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Futmetrix Verdict
36
FT
Sun, Sep 20
Nashville SC
3-0
Chicago Fire
⚡ Intensity 22
⚖️ Balance 8
🏆 Stakes 82
🎲 Upset 0
Nashville routs Chicago to cement dominance.

Win Probability

  • Nashville SC 52%
  • Draw 24%
  • Chicago Fire 24%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Music City Masterclass Leaves Fire in the Dust

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 36/100. A commanding 3-0 triumph at Geodis Park reinforces Nashville SC's status as the league's undeniable frontrunner.

Establishing Dominance

The game kicked off with the home side intent on stamping their authority early in front of a raucous crowd. Operating with controlled possession at 56%, Nashville methodically dismantled the Chicago Fire midfield. The relentless Intensity of the hosts yielded 13 total shots, keeping the visitors pinned deep in their own territory. The breakthrough finally arrived in the 33rd minute when S. Surridge found the back of the net, capitalizing on a precise feed from R. Baker-Whiting. Chicago's roster attempted to push back, but their complete inability to register more than a single shot on target meant the Balance of play heavily favored the league leaders. The Fire’s offensive struggles were evident as they generated a meager 0.96 expected goals compared to Nashville’s robust 2.07 xG.

The Decisive Blow

Despite trailing by just a single goal at the break, Chicago never truly threatened to alter the script. The second half became a tactical clinic by the home team, who efficiently navigated the massive Stakes of remaining atop the standings. Any lingering hopes of an away comeback evaporated in the 78th minute. C. Espinoza stepped squarely into the spotlight, firing home a crucial second goal after linking up beautifully with A. Najar. That strike effectively ended the contest, completely erasing any Upset Factor the visitors might have hoped to rely upon. Nashville's crisp ball movement—completing an impressive 89% of their 497 passes—ensured that the Fire spent the majority of the half chasing shadows rather than orchestrating a legitimate fightback.

Putting on a Show

With the three points securely tucked away, the hosts decided to give the Geodis Park faithful one last reason to celebrate before the final whistle. In the 87th minute, Espinoza turned provider, serving up a perfect opportunity for H. Mukhtar to make it 3-0. This final sequence perfectly encapsulated the massive gulf in class on the night. The victory pushes Nashville to 47 points, widening the gap and reinforcing their iron grip on first place in the regular season standings. For Chicago, currently sitting in fifth, this heavy defeat highlights the stark difference between a solid playoff contender and a true championship favorite. The comprehensive nature of this shutout serves as a glaring warning to the rest of the league.

Key Questions

What made Cristian Espinoza the Man of the Match?

Espinoza dominated the offensive third, delivering four key passes, scoring a crucial 78th-minute goal, and assisting the late dagger to earn an exceptional 8.6 rating.

What does this mean for Nashville SC's season?

This commanding shutout bolsters their league-leading position at 47 points, widening the gap at the top and firmly establishing them as regular-season championship favorites.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
56%
44%
Nashville SC 56%
Chicago Fire 44%
Shots
13
8
Nashville SC 13
Chicago Fire 8
Shots on Target
5
1
Nashville SC 5
Chicago Fire 1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
0.96
Nashville SC 2.07
Chicago Fire 0.96
Passes
497
399
Nashville SC 497
Chicago Fire 399
Pass Accuracy
89%
85%
Nashville SC 89%
Chicago Fire 85%
Corners
5
2
Nashville SC 5
Chicago Fire 2
Fouls
12
8
Nashville SC 12
Chicago Fire 8
Yellow Cards
1
1
Nashville SC 1
Chicago Fire 1
Red Cards
0
0
Nashville SC 0
Chicago Fire 0

Match Events

33' S. Surridge (R. Baker-Whiting)
35' 🟨 H. Mukhtar
HT
J. Elliott 🟨 57'
R. Lod J. Bamba 🔄 68'
M. Haile-Selassie P. Dithejane 🔄 68'
69' 🔄 E. Saad S. Mohammed
S. Oregel A. Mekvabishvili 🔄 75'
78' C. Espinoza (A. Najar)
J. Dean J. Gomez 🔄 79'
D. D'Avilla M. Pineda 🔄 79'
83' 🔄 A. Najar D. Lovitz
83' 🔄 P. Yazbek E. Tagseth
87' H. Mukhtar (C. Espinoza)
90'+1 🔄 H. Mukhtar A. Muyl
90'+1 🔄 C. Espinoza J. Bauer
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Nashville SC

Goalkeepers
Brian Schwake
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
93
Minutes
Defenders
Andy Najar
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
1
Assists
40%
Pass Acc
Jeisson Palacios
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
62%
Duel Win %
Maxwell Woledzi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
93
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Reed Baker-Whiting
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
1
Assists
43%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Patrick Yazbek
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
7
Late Mins
7
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
83
Entry
Matthew Corcoran
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
70%
Pass Acc
Cristian Espinoza
CLOSER
CLOSER
1
Late Goals
1
Late Goals
0
Late Assists
75
Minute
Hany Mukhtar
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
87
Goal Time
87
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.7
Rating
Elias Saad
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
69
Entry
Forwards
Sam Surridge
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
3
Shots
7.5
Rating
BENCH
Joe Willis
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Jack Maher
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Josh Bauer
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
2
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel Lovitz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alex Muyl
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
2
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Shakur Mohammed
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Edvard Tagseth
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bryan Acosta
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ahmed Qasem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Chicago Fire

Goalkeepers
Chris Brady
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
93
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Jonathan Dean
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
21%
Pass Acc
Jack Elliott
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
2
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Noah Allen
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
93
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Andrew Gutman
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Sergio Oregel
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
75
Total Mins
75
Entry
Tah D'Avilla
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
11
Late Mins
11
Late Mins
79
Total Mins
79
Entry
Robin Lod
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
68
Entry
Forwards
Philip Zinckernagel
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Robert Lewandowski
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
93
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maren Haile-Selassie
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
68
Entry
BENCH
Josh Cohen
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Sam Rogers
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leonardo Barroso
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mauricio Pineda
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
David Poręba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Anzor Mekvabishvili
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Puso Dithejane
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Johan Gómez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jonathan Bamba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
04/05/2026 Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
06/15/2025 Chicago Fire 0 - 2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
04/27/2025 Nashville SC 7 - 2 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Geodis Park
10/20/2024 Chicago Fire 0 - 3 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
09/19/2024 Nashville SC 1 - 0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
07/09/2023 Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
05/07/2023 Nashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
09/26/2021 Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer Soldier Field
07/18/2021 Nashville SC 5 - 1 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Nissan Stadium
11/01/2020 Nashville SC 1 - 1 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer Nissan Stadium
04/05/2026
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
06/15/2025
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
04/27/2025
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
10/20/2024
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
09/19/2024
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
07/09/2023
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
05/07/2023
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
09/26/2021
Major League Soccer Soldier Field
07/18/2021
Major League Soccer Nissan Stadium
11/01/2020
Major League Soccer Nissan Stadium
Nashville SC Win
Chicago Fire Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 22 47 44 18 +26 DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)WNashville SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (23-08-2026)
2 New England Revolution 21 40 37 23 +14 WChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)WNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)DNew England Revolution 1 - 1 New York City FC (23-08-2026)WDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)
3 Inter Miami 20 35 52 39 +13 DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)WInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)LInter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto FC (22-08-2026)
4 Charlotte 21 35 41 31 +10 DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)WCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)WCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Charlotte (19-08-2026)
5 Chicago Fire 20 32 35 30 +5 LChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DNew York Red Bulls 1 - 1 Chicago Fire (22-08-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)
6 New York Red Bulls 22 29 32 43 -11 WNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)DNew York Red Bulls 1 - 1 Chicago Fire (22-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville SC (19-08-2026)
7 Philadelphia Union 21 26 39 37 +2 WPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Inter Miami (19-08-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 3 Philadelphia Union (16-08-2026)
8 DC United 19 26 28 30 -2 DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)LCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)LDC United 0 - 3 New England Revolution (19-08-2026)DCF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (15-08-2026)
9 New York City FC 21 24 32 29 +3 LNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)LNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)DNew England Revolution 1 - 1 New York City FC (23-08-2026)
10 Toronto FC 20 24 29 34 -5 LOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)WInter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto FC (22-08-2026)
11 FC Cincinnati 19 24 40 49 -9 DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City FC (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)
12 Orlando City SC 19 24 34 45 -11 WOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire (19-08-2026)DOrlando City SC 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati (15-08-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 3 - 2 Orlando City SC (01-08-2026)
13 Columbus Crew 21 19 26 33 -7 WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)LNashville SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew (23-08-2026)
14 CF Montreal 22 19 27 43 -16 LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)LCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)LInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 2 CF Montreal (19-08-2026)
15 Atlanta United FC 20 17 22 34 -12 DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (15-08-2026)

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