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Futmetrix Verdict
71
FT
Sun, Feb 22
Orlando City SC
1-2
New York Red Bulls
⚡ Intensity 65
⚖️ Balance 31
🏆 Stakes 44
🎲 Upset 60
Hall's early brace stuns Orlando.

Win Probability

  • Orlando City SC 52%
  • Draw 25%
  • New York Red Bulls 24%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Hall’s First-Half Masterclass Gives Red Bulls the Edge in Orlando

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 71/100. Our verdict: A relentless attacking display from New York secures a vital first-leg road victory, though a late Orlando response leaves this knockout tie wide open.

The Opening Whistle

The Stakes were palpable at Inter&Co Stadium as this highly anticipated first-leg clash got underway. New York Red Bulls wasted zero time silencing the home crowd, turning up the Intensity from the opening whistle. Just eight minutes in, J. Hall found daylight and fired the visitors into a stunning early lead. Orlando struggled to contain the blistering transitional speed of the Red Bulls, who consistently bypassed the midfield lines to create high-quality chances. The field tilted heavily toward the home goal, forcing the hosts into desperate defensive actions as New York unleashed a barrage of attempts, testing the backline with relentless high pressing. The visitors turned the pitch into a shooting gallery, eventually racking up 22 total shots and leaving the home defense completely fractured.

The Goalkeeping Siege

The defining narrative of the first half became a personal duel between the New York attack and Maxime Crépeau. Defying an Upset narrative that gave the visitors a massive probability gap, the Red Bulls kept pouring forward with lethal intent. A. Mehmeti operated as the chief architect, threading a perfect pass in the 40th minute that allowed Hall to seal his spectacular brace. Despite the two-goal deficit, Crépeau was putting on an absolute clinic between the pipes. Facing an astronomical 4.64 expected goals and 13 shots on target over the course of the match, the Orlando City SC shot-stopper produced 11 staggering saves. He single-handedly kept his squad from suffering a total blowout, ensuring the visitors could not put the entire tie out of reach before halftime.

The Late Lifeline

The second half saw a slight shift in the Balance of play as the Red Bulls managed their lead. Emil Forsberg pulled the strings in the midfield, helping New York edge possession at 52 percent while slowing the tempo. Orlando looked devoid of answers until the dying moments of the game. In the 90th minute, substitute Tiago capitalized on a rare defensive lapse to strike a crucial lifeline for the hosts. That dramatic late finish changes the complexion of the series entirely. The Red Bulls head back north with a 2-1 aggregate lead, knowing they survived a late scare. However, Tiago's heroics ensure Orlando travels to New York this coming August with genuine belief that this battle is far from over.

Key Questions

What made Maxime Crépeau the Man of the Match?

Facing a staggering 22 total shots, Crépeau produced 11 massive saves to prevent a blowout and keep Orlando alive in this crucial two-legged tie.

How did substitute Maxime Crépeau change the game?

Though starting the match, Crépeau’s 11 crucial interventions acted as a game-changing equalizer, single-handedly sustaining Orlando's hopes for the decisive second leg.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
48%
52%
Orlando City SC 48%
New York Red Bulls 52%
Shots
17
22
Orlando City SC 17
New York Red Bulls 22
Shots on Target
6
13
Orlando City SC 6
New York Red Bulls 13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
4.64
Orlando City SC 2.41
New York Red Bulls 4.64
Passes
387
432
Orlando City SC 387
New York Red Bulls 432
Pass Accuracy
79%
83%
Orlando City SC 79%
New York Red Bulls 83%
Corners
5
9
Orlando City SC 5
New York Red Bulls 9
Fouls
7
15
Orlando City SC 7
New York Red Bulls 15
Yellow Cards
1
2
Orlando City SC 1
New York Red Bulls 2
Red Cards
0
0
Orlando City SC 0
New York Red Bulls 0

Match Events

J. Hall 8'
14' 🔄 W. Cartagena C. Guske
J. Hall (A. Mehmeti) 40'
45'+2 🟨 Tyrese Spicer
HT
46' 🔄 M. Pasalic I. Angulo
46' 🔄 Iago Teodoro N. Miller
Justin Che 🟨 49'
Adri Mehmeti 🟨 63'
M. Dos Santos O. Valencia 🔄 65'
J. Marshall-Rutty J. Mina 🔄 65'
J. Ruvalcaba E. M. Choupo-Moting 🔄 76'
A. Mehmeti G. Berggren 🔄 76'
76' 🔄 T. Spicer Tiago
86' 🔄 G. Dorsey Z. Taifi
J. Hall T. Rosborough 🔄 87'
90' Tiago
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Orlando City SC

Goalkeepers
Maxime Crépeau
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Griffin Dorsey
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
55%
Duel Win %
David Brekalo
SHIELD
SHIELD
3
Blocks
3
Blocks
0
Interceptions
3
Tackles
Iago
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Adrián Marín
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
28%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Braian Ojeda
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Wilder Cartagena
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
14
Entry
Marco Pašalić
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Martín Ojeda
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls Won
6
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Tyrese Spicer
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
14
Late Mins
14
Late Mins
76
Total Mins
76
Entry
Forwards
Duncan McGuire
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Javier Otero
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Tahir Reid-Brown
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
N. Miller
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Iván Angulo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zakaria Taifi
SUPER SUB
SUPER SUB
1
Assist
1
Assist
11
Minutes
7.3
Rating
Colin Guske
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
76
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Yutaro Tsukada
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Justin Ellis
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tiago Souza
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.5
Rating

New York Red Bulls

Goalkeepers
Ethan Horvath
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Justin Che
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
6
Cleanups
6
Cleanups
2
Interceptions
4
Blocks
D. Nealis
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
80%
Duel Win %
M. Dos Santos
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
26%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Ronald Donkor
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
43%
Pass Acc
Anis Mehmeti
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
2
Key Passes
8.2
Rating
Emil Forsberg
CAPTAIN FANTASTIC
CAPTAIN FANTASTIC
0
Contribution
0
Contribution
7.7
Rating
Yes
Captain
Forwards
Cade Cowell
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
5
Key Passes
5
Key Passes
0
Assists
24%
Pass Acc
Julian Hall
HITMAN
HITMAN
2
Goals
2
Goals
3
On Target
7.5
Rating
Jorge Ruvalcaba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
14
Late Mins
14
Late Mins
75
Total Mins
76
Entry
BENCH
John McCarthy
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Robert Voloder
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Omar Valencia
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Tanner Rosborough
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gustav Berggren
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Rafael Mosquera
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Andy Rojas
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
15
Total Mins
Started
Entry
J. Mina
👻 Invisible Nothing to note

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
02/22/2026 Orlando City SC 1 - 2 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
04/12/2025 Orlando City SC 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
03/15/2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - 2 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Sports Illustrated Stadium
12/01/2024 Orlando City SC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
06/01/2024 New York Red Bulls 1 - 0 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
03/30/2024 Orlando City SC 1 - 1 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
06/03/2023 New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
02/26/2023 Orlando City SC 1 - 0 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
08/13/2022 New York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
07/27/2022 Orlando City SC 5 - 1 New York Red Bulls US Open Cup Exploria Stadium
02/22/2026
Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
04/12/2025
Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
03/15/2025
Major League Soccer Sports Illustrated Stadium
12/01/2024
Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
06/01/2024
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
03/30/2024
Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
06/03/2023
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
02/26/2023
Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
08/13/2022
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
07/27/2022
US Open Cup Exploria Stadium
Orlando City SC Win
New York Red Bulls Win
Draw

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