Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
31
FT
Sat, Feb 21
FC Cincinnati
2-0
Atlanta United FC
⚡ Intensity 24
⚖️ Balance 13
🏆 Stakes 44
🎲 Upset 0
Late goals shatter Atlanta's defensive wall.

Win Probability

  • FC Cincinnati 50%
  • Draw 25%
  • Atlanta United FC 25%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Late Fireworks Put Cincinnati in the Driver's Seat

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 31/100. A patient, bruising first leg at TQL Stadium finally cracked open in the dying minutes, giving the hosts a massive advantage to protect down South.

A Chess Match in the Queen City

The Intensity of the first half set the tone for a gritty, uncompromising playoff battle. Both teams felt each other out with heavy challenges early on. FC Cincinnati edged possession, methodically prodding an organized Atlanta United FC defense. The midfield turned into an absolute battlefield. The visitors clogged the middle of the field, perfectly happy to disrupt the rhythm with cynical, tactical fouls. At the back, Teenage Hadebe anchored the defensive line flawlessly for the hosts, ensuring Atlanta's rare counter-attacks amounted to nothing more than harmless, hopeful long balls. The Balance of play leaned toward the home side, but clear chances remained completely elusive. It was a tense, scoreless deadlock that asked who would blink first under the massive Stakes of knockout soccer.

Denkey Breaks the Dam

The second half desperately demanded a hero. Atlanta dug their cleats into the turf, parking the bus and hoping to escape Ohio with a hard-fought clean sheet. Their suffocating low block frustrated the home crowd, generating a nervous energy around the stadium. Then, the 80th minute flipped the entire script. K. Denkey found a fleeting sliver of daylight inside the penalty area and buried the crucial go-ahead goal. That single, clinical strike shattered the visitors' stubborn defensive resolve. The pressure had been mounting for an hour, and the dam finally broke. Atlanta was instantly forced to abandon their conservative shell and open up the game. That sudden shift in mentality proved entirely fatal, as the Upset Factor vanished into the night sky.

Hagglund's Stoppage-Time Dagger

Just when a narrow one-goal deficit looked somewhat manageable for the visitors, the roof completely caved in. Cincinnati smelled blood in the water and ruthlessly exploited the newly vacated spaces on the field. In the 90th minute, Bryan Ramirez delivered a pinpoint ball that picked out Nick Hagglund. The veteran defender powered it home with absolute authority, doubling the lead and completely altering the complexion of this two-leg tie. This commanding 2-0 victory at TQL Stadium puts Cincinnati firmly in the driver's seat. Atlanta now faces a monumental mountain to climb in the return leg on October 10th. They leave town completely empty-handed and with battered morale, needing nothing short of a miracle in the second leg.

Key Questions

What made Nick Hagglund the Man of the Match?

He anchored the defense for a crucial clean sheet and delivered the crushing 90th-minute dagger, giving Cincinnati massive breathing room for the second leg.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
54%
46%
FC Cincinnati 54%
Atlanta United FC 46%
Shots
10
8
FC Cincinnati 10
Atlanta United FC 8
Shots on Target
3
3
FC Cincinnati 3
Atlanta United FC 3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
0.33
FC Cincinnati 2.25
Atlanta United FC 0.33
Passes
398
351
FC Cincinnati 398
Atlanta United FC 351
Pass Accuracy
81%
77%
FC Cincinnati 81%
Atlanta United FC 77%
Corners
5
2
FC Cincinnati 5
Atlanta United FC 2
Fouls
10
18
FC Cincinnati 10
Atlanta United FC 18
Yellow Cards
1
2
FC Cincinnati 1
Atlanta United FC 2
Red Cards
0
0
FC Cincinnati 0
Atlanta United FC 0

Match Events

13' 🔄 Evander G. Valenzuela
26' 🟨 Bryan Ramirez
HT
Tomás Jacob 🟨 51'
Steven Alzate 🟨 61'
71' 🔄 A. Jabbari T. Barlow
71' 🔄 T. Hadebe G. Flores
S. Lobjanidze A. Miranchuk 🔄 73'
C. Sanchez T. Muyumba 🔄 73'
80' K. Denkey
S. Alzate L. Brennan 🔄 84'
89' 🔄 FC Cincinnati O. Nwobodo
89' 🔄 E. Echenique A. Powell
90' N. Hagglund (B. J. Ramirez Leon)
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

FC Cincinnati

Goalkeepers
Roman Celentano
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
98
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Nick Hagglund
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
8.7
Rating
Miles Robinson
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Teenage Hadebe
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
71
Total Mins
71
Entry
Midfielders
Ender Echenique
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.6
Rating
Pavel Bucha
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
98
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Evander
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
13
Entry
Samuel Gidi
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls Won
7
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Bryan Ramírez
DRIBBLER
DRIBBLER
5
Dribbles
5
Dribbles
5
Attempts
100%
Success %
Forwards
Ayoub Jabbari
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
6
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Kévin Denkey
CLOSER
CLOSER
1
Late Goals
1
Late Goals
0
Late Assists
75
Minute
BENCH
Evan Louro
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Alvas Powell
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
9
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kyle Smith
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gilberto Flores
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Obinna Nwobodo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
9
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brian Anunga
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gerardo Valenzuela
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
18%
Pass Acc
Tom Barlow
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kenji Mboma Dem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Atlanta United FC

Goalkeepers
Lucas Hoyos
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
98
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Ronald Hernández
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
28%
Pass Acc
Enea Mihaj
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
46%
Duel Win %
Juan Berrocal
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
98
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Elías Báez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
98
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Cooper Sanchez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
Tomás Jacob
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
4
Tackles
4
Tackles
10
Duels Won
83%
Win %
Steven Alzate
DRIBBLER
DRIBBLER
4
Dribbles
4
Dribbles
4
Attempts
100%
Success %
Saba Lobzhanidze
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Forwards
Miguel Almirón
MAGNET
MAGNET
55
Activity
55
Activity
44
Passes
11
Duels
Emmanuel Latte Lath
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
98
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Jayden Hibbert
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Stian Gregersen
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matthew Edwards
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
T. B. Majub
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luke Brennan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tristan Muyumba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Aleksey Miranchuk
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Adrian Gill
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cayman Togashi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
05/25/2025 Atlanta United FC 4 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
03/22/2025 FC Cincinnati 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
02/12/2025 Atlanta United FC 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati Friendlies Clubs IMG Academy
05/15/2024 FC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/20/2024 Atlanta United FC 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
10/22/2023 FC Cincinnati 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
08/30/2023 Atlanta United FC 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
08/13/2022 FC Cincinnati 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/16/2022 Atlanta United FC 0 - 0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
05/25/2025
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
03/22/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
02/12/2025
Friendlies Clubs IMG Academy
05/15/2024
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/20/2024
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
10/22/2023
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
08/30/2023
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
08/13/2022
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/16/2022
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati Win
Atlanta United FC Win
Draw

League Standings

Find your next match faster.

Honest match ratings. Find what is worth watching—without the clutter.

Bookmark this page

This page updates as new matches arrive.

Keep these picks handy.

Press Ctrl+D, then confirm in your browser.

Viewed labels stay on this device. We don't receive your reading history.

Keep Futmetrix handy

Honest match ratings. Find what is worth watching—without the clutter.