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Futmetrix Verdict
21
FT
Sun, Oct 18
FC Cincinnati
0-2
Columbus Crew
⚡ Intensity 21
⚖️ Balance 13
🏆 Stakes 4
🎲 Upset 10
A masterclass in smash and grab.

Win Probability

  • FC Cincinnati 40%
  • Draw 24%
  • Columbus Crew 36%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Smash and Grab at TQL Stadium

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 21/100. Columbus Crew delivered a brutal lesson in ruthless efficiency, surviving an offensive barrage to steal three crucial points on the road.

Early Shockwaves

The Intensity was palpable from the very start as FC Cincinnati came out firing, absolutely determined to dictate the tempo on their home turf. They controlled possession early on, immediately putting the visiting defense under immense pressure with a flurry of entries into the final third. However, the narrative flipped completely and unexpectedly in the 22nd minute. Despite the hosts controlling the overall flow of the match, Columbus Crew struck with lethal, surgical precision. A sharp transitional move orchestrated by the brilliant vision of Brais Méndez found Gonzalo Tapia, who coolly slotted the ball home to snatch an unlikely advantage. That opening goal completely disrupted the Balance of the game, forcing the increasingly desperate hosts to push their wingbacks higher up the field and commit even more bodies forward in search of an immediate equalizer.

The Siege and The Sucker Punch

What followed was nothing short of a textbook attacking siege by the home side. FC Cincinnati pinned the visitors incredibly deep inside their own half, unleashing a relentless wave of attacks that ultimately resulted in a staggering 22 shots, compared to a mere three from the away side. Yet, soccer can often be a brutally cruel game. Just as the relentless pressure reached a boiling point early in the second half, the visitors delivered the decisive knockout blow. In the 54th minute, Tapia turned provider on a swift counter-attack, slipping a perfectly weighted pass to Taha Habroune. The dynamic young midfielder made absolutely no mistake, doubling the away side's advantage with a clinical finish. The goal carried a massive Upset factor given the staggering disparity in underlying metrics; Cincinnati generated a robust 2.12 expected goals to Columbus's 0.36, but the scoreboard told a wildly different story.

A Wall in Goal

The final half-hour of the contest was an agonizing exercise in pure frustration for the passionate home faithful. The Stakes were undoubtedly high for two rival teams battling intensely to climb out of the bottom half of the Eastern Conference standings, but Columbus held the ultimate trump card in their exceptional goalkeeper, P. Schulte. He transformed into an absolute wall between the posts, racking up seven crucial saves to preserve the shutout and completely demoralize the tireless Cincinnati attackers. Every cross and long-range effort was calmly neutralized. The referee's final whistle cemented a remarkable, classic smash-and-grab victory for the visitors. Columbus executed their resilient, counter-attacking game plan to absolute perfection, proving beyond a doubt that you do not need the ball to completely command the match.

Key Questions

Who scored the goals for Columbus Crew?

Gonzalo Tapia opened the scoring in the 22nd minute, and Taha Habroune doubled the lead in the 54th minute.

How many saves did P. Schulte make?

Columbus Crew goalkeeper P. Schulte was instrumental, making 7 crucial saves to secure a clean sheet despite facing 22 shots.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
55%
45%
FC Cincinnati 55%
Columbus Crew 45%
Shots
22
3
FC Cincinnati 22
Columbus Crew 3
Shots on Target
7
2
FC Cincinnati 7
Columbus Crew 2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
0.36
FC Cincinnati 2.12
Columbus Crew 0.36
Passes
606
287
FC Cincinnati 606
Columbus Crew 287
Corners
2
2
FC Cincinnati 2
Columbus Crew 2
Fouls
13
16
FC Cincinnati 13
Columbus Crew 16
Yellow Cards
2
2
FC Cincinnati 2
Columbus Crew 2
Red Cards
0
0
FC Cincinnati 0
Columbus Crew 0

Match Events

18' 🔄 ↓ Julian Malatini ↑Nick Hagglund
Gonzalo Tapia (Brais Méndez) ⚽ 22'
31' 🟨 Teenage Hadebe
↓ Brais Méndez ↑Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 🔄 45'
André Gomes 🟨 45'+7
HT
Taha Habroune (Gonzalo Tapia) ⚽ 54'
59' 🔄 ↓ David Douděra ↑Ender Jesús Echenique Peña
59' 🔄 ↓ Tom Barlow ↑Kenji Mboma Dem
↓ Santiago Rodriguez ↑Jamal Thiare 🔄 65'
↓ Steven Moreira ↑Eric Bailly 🔄 66'
↓ Taha Habroune ↑Dylan Chambost 🔄 66'
79' 🔄 ↓ Pavel Bucha ↑Ayoub Jabbari
↓ Gonzalo Tapia ↑Lautaro Giaccone 🔄 79'
79' 🔄 ↓ Nick Hagglund ↑Gerardo Valenzuela
Dylan Chambost 🟨 90'+3
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

FC Cincinnati

Goalkeepers
Roman Celentano
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
90
Minutes
Defenders
Samuel Gidi
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
38%
Duel Win %
Julián Malatini
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
18
Entry
Teenage Hadebe
MAGNET
MAGNET
93
Activity
93
Activity
87
Passes
6
Duels
Midfielders
David Douděra
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
4
Tackles
4
Tackles
4
Duels Won
80%
Win %
Obinna Nwobodo
MAGNET
MAGNET
80
Activity
80
Activity
66
Passes
14
Duels
Pavel Bucha
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Tyrell Malacia
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
34%
Pass Acc
Evander
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
5
Fouls Won
5
Fouls Won
7
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Forwards
Tom Barlow
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
59
Total Mins
59
Entry
Kévin Denkey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Evan Louro
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Nick Hagglund
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Bryan Ramírez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kyle Smith
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gerardo Valenzuela
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brian Anunga
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ender Echenique
DRIBBLER
DRIBBLER
3
Dribbles
3
Dribbles
3
Attempts
100%
Success %
Ayoub Jabbari
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kenji Mboma Dem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Columbus Crew

Goalkeepers
Patrick Schulte
OCTOPUS
OCTOPUS
7
Saves
7
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
Defenders
Steven Moreira
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
66
Total Mins
66
Entry
Sean Zawadzki
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Malte Amundsen
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
60%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Marcelo Herrera
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Taha Habroune
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
André Gomes
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brooks Lennon
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Brais Méndez
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.3
Rating
Gonzalo Tapia
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Santiago Rodríguez
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls Won
9
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
BENCH
Nicholas Hagen
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Eric Bailly
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
24
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mohamed Farsi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sékou Bangoura
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
44
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Dylan Chambost
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
24
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lautaro Giaccone
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Amar Sejdić
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Josef Martínez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jamal Thiaré
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
07/25/2026 Columbus Crew 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
11/08/2025 FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
11/02/2025 Columbus Crew 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
10/27/2025 FC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
07/12/2025 FC Cincinnati 2 - 4 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/17/2025 Columbus Crew 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
09/14/2024 FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/11/2024 Columbus Crew 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
12/02/2023 FC Cincinnati 2 - 3 (AET) Columbus Crew Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
08/20/2023 Columbus Crew 3 - 0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
07/25/2026
Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
11/08/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
11/02/2025
Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
10/27/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
07/12/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/17/2025
Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
09/14/2024
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/11/2024
Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
12/02/2023
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
08/20/2023
Major League Soccer Lower.com Field
FC Cincinnati Win
Columbus Crew Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 24 53 49 18 +31 WNashville SC 2 - 0 Toronto FC (27-09-2026)WNashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire (20-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)
2 New England Revolution 24 49 45 27 +18 WNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England Revolution (14-10-2026)WNew England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (19-09-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)WNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)
3 Inter Miami 24 44 62 42 +20 WAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)WInter Miami 4 - 0 DC United (10-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami (27-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)
4 Charlotte 25 39 46 38 +8 DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)LCharlotte 0 - 1 Chicago Fire (26-09-2026)WDC United 1 - 2 Charlotte (19-09-2026)DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)
5 Chicago Fire 25 38 39 38 +1 LNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)LChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)WChicago Fire 2 - 1 New York City FC (10-10-2026)WCharlotte 0 - 1 Chicago Fire (26-09-2026)LNashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire (20-09-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 24 33 48 42 +6 DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (26-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)
7 Toronto FC 24 31 36 40 -4 WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 CF Montreal (10-10-2026)LNashville SC 2 - 0 Toronto FC (27-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)
8 Orlando City SC 24 31 48 59 -11 WOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)WOrlando City SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (10-10-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (26-09-2026)LNew England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (19-09-2026)
9 DC United 23 29 32 41 -9 LOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (14-10-2026)LInter Miami 4 - 0 DC United (10-10-2026)LDC United 1 - 2 Charlotte (19-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)
10 New York Red Bulls 24 29 33 47 -14 LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (14-10-2026)WNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)
11 Columbus Crew 25 28 35 38 -3 WFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)LOrlando City SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (10-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami (27-09-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)
12 FC Cincinnati 23 27 46 58 -12 LFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England Revolution (14-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 FC Cincinnati (10-10-2026)LCF Montreal 3 - 1 FC Cincinnati (26-09-2026)DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)
13 New York City FC 24 25 35 35 0 LInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)LChicago Fire 2 - 1 New York City FC (10-10-2026)DAtlanta United FC 2 - 2 New York City FC (26-09-2026)LNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)LNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)
14 CF Montreal 25 22 31 49 -18 LCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 CF Montreal (10-10-2026)WCF Montreal 3 - 1 FC Cincinnati (26-09-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)LCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)
15 Atlanta United FC 24 21 29 42 -13 LAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 FC Cincinnati (10-10-2026)DAtlanta United FC 2 - 2 New York City FC (26-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)

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