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Futmetrix Verdict
33
FT
Wed, Aug 19
Orlando City SC
1-2
Chicago Fire
⚡ Intensity 27
⚖️ Balance 12
🏆 Stakes 44
🎲 Upset 0
Efficient Chicago stun wasteful Orlando City

Win Probability

  • Orlando City SC 34%
  • Draw 24%
  • Chicago Fire 42%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Chicago Fire Defy the Shot Count in Gritty Road Victory

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 33/100. The visitors' clinical edge proved decisive, exposing a home side that commanded the ball but entirely lacked the required cutting edge to protect their territory.

Early Pressure at Exploria

A barrage of sixteen shots turned the Exploria Stadium into a testing ground for defensive resilience, yet Orlando City SC found themselves deeply frustrated by their own offensive bluntness. The hosts controlled possession at a steady 57 percent, pinning the Chicago Fire deep into their own half from the outset. The Intensity of the home side's early pressing was evident as they racked up an expected goals tally of 1.77, dictating the tempo and constantly probing for a breakthrough. They swung in thirteen crosses and engineered nearly ninety dangerous attacks, working the ball around the perimeter with clear intent. However, despite their obvious territorial advantage and endless waves of pressure, breaking down a highly organized defensive block proved to be an entirely insurmountable challenge.

The Ruthless Counter-Punch

In a brilliant exhibition of away-day efficiency, the visitors shifted the tactical Balance of the match through ruthless and precise transition play. While the hosts continuously misfired, Chicago made absolute certainty of their limited opportunities. Registering a mere seven total attempts over ninety minutes compared to the hosts' barrage, the away side operated with a cold, calculated mindset. Every foray forward carried lethal intent, culminating in a smash-and-grab approach that completely disrupted the home team's rhythm. The visitors were perfectly content to soak up mounting pressure, utilizing four crucial saves to stay alive before striking exactly when it mattered most. They expertly exploited the inevitable gaps left by an over-committed home midfield, punishing defensive lapses with clinical precision.

Holding Firm for the Points

This compelling result heavily impacts the competitive Stakes for both clubs in the Eastern Conference landscape as the regular season grinds on. The away side's clinical 2-1 victory not only silences their doubters but solidifies their firm grip on fourth place, continuing a genuinely impressive run of form that signals their postseason ambitions. Conversely, the hosts remain stranded down in eleventh position, their early-season struggles now violently compounded by another deeply frustrating night under the lights. It is a bitter pill to swallow when undeniable statistical superiority fails to yield a single point. Serious managerial questions will inevitably linger over how a team can dominate the flow of play and still walk away completely empty-handed.

Key Questions

What was the final result of the match?

The visitors secured a gritty 2-1 away victory, maximizing their limited chances in front of goal.

Did the home team control the ball?

Yes, they controlled possession with 57 percent of the ball, but ultimately lacked the necessary finishing touch.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
57%
43%
Orlando City SC 57%
Chicago Fire 43%
Shots
16
7
Orlando City SC 16
Chicago Fire 7
Shots on Target
5
3
Orlando City SC 5
Chicago Fire 3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
1.30
Orlando City SC 1.77
Chicago Fire 1.30
Passes
564
423
Orlando City SC 564
Chicago Fire 423
Pass Accuracy
88%
87%
Orlando City SC 88%
Chicago Fire 87%
Corners
3
3
Orlando City SC 3
Chicago Fire 3
Fouls
15
11
Orlando City SC 15
Chicago Fire 11
Yellow Cards
2
2
Orlando City SC 2
Chicago Fire 2
Red Cards
0
0
Orlando City SC 0
Chicago Fire 0

Match Events

P. Dithejane (D. Poreba) 4'
43' 🔄 T. Spicer M. Pasalic
43' 🔄 W. Cartagena Z. Taifi
43' 🔄 A. Gomez Tiago
HT
52' D. Brekalo (A. Griezmann)
57' 🟨 Luis Otavio
D. Poreba R. Lod 🔄 61'
J. Bamba M. Haile-Selassie 🔄 61'
A. Gutman V. Radojevic 🔄 61'
64' 🔄 J. Ellis D. Dike
67' 🟨 R. Jansson
R. Lewandowski 69'
78' 🔄 G. Dorsey E. Atuesta
V. Radojevic 🟨 80'
R. Lewandowski S. Rogers 🔄 83'
S. Rogers 🟨 89'
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Orlando City SC

Goalkeepers
Maxime Crépeau
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
1
Fouls Won
1
Fouls Won
1
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Defenders
Griffin Dorsey
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
David Brekalo
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Robin Jansson
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
Pen Given
Mistake
Pen Given
Mistake
1
Fouls
6.3
Rating
Adrián Marín
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
43
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Wilder Cartagena
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
43
Total Mins
43
Entry
Luis Otávio
MAGNET
MAGNET
92
Activity
92
Activity
83
Passes
9
Duels
Iván Angulo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Antoine Griezmann
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
5
Key Passes
5
Key Passes
1
Assists
40%
Pass Acc
Tyrese Spicer
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
43
Total Mins
43
Entry
Forwards
Justin Ellis
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
BENCH
Javier Otero
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Iago
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zakaria Taifi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
47
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Eduard Atuesta
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Joran Gerbet
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marco Pašalić
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
47
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tiago Souza
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
47
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daryl Dike
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Harvey Sarajian
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Chicago Fire

Goalkeepers
Chris Brady
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Jonathan Dean
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
6
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Joel Waterman
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jack Elliott
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Andrew Gutman
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
3
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Midfielders
David Poręba
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
6.9
Rating
Tah D'Avilla
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Anton Salétros
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Puso Dithejane
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Robert Lewandowski
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Jonathan Bamba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
61
Total Mins
61
Entry
BENCH
Josh Cohen
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Viktor Radojević
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
29
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sam Rogers
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leonardo Barroso
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mauricio Pineda
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Robin Lod
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
29
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maren Haile-Selassie
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
29
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Samuel Williams
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jason Shokalook
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
10/23/2025 Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
05/31/2025 Orlando City SC 1 - 3 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
05/04/2025 Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
06/22/2024 Orlando City SC 4 - 2 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
05/30/2024 Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
08/21/2023 Chicago Fire 1 - 3 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
07/01/2023 Orlando City SC 3 - 1 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
04/09/2022 Orlando City SC 1 - 0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
03/05/2022 Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Orlando City SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
08/22/2021 Orlando City SC 1 - 0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
10/23/2025
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
05/31/2025
Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
05/04/2025
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
06/22/2024
Major League Soccer Inter&Co Stadium
05/30/2024
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
08/21/2023
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
07/01/2023
Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
04/09/2022
Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
03/05/2022
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
08/22/2021
Major League Soccer Exploria Stadium
Orlando City SC Win
Chicago Fire Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 17 39 34 12 +22 WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 1 Inter Miami (16-08-2026)DDC United 2 - 2 Nashville SC (01-08-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 0 Nashville SC (25-07-2026)WNashville SC 1 - 0 CF Montreal (23-07-2026)
2 New England Revolution 17 30 29 19 +10 WDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 New England Revolution (15-08-2026)DCF Montreal 2 - 2 New England Revolution (01-08-2026)WNew England Revolution 4 - 1 Atlanta United FC (25-07-2026)DNew England Revolution 0 - 0 Toronto FC (22-07-2026)
3 Inter Miami 15 29 39 31 +8 DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 1 Inter Miami (16-08-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew (01-08-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 1 Inter Miami (25-07-2026)WInter Miami 3 - 2 Chicago Fire (22-07-2026)
4 Chicago Fire 16 29 28 22 +6 WOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)WChicago Fire 2 - 1 Charlotte (02-08-2026)LNew York City FC 3 - 1 Chicago Fire (25-07-2026)LInter Miami 3 - 2 Chicago Fire (22-07-2026)WChicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto FC (24-05-2026)
5 Charlotte 17 25 31 26 +5 DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)WCharlotte 3 - 1 Columbus Crew (15-08-2026)LChicago Fire 2 - 1 Charlotte (02-08-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Charlotte (25-07-2026)DCharlotte 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (23-07-2026)
6 FC Cincinnati 16 23 37 37 0 WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LColumbus Crew 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati (25-07-2026)WFC Cincinnati 6 - 2 Orlando City SC (23-05-2026)LFC Cincinnati 3 - 5 Inter Miami (13-05-2026)
7 DC United 16 22 25 26 -1 LDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)DDC United 2 - 2 Nashville SC (01-08-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 Toronto FC (25-07-2026)DDC United 4 - 4 CF Montreal (23-05-2026)
8 New York Red Bulls 18 22 28 39 -11 LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Charlotte (25-07-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 3 - 1 New York Red Bulls (22-07-2026)
9 New York City FC 16 21 29 24 +5 LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)LNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 Toronto FC (31-07-2026)WNew York City FC 3 - 1 Chicago Fire (25-07-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 2 New York City FC (22-07-2026)
10 CF Montreal 18 19 25 30 -5 WColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)DCF Montreal 2 - 2 New England Revolution (01-08-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 1 Inter Miami (25-07-2026)LNashville SC 1 - 0 CF Montreal (23-07-2026)
11 Orlando City SC 17 18 28 43 -15 LOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 0 Nashville SC (25-07-2026)LFC Cincinnati 6 - 2 Orlando City SC (23-05-2026)
12 Philadelphia Union 18 17 29 36 -7 DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 3 - 2 Atlanta United FC (01-08-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 3 - 1 New York Red Bulls (22-07-2026)LInter Miami 6 - 4 Philadelphia Union (24-05-2026)
13 Toronto FC 15 16 20 24 -4 DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 New England Revolution (15-08-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 Toronto FC (31-07-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 Toronto FC (25-07-2026)DNew England Revolution 0 - 0 Toronto FC (22-07-2026)
14 Columbus Crew 16 16 20 24 -4 LColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)LCharlotte 3 - 1 Columbus Crew (15-08-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew (01-08-2026)WColumbus Crew 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati (25-07-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 2 New York City FC (22-07-2026)
15 Atlanta United FC 16 15 18 27 -9 WAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 3 - 2 Atlanta United FC (01-08-2026)LNew England Revolution 4 - 1 Atlanta United FC (25-07-2026)DCharlotte 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (23-07-2026)LNashville SC 1 - 0 Atlanta United FC (18-07-2026)

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