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Futmetrix Verdict
39
FT
Wed, Aug 19
New York Red Bulls
0-1
Nashville SC
⚡ Intensity 27
⚖️ Balance 20
🏆 Stakes 67
🎲 Upset 0
Woledzi snatches it at the death.

Win Probability

  • New York Red Bulls 33%
  • Draw 25%
  • Nashville SC 42%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Late Heartbreak at Sports Illustrated Stadium

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 39/100. Nashville SC showcased the ruthless edge of a first-place team, stealing a dramatic road victory in stoppage time despite New York's statistical dominance.

Early Deadlock

The Stakes were remarkably high under the lights at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The New York Red Bulls stepped onto the field absolutely desperate to shake off a brutal stretch of losing form and prove they could compete with the elite. They edged possession in the opening phases, utilizing a carefully calculated tempo to disrupt the visiting league leaders. Adri Mehmeti dictated the rhythm effortlessly from the central midfield, spraying long passes to the flanks and helping the hosts build sustained offensive pressure. Despite a staggering twelve total corners reflecting massive set-piece tension in the box, the final finishing touch remained entirely elusive for the home side during the tense first half.

The Grinding Stalemate

As the game stretched into a highly contested second half, an unrelenting Intensity rating defined the chaotic midfield battle. Ronald Donkor emerged as an absolute revelation for the home side, dominating physical duels and repeatedly setting up dangerous offensive sequences in the final third. New York amassed an impressive 1.62 expected goals on a barrage of thirteen shots, effectively turning the visitor's penalty area into a relentless shooting gallery. Yet, Nashville SC absorbed the heavy punishment without breaking. The visitors firmly refused to buckle under the weight of the attacks, showcasing the disciplined defensive resilience that has anchored their undisputed spot at the very top of the league table this season.

A Stoppage-Time Stunner

The fragile, grinding Balance of the match finally shattered in the dramatic dying embers of the contest. Just as the Red Bulls looked completely poised to secure a hard-fought and heavily deserved point, Nashville struck a fatal, lightning-fast counter-punch. In the 90th minute, C. Espinoza brilliantly threaded a flawless, defense-splitting ball directly into the striding path of M. Woledzi. The ensuing finish was utterly clinical, immediately silencing the anxious home crowd and viciously snatching all three points. It was a classic smash-and-grab road victory, firmly cementing Nashville's dominant status as prime title contenders while plunging New York even further down into the frustrating depths of the league standings.

Key Questions

How dramatic was the late winner by Ronald Donkor?

While Ronald Donkor was New York's standout performer, it was actually Nashville's M. Woledzi who provided the ultimate drama with a crushing 90th-minute winner.

What does this mean for New York Red Bulls's season?

Stuck in eighth place with worsening form, they urgently need to translate their expected goals and possession into actual points to salvage their campaign.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
52%
48%
New York Red Bulls 52%
Nashville SC 48%
Shots
13
7
New York Red Bulls 13
Nashville SC 7
Shots on Target
1
2
New York Red Bulls 1
Nashville SC 2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
0.77
New York Red Bulls 1.62
Nashville SC 0.77
Passes
385
348
New York Red Bulls 385
Nashville SC 348
Pass Accuracy
83%
82%
New York Red Bulls 83%
Nashville SC 82%
Corners
5
7
New York Red Bulls 5
Nashville SC 7
Fouls
3
11
New York Red Bulls 3
Nashville SC 11
Yellow Cards
0
2
New York Red Bulls 0
Nashville SC 2
Red Cards
0
0
New York Red Bulls 0
Nashville SC 0

Match Events

D. Lovitz 🟨 12'
HT
M. Corcoran 🟨 58'
61' 🔄 E. Forsberg M. Sofo
61' 🔄 C. Cowell M. Jimenez
D. Lovitz A. Najar 🔄 62'
S. Mohammed C. Espinoza 🔄 62'
E. Saad A. Qasem 🔄 70'
M. Corcoran P. Yazbek 🔄 70'
80' 🔄 D. Nealis J. Marshall-Rutty
R. Baker-Whiting J. Bauer 🔄 86'
88' 🔄 J. Che T. Parker
90'+2 🟨 J. Bazan
M. Woledzi (C. Espinoza) 90'+2
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

New York Red Bulls

Goalkeepers
Ethan Horvath
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Dylan Nealis
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
80
Entry
Justin Che
NPC
NPC
78
Minutes
78
Minutes
40%
Pass Acc
6.9
Rating
Julian Bazan
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Matthew Dos Santos
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
38%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Ronald Donkor
DRIBBLER
DRIBBLER
4
Dribbles
4
Dribbles
4
Attempts
100%
Success %
Anis Mehmeti
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Emil Forsberg
GHOST
GHOST
13
Actions
13
Actions
61
Minutes
7.2
Rating
Forwards
Cade Cowell
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
61
Total Mins
61
Entry
Julian Hall
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jorge Ruvalcaba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
John McCarthy
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Omar Valencia
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tim Parker
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nehuen Benedetti
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cameron Harper
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mohammed Sofo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mijahir Jimenez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Nashville SC

Goalkeepers
Brian Schwake
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Reed Baker-Whiting
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jack Maher
SHIELD
SHIELD
3
Blocks
3
Blocks
2
Interceptions
1
Tackles
Maxwell Woledzi
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7
Rating
Daniel Lovitz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
61
Total Mins
62
Entry
Midfielders
Matthew Corcoran
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Edvard Tagseth
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
6
Cleanups
6
Cleanups
5
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Shakur Mohammed
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
62
Total Mins
62
Entry
Hany Mukhtar
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Elias Saad
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
70
Total Mins
70
Entry
Forwards
Sam Surridge
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
78
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Joe Willis
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Josh Bauer
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Andy Najar
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jeisson Palacios
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alex Muyl
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bryan Acosta
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Patrick Yazbek
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
8
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ahmed Qasem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
8
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cristian Espinoza
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
16
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
05/15/2025 Nashville SC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Geodis Park
03/02/2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
06/15/2024 New York Red Bulls 0 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
02/24/2024 Nashville SC 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
10/22/2023 Nashville SC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
03/05/2023 New York Red Bulls 0 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
01/21/2023 New York Red Bulls 1 - 0 Nashville SC Friendlies Clubs
01/21/2023 Nashville SC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls Friendlies Clubs IMG Soccer Stadium
11/07/2021 Nashville SC 1 - 1 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Nissan Stadium
06/19/2021 New York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
05/15/2025
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
03/02/2025
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
06/15/2024
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
02/24/2024
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
10/22/2023
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
03/05/2023
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
01/21/2023
Friendlies Clubs
01/21/2023
Friendlies Clubs IMG Soccer Stadium
11/07/2021
Major League Soccer Nissan Stadium
06/19/2021
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
New York Red Bulls Win
Nashville SC Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 17 39 34 12 +22 WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 1 Inter Miami (16-08-2026)DDC United 2 - 2 Nashville SC (01-08-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 0 Nashville SC (25-07-2026)WNashville SC 1 - 0 CF Montreal (23-07-2026)
2 New England Revolution 17 30 29 19 +10 WDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 New England Revolution (15-08-2026)DCF Montreal 2 - 2 New England Revolution (01-08-2026)WNew England Revolution 4 - 1 Atlanta United FC (25-07-2026)DNew England Revolution 0 - 0 Toronto FC (22-07-2026)
3 Inter Miami 15 29 39 31 +8 DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 1 Inter Miami (16-08-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew (01-08-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 1 Inter Miami (25-07-2026)WInter Miami 3 - 2 Chicago Fire (22-07-2026)
4 Chicago Fire 16 29 28 22 +6 WOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)WChicago Fire 2 - 1 Charlotte (02-08-2026)LNew York City FC 3 - 1 Chicago Fire (25-07-2026)LInter Miami 3 - 2 Chicago Fire (22-07-2026)WChicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto FC (24-05-2026)
5 Charlotte 17 25 31 26 +5 DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)WCharlotte 3 - 1 Columbus Crew (15-08-2026)LChicago Fire 2 - 1 Charlotte (02-08-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Charlotte (25-07-2026)DCharlotte 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (23-07-2026)
6 FC Cincinnati 16 23 37 37 0 WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LColumbus Crew 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati (25-07-2026)WFC Cincinnati 6 - 2 Orlando City SC (23-05-2026)LFC Cincinnati 3 - 5 Inter Miami (13-05-2026)
7 DC United 16 22 25 26 -1 LDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)DDC United 2 - 2 Nashville SC (01-08-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 Toronto FC (25-07-2026)DDC United 4 - 4 CF Montreal (23-05-2026)
8 New York Red Bulls 18 22 28 39 -11 LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Charlotte (25-07-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 3 - 1 New York Red Bulls (22-07-2026)
9 New York City FC 16 21 29 24 +5 LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)LNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 Toronto FC (31-07-2026)WNew York City FC 3 - 1 Chicago Fire (25-07-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 2 New York City FC (22-07-2026)
10 CF Montreal 18 19 25 30 -5 WColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)DCF Montreal 2 - 2 New England Revolution (01-08-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 1 Inter Miami (25-07-2026)LNashville SC 1 - 0 CF Montreal (23-07-2026)
11 Orlando City SC 17 18 28 43 -15 LOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 0 Nashville SC (25-07-2026)LFC Cincinnati 6 - 2 Orlando City SC (23-05-2026)
12 Philadelphia Union 18 17 29 36 -7 DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 3 - 2 Atlanta United FC (01-08-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 3 - 1 New York Red Bulls (22-07-2026)LInter Miami 6 - 4 Philadelphia Union (24-05-2026)
13 Toronto FC 15 16 20 24 -4 DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 New England Revolution (15-08-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 Toronto FC (31-07-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 Toronto FC (25-07-2026)DNew England Revolution 0 - 0 Toronto FC (22-07-2026)
14 Columbus Crew 16 16 20 24 -4 LColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)LCharlotte 3 - 1 Columbus Crew (15-08-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew (01-08-2026)WColumbus Crew 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati (25-07-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 2 New York City FC (22-07-2026)
15 Atlanta United FC 16 15 18 27 -9 WAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 3 - 2 Atlanta United FC (01-08-2026)LNew England Revolution 4 - 1 Atlanta United FC (25-07-2026)DCharlotte 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (23-07-2026)LNashville SC 1 - 0 Atlanta United FC (18-07-2026)

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