inter Miami (16-08-2026)
2 New England Revolution 19 34 33 21 +12 WColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)DNew England Revolution 1 - 1 New York City FC (23-08-2026)WDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 New England Revolution (15-08-2026)DCF Montreal 2 - 2 New England Revolution (01-08-2026)
3 Inter Miami 18 33 49 36 +13 DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)WInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)LInter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto FC (22-08-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 1 Inter Miami (16-08-2026)
4 Charlotte 19 31 36 27 +9 WAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)WCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)WCharlotte 3 - 1 Columbus Crew (15-08-2026)LChicago Fire 2 - 1 Charlotte (02-08-2026)
5 Chicago Fire 18 31 33 27 +6 DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DNew York Red Bulls 1 - 1 Chicago Fire (22-08-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)WChicago Fire 2 - 1 Charlotte (02-08-2026)LNew York City FC 3 - 1 Chicago Fire (25-07-2026)
6 New York City FC 19 24 31 26 +5 DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)DNew England Revolution 1 - 1 New York City FC (23-08-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)LNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)
7 Philadelphia Union 20 23 34 37 -3 WPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 3 - 2 Atlanta United FC (01-08-2026)
8 FC Cincinnati 17 23 37 41 -4 LNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LColumbus Crew 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati (25-07-2026)WFC Cincinnati 6 - 2 Orlando City SC (23-05-2026)
9 New York Red Bulls 20 23 30 43 -13 LNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)DNew York Red Bulls 1 - 1 Chicago Fire (22-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)
10 DC United 17 22 26 29 -3 LCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)LDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)DDC United 2 - 2 Nashville SC (01-08-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 Toronto FC (25-07-2026)
11 Toronto FC 18 21 27 30 -3 DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)WInter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto FC (22-08-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 New England Revolution (15-08-2026)
12 CF Montreal 20 19 26 39 -13 LPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)LInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)DCF Montreal 2 - 2 New England Revolution (01-08-2026)
13 Orlando City SC 17 18 28 43 -15 LOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 0 Nashville SC (25-07-2026)LFC Cincinnati 6 - 2 Orlando City SC (23-05-2026)
14 Columbus Crew 18 16 23 30 -7 LColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)LNashville SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (23-08-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)LCharlotte 3 - 1 Columbus Crew (15-08-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew (01-08-2026)
15 Atlanta United FC 18 16 20 31 -11 DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 3 - 2 Atlanta United FC (01-08-2026)LNew England Revolution 4 - 1 Atlanta United FC (25-07-2026)

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