Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
15
CF Montreal
vs
FC Cincinnati
Sat, Sep 26 • 23:30
⚡ Form 46
⚖️ Balance 100
🏆 Stakes 2
⭐ Stars 29
Basement battle with leaky defenses ahead.

Win Probability

  • CF Montreal 37%
  • Draw 24%
  • FC Cincinnati 39%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Pride on the Line in Eastern Conference Scrap

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 15/100. With both sides struggling for consistency and boasting leaky defenses, this clash at Saputo Stadium lacks playoff prestige but promises chaotic entertainment.

The Setup

As September 26, 2026, approaches, CF Montreal sits stranded at the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings, enduring a miserable four-match winless run. Their dismal Form rating tells a story of intense frustration, having managed just three home wins all season. FC Cincinnati arrives in slightly better shape, though their away defense bleeds goals at an alarming rate of over three per match. With a modest Stakes rating, this match is more about pride than serious playoff pushes. Despite a low Stars rating, Evander provides a spark of elite talent for the visitors. Ultimately, the high Balance suggests an incredibly tight affair where defensive errors will dictate the tempo.

Key Battle

Montreal's fragile back line must find a way to contain Cincinnati's dynamic attacking unit. The visitors excel at finding spaces between the lines, meaning the home midfield has to cut off supply lanes before the pressure reaches their penalty area. Expect a messy, physical scrap in the middle of the park where whoever minimizes cheap giveaways wins the day.

Our Prediction

We expect an open, end-to-end draw. Neither side has the defensive discipline to comfortably hold a lead. Cincinnati will likely strike first by exploiting spaces on the counter, but Montreal's sheer desperation on home soil will help them scrape a messy equalizer. A chaotic 2-2 shootout feels inevitable.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Only if you love high-scoring chaos. A low Stars rating means few household names, but leaky defenses guarantee action.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect a high-scoring draw. Both defenses are incredibly vulnerable, making a back-and-forth 2-2 shootout highly likely.

Where are CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati in the league table?

Montreal sits completely stranded in 15th place with 21 points, while Cincinnati occupies 10th with 32 points.

What is CF Montreal's current form?

Miserable. They are enduring a four-match losing streak and have secured just three home wins all year.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

K. Denkey is thriving for Cincinnati, netting 2 goals in his last 2 matches with an impressive 7.6 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
10/18/2025 FC Cincinnati 3 - 0 CF Montreal Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
06/25/2025 CF Montreal 1 - 3 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Saputo Stadium
01/24/2025 FC Cincinnati 1 - 0 CF Montreal Friendlies Clubs Walter C. Campbell Park
08/31/2024 FC Cincinnati 4 - 1 CF Montreal Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/13/2024 CF Montreal 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
09/20/2023 CF Montreal 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
05/17/2023 FC Cincinnati 3 - 0 CF Montreal Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/28/2022 CF Montreal 4 - 3 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
04/02/2022 FC Cincinnati 3 - 4 CF Montreal Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
10/18/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
06/25/2025
Major League Soccer Saputo Stadium
01/24/2025
Friendlies Clubs Walter C. Campbell Park
08/31/2024
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
04/13/2024
Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
09/20/2023
Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
05/17/2023
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
05/28/2022
Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
04/02/2022
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
CF Montreal Win
FC Cincinnati Win
Draw

Season Statistics

15
League Position
9
21
Points
33
31
Goals Scored
54
53
Goals Conceded
61

Eastern Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 26 57 53 21 +32 WNashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire (20-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)
2 New England Revolution 26 46 45 33 +12 WNew England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (19-09-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)WNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)LLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 New England Revolution (06-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)
3 Inter Miami 25 45 61 46 +15 DInter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC (12-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)WInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)LInter Miami 1 - 2 Toronto FC (22-08-2026)
4 Charlotte 26 43 47 37 +10 WDC United 1 - 2 Charlotte (19-09-2026)DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)WCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)DCharlotte 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo (05-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)
5 Chicago Fire 25 39 45 38 +7 LNashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire (20-09-2026)LChicago Fire 1 - 2 New England Revolution (13-09-2026)DChicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami (10-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 2 - 2 Chicago Fire (29-08-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 26 36 50 42 +8 WSporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Philadelphia Union (20-09-2026)WSan Diego 0 - 5 Philadelphia Union (14-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)
7 Orlando City SC 26 34 46 60 -14 LNew England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC (19-09-2026)WOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 0 San Diego (05-09-2026)DMinnesota United FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (30-08-2026)
8 New York Red Bulls 26 33 34 48 -14 WNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LLos Angeles FC 2 - 0 New York Red Bulls (10-09-2026)DSeattle Sounders 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls (06-09-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (29-08-2026)
9 FC Cincinnati 25 33 54 61 -7 DHouston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (20-09-2026)DFC Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte (12-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 5 - 0 FC Cincinnati (09-09-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati (30-08-2026)DFC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (22-08-2026)
10 New York City FC 26 32 39 34 +5 LNew York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (18-09-2026)WReal Salt Lake 0 - 2 New York City FC (13-09-2026)LNew York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution (10-09-2026)DNew York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC (04-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)
11 DC United 25 29 31 39 -8 LDC United 1 - 2 Charlotte (19-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)WDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Los Angeles FC (29-08-2026)LCharlotte 3 - 1 DC United (22-08-2026)
12 Toronto FC 26 29 39 49 -10 LSt. Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto FC (20-09-2026)LOrlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC (12-09-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC (09-09-2026)DToronto FC 4 - 4 Chicago Fire (05-09-2026)DToronto FC 1 - 1 New York City FC (29-08-2026)
13 Columbus Crew 26 26 37 42 -5 WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls (12-09-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew (09-09-2026)WColumbus Crew 3 - 0 Colorado Rapids (05-09-2026)LColumbus Crew 1 - 3 New England Revolution (30-08-2026)
14 Atlanta United FC 26 26 30 43 -13 WPortland Timbers 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC (20-09-2026)DDC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC (12-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC (09-09-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC (05-09-2026)LAtlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte (29-08-2026)
15 CF Montreal 26 21 31 53 -22 LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (19-09-2026)LColorado Rapids 1 - 0 CF Montreal (13-09-2026)LCF Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte (09-09-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 2 - 0 CF Montreal (05-09-2026)LInter Miami 7 - 1 CF Montreal (29-08-2026)

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