Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
74
Nashville SC
vs
Toronto FC
Sun, Sep 27 โ€ข 00:30
โšก Form 69
โš–๏ธ Balance 58
๐Ÿ† Stakes 82
โญ Stars 58
Nashville's title charge meets Toronto's resistance.

Win Probability

  • Nashville SC 67%
  • Draw 19%
  • Toronto FC 13%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Nashville's Title Credentials Face a Stern Test at Geodis Park

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 74/100. With Nashville marching toward the top seed and Toronto fighting for relevance, this clash is a true David versus Goliath scenario that could define the title race.

The Setup

The Nashville SC title charge rolls into Geodis Park this September 27, 2026. Sitting pretty at the summit of Major League Soccer with 54 points, the hosts boast an off-the-charts Form rating at home, winning nine of their last ten matches here to build a formidable fortress. Toronto FC rock up languishing in 12th place with 29 points, desperate to salvage some pride in the regular season run-in. A high Stakes metric confirms the pressure is all on Nashville to avoid a slip-up, while Toronto arrives with nothing to lose. The Balance of power leans heavily toward the home side, but Toronto's recent capacity to grind out draws shows they can be incredibly stubborn opponents when properly motivated.

Key Battle

The spotlight falls squarely on Hany Mukhtar pulling the strings for Nashville against Toronto's talisman J. Sargent. Mukhtar provides the creative spark with his impressive Stars rating, directly threatening the visitors' backline with incisive runs and clever distribution. On the flip side, Sargent will be hunting for half-chances on the counter, aiming to disrupt the home side's rhythm and capitalize on any momentary defensive lapses.

Our Prediction

We expect Nashville to dictate the tempo early, suffocating Toronto with relentless pressure and wide overloads. The visitors will sit deep and try to absorb the blows, but the sheer volume of home attacks will eventually break the levee. A comfortable 3-1 victory for the league leaders looks written in the stars, driven by their devastating attacking unit and structural dominance.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. Seeing a title-chasing team operate at peak efficiency on home soil is always box office viewing for football fans.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect a decisive 3-1 home victory, with Nashville's attacking depth proving entirely too much for Toronto to handle over ninety minutes.

Where are Nashville SC and Toronto FC in the league table?

Nashville sit comfortably in 1st place with 54 points, while Toronto trail significantly in 12th position on 29 points.

What is Nashville SC's current form?

The hosts have picked up strong momentum recently, logging a DLDWW sequence in their last five league outings to cement their lead.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Keep your eyes on J. Sargent. The Toronto striker boasts 3 goals in his last 3 matches, averaging a solid 7.4 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
07/20/2025 Nashville SC 1 - 0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer Geodis Park
05/24/2025 Toronto FC 1 - 2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer BMO Field
06/19/2024 Toronto FC 1 - 2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer BMO Field
05/16/2024 Nashville SC 2 - 0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
06/10/2023 Toronto FC 1 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer BMO Field
04/09/2023 Nashville SC 0 - 0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
08/07/2022 Nashville SC 3 - 4 Toronto FC Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
09/18/2021 Toronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer BMO Field
08/01/2021 Toronto FC 1 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer BMO Field
07/20/2025
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
05/24/2025
Major League Soccer BMO Field
06/19/2024
Major League Soccer BMO Field
05/16/2024
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
06/10/2023
Major League Soccer BMO Field
04/09/2023
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
08/07/2022
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
09/18/2021
Major League Soccer BMO Field
08/01/2021
Major League Soccer BMO Field
Nashville SC Win
Toronto FC Win
Draw

Season Statistics

1
League Position
12
57
Points
29
53
Goals Scored
39
21
Goals Conceded
49

Eastern Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 26 57 53 21 +32 WNashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire (20-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)
2 New England Revolution 26 46 45 33 +12 WNew England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (19-09-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)WNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)LLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 New England Revolution (06-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)
3 Inter Miami 25 45 61 46 +15 DInter Miami 2 - 2 San Diego (20-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)WInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)
4 Charlotte 26 43 47 37 +10 WDC United 1 - 2 Charlotte (19-09-2026)DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)WCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)DCharlotte 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo (05-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)
5 Chicago Fire 25 39 45 38 +7 LNashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire (20-09-2026)LChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 2 - 2 Chicago Fire (29-08-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 26 36 50 42 +8 WSporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Philadelphia Union (20-09-2026)WSan Diego 0 - 5 Philadelphia Union (14-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)
7 Orlando City SC 26 34 46 60 -14 LNew England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (19-09-2026)WOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 0 San Diego (05-09-2026)DMinnesota United FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (30-08-2026)
8 New York Red Bulls 26 33 34 48 -14 WNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LLos Angeles FC 2 - 0 New York Red Bulls (10-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls (06-09-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)
9 FC Cincinnati 25 33 54 61 -7 DHouston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (20-09-2026)DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)DFC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (22-08-2026)
10 New York City FC 26 32 39 34 +5 LNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)WReal Salt Lake 0 - 2 New York City FC (13-09-2026)LNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)
11 DC United 25 29 31 39 -8 LDC United 1 - 2 Charlotte (19-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Los Angeles FC (29-08-2026)LCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)
12 Toronto FC 26 29 39 49 -10 LSt. Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto FC (20-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)
13 Columbus Crew 26 26 37 42 -5 WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (05-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)
14 Atlanta United FC 26 26 30 43 -13 WPortland Timbers 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC (20-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)
15 CF Montreal 26 21 31 53 -22 LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 CF Montreal (13-09-2026)LCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)LInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)

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