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Futmetrix Verdict
75
FT
Sat, Sep 12
Inter Miami
2-2
Nashville SC
⚡ Intensity 75
⚖️ Balance 62
🏆 Stakes 0
🎲 Upset 68
A top-table thriller ends absolutely level.

Win Probability

  • Inter Miami 52%
  • Draw 23%
  • Nashville SC 26%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Top-Table Mayhem: Surridge Denies Miami Late

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 75/100. This was a breathless battle between the league's top two that delivered wild momentum swings right up to the final whistle.

Opening Act

Top-table clashes often disappoint. This one delivered immediately. The Stakes were sky-high at Nu Stadium, and Nashville SC wasted zero time asserting their authority. Inside four minutes, Sam Surridge buried a clinical opener off a slick feed from Andy Najar. The visitors completely shocked the home crowd with their ruthless direct approach. Inter Miami dominated possession with 62 percent of the ball, but they looked incredibly fragile in transition. Chaos struck at the other end just 15 minutes later to level the playing field. A cruel own goal from Reed Baker-Whiting dragged the relieved hosts back into the contest. The wild Intensity rating reflects a breathless first half defined entirely by high-octane attacks and sheer defensive panic rather than methodical tactical control.

The Pivot

The match settled slightly before exploding back into life past the hour mark. Miami desperately needed magic, and their superstar captain obliged. In the 62nd minute, Rodrigo De Paul split the defense with a pristine pass, finding Lionel Messi in space. The legendary Argentine made no mistake, firing the hosts ahead and sending the crowd into a frenzy. The Balance shifted violently in that instant. Miami looked poised to snatch all three points and close the gap on the league leaders. Yet Nashville kept swinging, refusing to sit back despite their utter lack of possession. They unleashed 18 total shots throughout the evening, turning the Miami box into a constant war zone. Miami’s defense bent repeatedly under the immense pressure, perfectly setting the stage for a dramatic grandstand finish.

Resolution

A staggering 32 combined shots tell the true story of two heavyweights fiercely trading blows. Just as Miami prepared to celebrate a crucial victory, Nashville struck back with venom. Deep into the 90th minute, Surridge found a sliver of space and lashed home his monumental second goal of the night. This late equalizer served as a massive blow to Miami's title ambitions, keeping the nine-point gap completely intact at the summit. The Upset Factor remained modest given the standings, but the pure drama was undeniably off the charts. Three distinct lead changes showcased two elite sides absolutely refusing to back down. Nashville travels home knowing they passed a massive character test, while Miami will bitterly rue a missed opportunity to shake up the regular season race.

Key Questions

What made S. Surridge the Man of the Match?

Surridge was utterly lethal, netting an early opener and a monumental 90th-minute equalizer to secure a vital road point with a brilliant 9.13 rating.

How dramatic was the late winner by S. Surridge?

While it didn't win the match, his 90th-minute strike dramatically snatched a 2-2 draw from the jaws of defeat to preserve Nashville's lead at the top.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
62%
38%
Inter Miami 62%
Nashville SC 38%
Shots
14
18
Inter Miami 14
Nashville SC 18
Shots on Target
5
3
Inter Miami 5
Nashville SC 3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
2.43
Inter Miami 1.63
Nashville SC 2.43
Passes
551
321
Inter Miami 551
Nashville SC 321
Corners
5
3
Inter Miami 5
Nashville SC 3
Fouls
13
18
Inter Miami 13
Nashville SC 18
Yellow Cards
3
2
Inter Miami 3
Nashville SC 2
Red Cards
0
0
Inter Miami 0
Nashville SC 0

Match Events

Sam Surridge (Andy Najar) 4'
Alex Muyl 🟨 9'
41' 🟨 Fricio Caicedo
Maxwell Woledzi 🟨 43'
HT
Alex Muyl Elias Saad 🔄 56'
62' Lionel Messi (Rodrigo De Paul)
66' 🔄 Ian Fray Facundo Mura
66' 🔄 Telasco Segovia Matías Galarza
Reed Baker-Whiting Daniel Lovitz 🔄 72'
Patrick Yazbek Edvard Sandvik Tagseth 🔄 72'
matthew corcoran Bryan Acosta 🔄 81'
Cristian Espinoza Shakur Mohammed 🔄 81'
90' 🟨 Matías Galarza
Sam Surridge 90'+1
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Inter Miami

Goalkeepers
Dayne St. Clair
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Ian Fray
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Casemiro
MAGNET
MAGNET
86
Activity
86
Activity
83
Passes
3
Duels
Maximiliano Falcón
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
F. Caicedo
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
62%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Rodrigo De Paul
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
1
Assists
67%
Pass Acc
Yannick Bright
MAGNET
MAGNET
76
Activity
76
Activity
66
Passes
10
Duels
Telasco Segovia
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
66
Total Mins
66
Entry
Forwards
Luis Suárez
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
7
Fouls Won
7
Fouls Won
8
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Lionel Messi
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
33%
Pass Acc
Germán Berterame
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
BENCH
Rocco Ríos Novo
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Sergio Reguilón
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Facundo Mura
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
24
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Micael
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gonzalo Luján
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matías Galarza
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
24
Total Mins
Started
Entry
David Ayala
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
A. Shaw
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel Pinter
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Nashville SC

Goalkeepers
Brian Schwake
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Andy Najar
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
1
Assists
32%
Pass Acc
Jeisson Palacios
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Maxwell Woledzi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Reed Baker-Whiting
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
Own Goal
Mistake
Own Goal
Mistake
0
Fouls
5.6
Rating
Midfielders
Patrick Yazbek
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
Matthew Corcoran
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
9
Late Mins
9
Late Mins
81
Total Mins
81
Entry
Cristian Espinoza
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Hany Mukhtar
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Alex Muyl
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
56
Total Mins
56
Entry
Forwards
Sam Surridge
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
9.1
Rating
BENCH
Joe Willis
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Josh Bauer
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel Lovitz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jack Maher
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bryan Acosta
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
9
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Shakur Mohammed
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Edvard Tagseth
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ahmed Qasem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Elias Saad
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
34
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/16/2026 Nashville SC 4 - 1 Inter Miami Major League Soccer Geodis Park
03/18/2026 Inter Miami 1 - 1 Nashville SC CONCACAF Champions League Chase Stadium
03/11/2026 Nashville SC 0 - 0 Inter Miami CONCACAF Champions League Geodis Park
11/09/2025 Inter Miami 4 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
11/01/2025 Nashville SC 2 - 1 Inter Miami Major League Soccer Geodis Park
10/25/2025 Inter Miami 3 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
10/18/2025 Nashville SC 2 - 5 Inter Miami Major League Soccer Geodis Park
07/12/2025 Inter Miami 2 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
06/30/2024 Nashville SC 1 - 2 Inter Miami Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
04/20/2024 Inter Miami 3 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
08/16/2026
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
03/18/2026
CONCACAF Champions League Chase Stadium
03/11/2026
CONCACAF Champions League Geodis Park
11/09/2025
Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
11/01/2025
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
10/25/2025
Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
10/18/2025
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
07/12/2025
Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
06/30/2024
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
04/20/2024
Major League Soccer Chase Stadium
Inter Miami Win
Nashville SC Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 22 47 44 18 +26 DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)WNashville SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (23-08-2026)
2 New England Revolution 21 40 37 23 +14 WChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)WNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)DNew England Revolution 1 - 1 New York City FC (23-08-2026)WDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)
3 Inter Miami 20 35 52 39 +13 DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)WInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)LInter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto FC (22-08-2026)
4 Charlotte 21 35 41 31 +10 DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)WCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)WCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)
5 Chicago Fire 20 32 35 30 +5 LChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DNew York Red Bulls 1 - 1 Chicago Fire (22-08-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 21 26 39 37 +2 WPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)
7 DC United 19 26 28 30 -2 DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)LCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)LDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)
8 New York Red Bulls 21 26 31 43 -12 WColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)DNew York Red Bulls 1 - 1 Chicago Fire (22-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)
9 New York City FC 20 24 32 28 +4 LNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)DNew England Revolution 1 - 1 New York City FC (23-08-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)
10 Toronto FC 20 24 29 34 -5 LOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)WInter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto FC (22-08-2026)
11 FC Cincinnati 19 24 40 49 -9 DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)
12 Orlando City SC 19 24 34 45 -11 WOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)
13 CF Montreal 21 19 27 41 -14 LCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)LInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)
14 Atlanta United FC 20 17 22 34 -12 DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)
15 Columbus Crew 20 16 24 33 -9 LColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)LNashville SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (23-08-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)

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