New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 FT CF Montreal

Sports Illustrated Stadium

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Futmetrix Verdict
56
FT
Sun, Mar 8
New York Red Bulls
0-3
CF Montreal
⚡ Intensity 51
⚖️ Balance 12
🏆 Stakes 44
🎲 Upset 100
Montreal stuns New York on the road.

Win Probability

  • New York Red Bulls 62%
  • Draw 22%
  • CF Montreal 17%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Montreal Shocks New York in First Leg Masterclass

Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 56/100. CF Montreal defied the odds with a ruthless 3-0 away victory, executing a perfect smash-and-grab to take absolute control of this two-legged tie.

Early Shockwaves

The Stakes were sky-high as this elimination clash kicked off at Sports Illustrated Stadium, but the visitors did not wait long to rewrite the script. In the fifth minute, a pivotal VAR review confirmed a penalty, immediately tilting the momentum. Three minutes later, P. Owusu stepped up and coolly buried the spot-kick, putting CF Montreal firmly in the driver's seat. New York Red Bulls dominated possession—holding an overwhelming 67% of the ball—but struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear chances. The early deficit shattered the home side's tactical plan, pushing the Intensity up to frantic levels as New York desperately tried to respond to the early setback.

The Carmona Show

As halftime approached, the Balance of the match shifted entirely on one man's shoulders. Wikelman Carmona doubled the visitors' lead in the 44th minute, delivering a crushing psychological blow just before the whistle. Despite New York racking up 11 corners and bombarding the penalty area, they found an absolute wall in goalkeeper Thomas Gillier, who logged four critical saves to preserve the clean sheet. The second half saw Montreal sit deeper, expertly absorbing the pressure and waiting for the perfect moment to counter. In the 68th minute, Carmona struck again, completing his brace and capping off a devastating offensive transition. The sheer Upset Factor was undeniable, as the pre-match probability gap vanished on the field.

Mountain to Climb

The final whistle sealed a historic road performance. Montreal’s backline, anchored by a defensive masterclass from Efraín Morales, neutralized a frustrated New York attack that fired 12 shots but lacked any clinical edge. This 3-0 result leaves the Red Bulls staring down the barrel of elimination. They now face the daunting task of traveling to Canada for the decisive second leg on April 18th, needing a miracle to salvage their campaign. Montreal, meanwhile, heads home knowing they have one foot firmly in the next round after executing a flawless tactical game plan. Seasons end on nights like this, and New York must find answers immediately.

Key Questions

How did CF Montreal pull off this shock result?

Despite holding just 33% possession, Montreal capitalized on an early penalty and was ruthless on the counter-attack, punishing New York's inefficiency in the final third.

What made Wikelman Carmona the Man of the Match?

Carmona delivered a clinical offensive performance, scoring two vital goals that completely shattered New York's momentum and secured a commanding first-leg advantage.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
67%
33%
New York Red Bulls 67%
CF Montreal 33%
Shots
12
10
New York Red Bulls 12
CF Montreal 10
Shots on Target
4
4
New York Red Bulls 4
CF Montreal 4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
2.07
New York Red Bulls 0.85
CF Montreal 2.07
Passes
549
271
New York Red Bulls 549
CF Montreal 271
Pass Accuracy
86%
73%
New York Red Bulls 86%
CF Montreal 73%
Corners
11
4
New York Red Bulls 11
CF Montreal 4
Fouls
8
9
New York Red Bulls 8
CF Montreal 9
Yellow Cards
1
0
New York Red Bulls 1
CF Montreal 0
Red Cards
0
0
New York Red Bulls 0
CF Montreal 0

Match Events

Iván Jaime 5'
P. Owusu 8'
W. Carmona 44'
HT
50' 🟨 Justin Che
P. Owusu D. Rios 🔄 61'
T. Aviles B. Hidalgo 🔄 61'
61' 🔄 E. M. Choupo-Moting R. Mosquera
61' 🔄 M. Dos Santos J. Mina
Ivan Jaime N. Streit 🔄 61'
W. Carmona 68'
77' 🔄 J. Marshall-Rutty O. Valencia
W. Carmona S. Piette 🔄 81'
85' 🔄 J. Hall R. Mitchell
85' 🔄 J. Ruvalcaba A. Rojas
M. Longstaff O. Escobar 🔄 86'
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

New York Red Bulls

Goalkeepers
Ethan Horvath
SIEVE
SIEVE
25%
Save %
25%
Save %
3
Conceded
1
Saves
Defenders
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
13
Late Mins
13
Late Mins
77
Total Mins
77
Entry
Justin Che
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
Pen Given
Mistake
Pen Given
Mistake
2
Fouls
6
Rating
Robert Voloder
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
M. Dos Santos
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
61
Total Mins
61
Entry
Midfielders
Julian Hall
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
5
Late Mins
5
Late Mins
85
Total Mins
85
Entry
Anis Mehmeti
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cade Cowell
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
86
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Emil Forsberg
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jorge Ruvalcaba
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
22%
Pass Acc
Forwards
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
61
Total Mins
61
Entry
BENCH
John McCarthy
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Omar Valencia
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tim Parker
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gustav Berggren
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tanner Rosborough
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Roald Mitchell
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Rafael Mosquera
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
29
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Andy Rojas
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
J. Mina
👻 Invisible Nothing to note

CF Montreal

Goalkeepers
Thomas Gillier
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Tomás Avilés
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
3
Tackles
3
Tackles
3
Duels Won
100%
Win %
Efraín Morales
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
5
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Brayan Vera
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
100%
Duel Win %
Luca Petrasso
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Matthew Longstaff
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Victor Loturi
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
4
Tackles
4
Tackles
5
Duels Won
100%
Win %
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Wikelman Carmona
HITMAN
HITMAN
2
Goals
2
Goals
2
On Target
8.7
Rating
Iván Jaime
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Forwards
Prince-Osei Owusu
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
BENCH
Sebastian Breza
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Bode Hidalgo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
29
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jalen Neal
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Yuri Guboglo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Samuel Piette
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
9
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Olger Escobar
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel Ríos
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
29
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hennadii Synchuk
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
N. Streit
👻 Invisible Nothing to note

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
03/08/2026 New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 CF Montreal Major League Soccer Sports Illustrated Stadium
09/20/2025 CF Montreal 0 - 2 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Saputo Stadium
04/26/2025 New York Red Bulls 1 - 0 CF Montreal Major League Soccer Sports Illustrated Stadium
07/17/2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - 2 CF Montreal Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
06/19/2024 CF Montreal 2 - 2 New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
05/20/2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - 1 CF Montreal Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
03/08/2026
Major League Soccer Sports Illustrated Stadium
09/20/2025
Major League Soccer Saputo Stadium
04/26/2025
Major League Soccer Sports Illustrated Stadium
07/17/2024
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
06/19/2024
Major League Soccer Stade Saputo
05/20/2023
Major League Soccer Red Bull Arena
New York Red Bulls Win
CF Montreal Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 New York City FC 2 6 7 1 +6 WNew York City FC 5 - 0 Orlando City SC (07-03-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New York City FC (01-03-2026)
2 Inter Miami 2 6 6 3 +3 WDC United 1 - 2 Inter Miami (07-03-2026)WOrlando City SC 2 - 4 Inter Miami (02-03-2026)
3 New York Red Bulls 3 6 3 4 -1 LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 3 CF Montreal (08-03-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 1 - 0 New England Revolution (28-02-2026)WOrlando City SC 1 - 2 New York Red Bulls (22-02-2026)
4 Chicago Fire 2 4 3 0 +3 DColumbus Crew 0 - 0 Chicago Fire (08-03-2026)WChicago Fire 3 - 0 CF Montreal (28-02-2026)
5 Nashville SC 1 3 4 1 +3 WNashville SC 4 - 1 New England Revolution (22-02-2026)
6 FC Cincinnati 2 3 2 1 +1 LFC Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto FC (08-03-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta United FC (21-02-2026)
7 Toronto FC 1 3 1 0 +1 WFC Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto FC (08-03-2026)
8 CF Montreal 2 3 3 3 0 WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 3 CF Montreal (08-03-2026)LChicago Fire 3 - 0 CF Montreal (28-02-2026)
9 DC United 2 3 2 2 0 LDC United 1 - 2 Inter Miami (07-03-2026)WDC United 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (22-02-2026)
10 Columbus Crew 1 1 0 0 0 DColumbus Crew 0 - 0 Chicago Fire (08-03-2026)
11 Philadelphia Union 2 0 1 3 -2 LPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New York City FC (01-03-2026)LDC United 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (22-02-2026)
12 Atlanta United FC 1 0 0 2 -2 LFC Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta United FC (21-02-2026)
13 New England Revolution 2 0 1 5 -4 LNew York Red Bulls 1 - 0 New England Revolution (28-02-2026)LNashville SC 4 - 1 New England Revolution (22-02-2026)
14 Orlando City SC 3 0 3 11 -8 LNew York City FC 5 - 0 Orlando City SC (07-03-2026)LOrlando City SC 2 - 4 Inter Miami (02-03-2026)LOrlando City SC 1 - 2 New York Red Bulls (22-02-2026)

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