Philadelphia Union vs NS Toronto FC

Talen Energy Stadium

Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
40
Philadelphia Union
vs
Toronto FC
Sat, Nov 7 • 21:00
⚡ Form 66
⚖️ Balance 68
🏆 Stakes 10
⭐ Stars 64
The table gap tells the story

Win Probability

  • Philadelphia Union 65%
  • Draw 19%
  • Toronto FC 16%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Sixth against twelfth: Philadelphia Union carry more to protect against Toronto FC

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 40/100. Philadelphia’s sixth place puts more weight on this closing round, while Toronto arrive with the chance to spoil the hosts’ finish.

The Setup

With 33 matches played, Philadelphia sit sixth on 47 points and Toronto 12th on 39. Eight points separate them. The Form picture is uneven: Philadelphia have one win in five, Toronto two. Still, the Union have scored 62 goals and conceded 51; Toronto have allowed 63. That defensive gap gives the hosts a more convincing platform, while Toronto’s 12 draws suggest they can make the contest stubborn. At Subaru Park, Philadelphia should take the initiative, but a patient start may be needed.

Key Battle

The sharpest duel is B. Damiani against J. Sargent. Damiani has offered a direct goal threat and the final pass in recent weeks; Philadelphia need to find him close enough to hurt Toronto’s back line. Sargent is the visitors’ clearest attacking outlet, especially if a Union turnover opens space to run into. If the home midfield cuts off that first pass, Toronto may struggle to turn breaks into pressure.

Our Prediction

Philadelphia Union are our pick to win 2-0. Expect the home side to push the game into Toronto’s half and generate chances through sustained pressure, while Toronto look for quick transitions through Sargent. Their back line has conceded more across the season, and Philadelphia have enough attacking output to exploit that weakness. The visitors can keep spells tight, but the Union have the stronger route to a controlled finish.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

For a neutral, probably skip it: this is a low-drama league game. Watch if you follow Philadelphia or want to see whether Toronto can spoil the home side’s finish.

What’s the predicted outcome?

Philadelphia Union to win 2-0, with home pressure creating the clearer chances and Toronto relying on breaks that Philadelphia can contain.

Where are Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC in the league table?

Philadelphia Union sit sixth with 47 points; Toronto FC are 12th with 39, after 33 matches each.

What is Philadelphia Union’s current form?

Philadelphia have one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

B. Damiani: 3 goals and 1 assist in 4 matches, averaging a 7.7 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/09/2025 Philadelphia Union 1 - 1 Toronto FC Major League Soccer Subaru Park
05/28/2025 Toronto FC 1 - 2 Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer BMO Field
07/13/2024 Toronto FC 2 - 1 Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer BMO Field
05/29/2024 Philadelphia Union 0 - 0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer Subaru Park
08/30/2023 Toronto FC 3 - 1 Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer BMO Field
04/22/2023 Philadelphia Union 4 - 2 Toronto FC Major League Soccer Subaru Park
10/09/2022 Philadelphia Union 4 - 0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer Subaru Park
04/16/2022 Toronto FC 2 - 1 Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer BMO Field
10/27/2021 Toronto FC 2 - 2 Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer BMO Field
08/04/2021 Philadelphia Union 3 - 0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer Subaru Park
08/09/2025
Major League Soccer Subaru Park
05/28/2025
Major League Soccer BMO Field
07/13/2024
Major League Soccer BMO Field
05/29/2024
Major League Soccer Subaru Park
08/30/2023
Major League Soccer BMO Field
04/22/2023
Major League Soccer Subaru Park
10/09/2022
Major League Soccer Subaru Park
04/16/2022
Major League Soccer BMO Field
10/27/2021
Major League Soccer BMO Field
08/04/2021
Major League Soccer Subaru Park
Philadelphia Union Win
Toronto FC Win
Draw

Season Statistics

6
League Position
12
47
Points
39
62
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
63

Eastern Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 33 74 69 25 +44 WNashville SC 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (01-11-2026)DNashville SC 0 - 0 Philadelphia Union (29-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC (18-10-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (15-10-2026)
2 Inter Miami 33 59 77 56 +21 WNew England Revolution 1 - 2 Inter Miami (02-11-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (28-10-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)
3 New England Revolution 33 58 55 46 +9 LNew England Revolution 1 - 2 Inter Miami (02-11-2026)WNew England Revolution 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (28-10-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)WNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England Revolution (14-10-2026)
4 Chicago Fire 33 55 61 50 +11 WColorado Rapids 2 - 4 Chicago Fire (01-11-2026)DChicago Fire 2 - 2 Orlando City SC (29-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)LChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)
5 Charlotte 33 53 63 48 +15 WCharlotte 4 - 0 Orlando City SC (31-10-2026)WCharlotte 4 - 0 CF Montreal (28-10-2026)LPortland Timbers 3 - 2 Charlotte (25-10-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 33 47 62 51 +11 LFC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (31-10-2026)DNashville SC 0 - 0 Philadelphia Union (29-10-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)
7 FC Cincinnati 33 46 67 73 -6 WFC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (31-10-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (28-10-2026)WDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)
8 Columbus Crew 33 44 55 49 +6 WColumbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United (31-10-2026)WFC Dallas 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (29-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)
9 Orlando City SC 33 43 62 78 -16 LCharlotte 4 - 0 Orlando City SC (31-10-2026)DChicago Fire 2 - 2 Orlando City SC (29-10-2026)DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)WOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)
10 New York Red Bulls 33 39 45 62 -17 LNashville SC 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (01-11-2026)LNew England Revolution 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (28-10-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (14-10-2026)
11 New York City FC 33 39 48 45 +3 DNew York City FC 1 - 1 CF Montreal (31-10-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC (28-10-2026)DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC (17-10-2026)LInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)
12 Toronto FC 33 39 51 63 -12 LAtlanta United FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC (01-11-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 DC United (28-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)
13 Atlanta United FC 33 33 43 57 -14 WAtlanta United FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC (01-11-2026)LNew York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC (28-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)
14 DC United 33 33 39 60 -21 LColumbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United (31-10-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 DC United (28-10-2026)LDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)
15 CF Montreal 33 26 37 67 -30 DNew York City FC 1 - 1 CF Montreal (31-10-2026)LCharlotte 4 - 0 CF Montreal (28-10-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)DSeattle Sounders 1 - 1 CF Montreal (18-10-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)

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